Carabao Cup Player xG Stats 2026/2027

Which players are scoring more than their chances deserved, and which are due a goal.

Updated 29 October 2026, after the last game

Carabao Cup player expected goals 2026/2027

#	Player	Team	Apps	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG
1	Morgan Rogers	Chelsea	3	1	1.4	-0.4
2	Callum Wilson	Brentford	3	3	1.2	+1.8
3	Chemsdine Talbi	Sunderland	2	2	1.0	+1.0
4	Cody Gakpo	Liverpool	2	2	0.9	+1.1
5	Kai Havertz	Arsenal	1	0	0.9	-0.9
6	Álvaro Rodríguez	AFC Bournemouth	2	1	0.8	+0.2
7	Hayden Hackney	Everton	2	1	0.8	+0.2
8	Amine Adli	AFC Bournemouth	1	1	0.8	+0.2
9	Thierno Barry	Everton	3	4	0.7	+3.3
10	Igor Thiago	Brentford	3	2	0.6	+1.4
11	Bradley Barcola	Liverpool	2	0	0.6	-0.6
12	Jake Beesley	Bradford City	3	0	0.6	-0.6
13	Alex Iwobi	Fulham	1	0	0.6	-0.6
14	Malick Yalcouyé	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	1	0.6	+0.4
15	Florian Wirtz	Liverpool	1	0	0.5	-0.5
16	Brian Madjo	Aston Villa	1	0	0.5	-0.5
17	Myles Lewis-Skelly	Arsenal	2	0	0.5	-0.5
18	Rayan Cherki	Manchester City	2	1	0.5	+0.5
19	Viktor Gyökeres	Arsenal	2	1	0.5	+0.5
20	Jacob Murphy	Newcastle United	3	0	0.4	-0.4
21	Dwight McNeil	Crystal Palace	2	0	0.4	-0.4
22	E. Williams	Peterborough United	3	0	0.4	-0.4
23	Malick Fofana	Sunderland	2	1	0.4	+0.6
24	Alysson	Aston Villa	2	0	0.4	-0.4
25	Timur Tuterov	Sunderland	2	1	0.4	+0.6
26	Levi Colwill	Chelsea	2	0	0.4	-0.4
27	Bobby Pointon	Bradford City	3	0	0.4	-0.4
28	B. Shofowoke	Peterborough United	4	1	0.4	+0.6
29	Georginio Rutter	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	1	0.4	+0.7
30	Dan Burn	Newcastle United	1	1	0.3	+0.7
31	Macaulay Gillesphey	Bradford City	4	1	0.3	+0.7
32	Emiliano Buendía	Aston Villa	2	0	0.3	-0.3
33	Ronald Araujo	Liverpool	2	0	0.3	-0.3
34	Will Swan	Bradford City	4	2	0.3	+1.7
35	David Brooks	AFC Bournemouth	2	0	0.3	-0.3
36	George Lawrence Hemmings	Aston Villa	2	0	0.3	-0.3
37	Ceadach O'Neill	Arsenal	1	0	0.3	-0.3
38	Joachim Andersen	Fulham	3	0	0.3	-0.3
39	Eddie Nketiah	Crystal Palace	1	1	0.3	+0.7
40	Jurriën Timber	Arsenal	1	0	0.3	-0.3
41	Justin Kluivert	AFC Bournemouth	2	0	0.3	-0.3
42	Vitaly Janelt	Brentford	2	0	0.3	-0.3
43	A. Phillips	Bradford City	4	1	0.3	+0.7
44	Marcus Tavernier	AFC Bournemouth	2	0	0.3	-0.3
45	Mikkel Damsgaard	Brentford	3	1	0.3	+0.7
46	Sander Berge	Fulham	1	0	0.3	-0.3
47	Yoane Wissa	Newcastle United	3	0	0.2	-0.2
48	Fabian Schär	Newcastle United	2	0	0.2	-0.2
49	Chris Rigg	Sunderland	2	0	0.2	-0.2
50	Tom Cairney	Fulham	1	0	0.2	-0.2

Carabao Cup player expected goals per 90 2026/2027

#	Player	Team	Apps	Minutes	Goals	xG per 90
1	Morgan Rogers	Chelsea	3	202	1	0.61
2	Callum Wilson	Brentford	3	198	3	0.56
3	Chemsdine Talbi	Sunderland	2	166	2	0.52
4	Hayden Hackney	Everton	2	142	1	0.52
5	Álvaro Rodríguez	AFC Bournemouth	2	158	1	0.47
6	Cody Gakpo	Liverpool	2	180	2	0.44
7	Igor Thiago	Brentford	3	131	2	0.44
8	Malick Yalcouyé	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	147	1	0.34
9	Rayan Cherki	Manchester City	2	136	1	0.31
10	Thierno Barry	Everton	3	230	4	0.26
11	Myles Lewis-Skelly	Arsenal	2	172	0	0.26
12	Jake Beesley	Bradford City	3	224	0	0.25
13	Malick Fofana	Sunderland	2	169	1	0.21
14	Viktor Gyökeres	Arsenal	2	210	1	0.20
15	George Lawrence Hemmings	Aston Villa	2	137	0	0.20
16	Jacob Murphy	Newcastle United	3	197	0	0.19
17	E. Williams	Peterborough United	3	209	0	0.17
18	Ronald Araujo	Liverpool	2	180	0	0.17
19	Yoane Wissa	Newcastle United	3	136	0	0.16
20	Vitaly Janelt	Brentford	2	161	0	0.15
21	A. Phillips	Bradford City	4	175	1	0.14
22	Chris Rigg	Sunderland	2	135	0	0.14
23	B. Shofowoke	Peterborough United	4	258	1	0.12
24	Will Swan	Bradford City	4	274	2	0.11
25	Joachim Andersen	Fulham	3	242	0	0.11
26	Fabian Schär	Newcastle United	2	180	0	0.11
27	Michael Kayode	Brentford	3	168	0	0.11
28	Mikkel Damsgaard	Brentford	3	270	1	0.09
29	Harvey Barnes	Newcastle United	3	180	2	0.09
30	Macaulay Gillesphey	Bradford City	4	390	1	0.08
31	Joe Willock	Newcastle United	3	244	1	0.08
32	Lewis Cook	AFC Bournemouth	2	180	1	0.07
33	Max Dowman	Arsenal	2	175	2	0.06
34	Rico Lewis	Manchester City	2	166	0	0.06
35	Ben Gannon-Doak	AFC Bournemouth	2	141	0	0.06
36	Kenny Tete	Fulham	2	148	0	0.06
37	Ibou Touray	Bradford City	4	221	0	0.05
38	Amar Dedić	Newcastle United	3	226	0	0.05
39	Rodrigo Muniz	Fulham	3	231	2	0.05
40	Taylor Harwood-Bellis	Aston Villa	3	270	0	0.04
41	James Garner	Everton	3	244	1	0.04
42	Aaron Loupalo-Bi	Fleetwood Town	3	224	1	0.04
43	Vitor Reis	Manchester City	2	180	1	0.04
44	Antonee Robinson	Fulham	2	180	0	0.04
45	El Hadji Malick Diouf	Brentford	3	166	0	0.04
46	Allan	Manchester City	2	132	1	0.04
47	Eberechi Eze	Arsenal	2	130	0	0.04
48	Owura Edwards	Peterborough United	3	278	0	0.03
49	Tyler Dibling	Everton	3	230	0	0.03
50	Lewis Hall	Newcastle United	3	270	0	0.03

Carabao Cup player expected goals 2026/2027, at home

#	Player	Team	Apps	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG
1	Chemsdine Talbi	Sunderland	2	2	1.0	+1.0
2	Cody Gakpo	Liverpool	2	2	0.9	+1.1
3	Álvaro Rodríguez	AFC Bournemouth	2	1	0.8	+0.2
4	Hayden Hackney	Everton	2	1	0.8	+0.2
5	Amine Adli	AFC Bournemouth	1	1	0.8	+0.2
6	Thierno Barry	Everton	2	1	0.7	+0.3
7	Bradley Barcola	Liverpool	2	0	0.6	-0.6
8	Jake Beesley	Bradford City	3	0	0.6	-0.6
9	Alex Iwobi	Fulham	1	0	0.6	-0.6
10	Florian Wirtz	Liverpool	1	0	0.5	-0.5
11	Rayan Cherki	Manchester City	2	1	0.5	+0.5
12	Malick Fofana	Sunderland	2	1	0.4	+0.6
13	Timur Tuterov	Sunderland	2	1	0.4	+0.6
14	Bobby Pointon	Bradford City	3	0	0.4	-0.4
15	Macaulay Gillesphey	Bradford City	3	1	0.3	+0.7
16	Ronald Araujo	Liverpool	2	0	0.3	-0.3
17	Will Swan	Bradford City	3	1	0.3	+0.7
18	David Brooks	AFC Bournemouth	2	0	0.3	-0.3
19	Joachim Andersen	Fulham	2	0	0.3	-0.3
20	Justin Kluivert	AFC Bournemouth	2	0	0.3	-0.3
21	A. Phillips	Bradford City	3	1	0.3	+0.7
22	Marcus Tavernier	AFC Bournemouth	2	0	0.3	-0.3
23	Sander Berge	Fulham	1	0	0.3	-0.3
24	Chris Rigg	Sunderland	2	0	0.2	-0.2
25	Tom Cairney	Fulham	1	0	0.2	-0.2
26	Lewis Cook	AFC Bournemouth	2	1	0.1	+0.9
27	Ibou Touray	Bradford City	3	0	0.1	-0.1
28	Rodrigo Muniz	Fulham	2	1	0.1	+0.9
29	Tyrique George	Everton	2	0	0.1	-0.1
30	James Garner	Everton	2	1	0.1	+0.9
31	Rico Lewis	Manchester City	2	0	0.1	-0.1
32	Ben Gannon-Doak	AFC Bournemouth	2	0	0.1	-0.1
33	Josh King	Fulham	1	0	0.1	-0.1
34	Kenny Tete	Fulham	2	0	0.1	-0.1
35	Juanlu Sánchez	AFC Bournemouth	2	0	0.1	-0.1
36	Tyler Dibling	Everton	2	0	0.1	-0.1
37	Aaron Loupalo-Bi	Fleetwood Town	3	1	0.1	+0.9
38	Vitor Reis	Manchester City	2	1	0.1	+0.9
39	Antonee Robinson	Fulham	1	0	0.1	-0.1
40	Gonzalo García	Fulham	2	1	0.1	+0.9
41	António Silva	AFC Bournemouth	2	0	0.1	-0.1
42	Allan	Manchester City	2	1	0.1	+0.9
43	Will Davies	Fleetwood Town	4	1	0.1	+0.9
44	Virgil van Dijk	Liverpool	1	0	0.1	-0.1
45	Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall	Everton	2	0	0.1	-0.1
46	Kieran Morgan	Bradford City	1	0	0.1	-0.1
47	Trey Nyoni	Liverpool	2	0	0.1	-0.1
48	Mateo Kovacic	Manchester City	2	1	0.0	+1.0
49	Marc Guéhi	Manchester City	1	0	0.0	0.0
50	Jules Ahoka Jules	Sunderland	2	0	0.0	0.0

Carabao Cup player expected goals 2026/2027, away from home

#	Player	Team	Apps	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG
1	Morgan Rogers	Chelsea	1	1	1.4	-0.4
2	Callum Wilson	Brentford	3	3	1.2	+1.8
3	Kai Havertz	Arsenal	1	0	0.9	-0.9
4	Igor Thiago	Brentford	3	2	0.6	+1.4
5	Malick Yalcouyé	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	1	0.6	+0.4
6	Brian Madjo	Aston Villa	1	0	0.5	-0.5
7	Myles Lewis-Skelly	Arsenal	2	0	0.5	-0.5
8	Viktor Gyökeres	Arsenal	2	1	0.5	+0.5
9	Jacob Murphy	Newcastle United	2	0	0.4	-0.4
10	Dwight McNeil	Crystal Palace	1	0	0.4	-0.4
11	E. Williams	Peterborough United	2	0	0.4	-0.4
12	Alysson	Aston Villa	2	0	0.4	-0.4
13	Levi Colwill	Chelsea	1	0	0.4	-0.4
14	B. Shofowoke	Peterborough United	3	1	0.4	+0.6
15	Georginio Rutter	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	1	0.4	+0.7
16	Dan Burn	Newcastle United	1	1	0.3	+0.7
17	Emiliano Buendía	Aston Villa	2	0	0.3	-0.3
18	George Lawrence Hemmings	Aston Villa	2	0	0.3	-0.3
19	Ceadach O'Neill	Arsenal	1	0	0.3	-0.3
20	Eddie Nketiah	Crystal Palace	1	1	0.3	+0.7
21	Jurriën Timber	Arsenal	1	0	0.3	-0.3
22	Vitaly Janelt	Brentford	2	0	0.3	-0.3
23	Mikkel Damsgaard	Brentford	3	1	0.3	+0.7
24	Yoane Wissa	Newcastle United	2	0	0.2	-0.2
25	Fabian Schär	Newcastle United	2	0	0.2	-0.2
26	Joe Willock	Newcastle United	2	1	0.2	+0.8
27	Michael Kayode	Brentford	3	0	0.2	-0.2
28	Marco Palestra	Chelsea	1	0	0.2	-0.2
29	Daichi Kamada	Crystal Palace	1	0	0.2	-0.2
30	Mats Wieffer	Brighton & Hove Albion	1	0	0.2	-0.2
31	Harvey Barnes	Newcastle United	2	0	0.2	-0.2
32	Ben White	Arsenal	1	0	0.2	-0.2
33	William Osula	Newcastle United	1	0	0.2	-0.2
34	Vernon Masara	Peterborough United	2	0	0.2	-0.2
35	Yasin Ayari	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	0	0.2	-0.2
36	Cristhian Mosquera	Arsenal	1	0	0.1	-0.1
37	Amar Dedić	Newcastle United	2	0	0.1	-0.1
38	Anthony Elanga	Newcastle United	2	0	0.1	-0.1
39	Taylor Harwood-Bellis	Aston Villa	3	0	0.1	-0.1
40	Joelinton	Newcastle United	1	0	0.1	-0.1
41	Owura Edwards	Peterborough United	2	0	0.1	-0.1
42	Max Dowman	Arsenal	2	2	0.1	+1.9
43	Ibrahim Mbaye	Aston Villa	2	0	0.1	-0.1
44	João Gomes	Aston Villa	1	0	0.1	-0.1
45	Lewis Hall	Newcastle United	2	0	0.1	-0.1
46	H. Mills	Peterborough United	3	0	0.1	-0.1
47	Declan Frith	Peterborough United	1	0	0.1	-0.1
48	Brandon Khela	Peterborough United	2	0	0.1	-0.1
49	El Hadji Malick Diouf	Brentford	2	0	0.1	-0.1
50	Pascal Groß	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	1	0.1	+0.9

How these player xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a player gets, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. A player's xG is those values added up, so the gap between the goals they scored and their xG shows whether they finished better or worse than their chances deserved. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks. What is a good xG?

Carabao Cup Player xG Stats Questions

Which Carabao Cup player has had the most xG this season?

Morgan Rogers of Chelsea has had the most xG in the Carabao Cup in 2026/2027, 1.37 from three appearances, and has scored 1 goal from it. Callum Wilson is next on 1.23.

Who are the biggest xG overperformers in the Carabao Cup this season?

Harry Leonard of Peterborough United is the biggest xG overperformer in the Carabao Cup in 2026/2027, with 4 goals from chances worth 0.00 xG, a gap of 4.00. Thierno Barry is next on 3.32.

Who are the biggest xG underperformers in the Carabao Cup this season?

Kai Havertz of Arsenal is the biggest xG underperformer in the Carabao Cup in 2026/2027, with no goals from chances worth 0.85 xG, a shortfall of 0.85. Bradley Barcola is next on 0.63.

Which Carabao Cup player has the highest xG per 90 this season?

Morgan Rogers of Chelsea has the highest xG per 90 in the Carabao Cup in 2026/2027, 0.61 from 202 minutes across three appearances, the best of anyone past 130 minutes. Callum Wilson is next on 0.56.

Which Carabao Cup midfielder has had the most xG this season?

Morgan Rogers of Chelsea has had the most xG of any midfielder in the Carabao Cup in 2026/2027, 1.37 from three appearances, and has scored 1 goal from it. Hayden Hackney is next on 0.81.

Which Carabao Cup defender has had the most xG this season?

Myles Lewis-Skelly of Arsenal has had the most xG of any defender in the Carabao Cup in 2026/2027, 0.49 from two appearances, and has scored no goals from it. Levi Colwill is next on 0.36.

Do Carabao Cup players score more than their xG on average?

Yes. Carabao Cup players have scored 242 goals in 2026/2027 from chances worth 29.7 xG, 815% of what they deserved and 212.3 goals to the good.