Tuesday first. One from four: Slovakia won 4-0 at Moldova at 2/5, while Iceland drew 0-0 in Estonia, Scotland lost 1-2 at home to Slovenia and Finland lost 1-0 at Belarus. The season stands at 16 winners from 77 and +2.98pts.
Saturday has the full card back, so it is two slips again: an English Acca and a European Acca, five legs each, and every leg a home side. The English one starts at the Emirates at half twelve and runs through the three o'clock games.
Arsenal at 4/9 host Leeds United. They are second in the table with four wins from five league games and a clean sheet in three of them, the best rate in the division. Our Arsenal v Leeds preview goes through the match in full.
Plymouth Argyle at 1/2 are top of League One and kick off at half twelve against AFC Wimbledon. They have won four of their last five and scored 12 goals in them. Wimbledon have scored five in their last five.
Leicester City at 3/5 are at home to Peterborough United, who are 23rd and have not won in their last five matches in any competition. Leicester's two wins in their last five came against the sides now first and fifth, 2-0 over Plymouth and 4-3 at Stockport.
Stockport County at 4/9 score 2.1 goals a game, the second-best rate in League One. Barnsley have conceded 13 in their last five matches in all competitions, five of them in a 1-5 home defeat to Stevenage.
York City at 1/2 finish the card. They won their last two home games 3-0 and 4-0 and only one League Two side scores more than their two a game. Northampton Town are 22nd and have scored three goals in their last five.
Around 13/2 the five, with Coral the best of the books on it, and half a point on the stake.
Combined odds: 7.37 with coral at the time of writing, staked 0.5pt.
The European half is five home sides across the Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Serie A and La Liga, with kick-offs from half past two until eight, so there is something live all afternoon and evening.
Hoffenheim at 2/5 open it against Hamburg, who have conceded 13 goals in four Bundesliga games, including two 0-5 defeats, at Leipzig and at home to Mainz. Hoffenheim have scored in every league game this season. The preview has the rest.
Lille at 4/9 are fourth and have kept three clean sheets in five league games, the best rate in Ligue 1. Le Havre are 18th, without a win in five and with four goals scored in them.
RB Leipzig at 3/5 have won both home league games, 3-0 against Gladbach and 5-0 against Hamburg, eight scored and none conceded. Frankfurt have let in 10 in their four league games. Preview here.
Napoli at 4/9 are at home to Frosinone at a quarter to eight. Frosinone are sixth on 10 points and Napoli ninth on seven, and Napoli come in unbeaten in their last two league games, 1-0 over Bologna and 1-1 at Fiorentina. Our Napoli v Frosinone preview sets out the match.
Real Madrid at 4/11 close it at eight. They average 2.6 goals a game in La Liga and 7.6 shots on target, the second-best rate in the league for both. Villarreal have lost three of their seven league games. The Real Madrid v Villarreal preview is on the site.
Around 11/2 the five, with bet365 the book for it, and half a point on the stake.
Combined odds: 6.32 with bet365 at the time of writing, staked 0.5pt.
Every Daily Acca settles here on a tiered stake - 1pt under 5.0, 0.5pt from 5.0 to 15.0, 0.25pt above that - because a short double and a long-odds five-fold are not the same bet. 16 winners from 77 so far, and the season is +2.98pts.
Every accumulator starts in the Statz Acca Builder, which prices the day's match and goals markets against the projections model and selects legs by projected probability - not by price, and never by a claimed "edge" against the bookmaker. The day's strategy decides how they combine: a short-priced treble on a quiet card, a both-teams-to-score slip when the model likes goals, a longer five-fold on a full weekend.
Legs are shown in kickoff order, the way the day actually unfolds, with each leg's price and the model's probability beside it. Every slip carries its combined price and a one-tap link that loads all the legs into your bookmaker's betslip, and the season ledger below keeps the full settled record.
Slips are staked on a tiered ladder: one point at combined odds under 5.0, half a point from 5.0 to 15.0, and a quarter point above that. A short accumulator double and a long-odds five-fold are not the same bet, and a record that stakes them identically flatters whichever kind has been luckier lately.
The running total is quoted in points, wins and losses both published. Accumulators are high-variance by design - most slips lose, including good ones - which is exactly why the record is public.
The accumulator goes up in the morning, UK time, on days with a card worth betting on. Cup nights and international breaks sometimes offer nothing our covered competitions price properly; on those days the column says so rather than forcing a slip out of weak markets.
Prices are the best available at the time of writing and move through the day, sometimes sharply near kickoff. The one-tap betslip link, where shown, repopulates the same legs at the bookmaker's current prices.
An accumulator combines outcomes across different matches, so its legs are close to independent; a bet builder stacks selections inside one game, so one match script drives every leg. The Daily Acca is the cross-match column; its single-game sibling publishes one builder per match on the bet builder tips page, under the same staking ladder and the same public-record rule.
Every leg links its full match stats page - form, head-to-head, projected lineups and the model's numbers for both teams. The Acca Builder prices every market on the day's card, so you can rebuild today's accumulator with your own legs, drop the one you disagree with, or raise the risk band if the price is too short for you.
+5.54pts at a 0.5pt stake, settled into the record above.
+3.5pts at a 0.5pt stake, settled into the record above.
+3.96pts at a 1pt stake, settled into the record above.
+3.91pts at a 1pt stake, settled into the record above.
A football accumulator - an acca - combines several selections from different matches into one bet, with the odds of every leg multiplied together. Every leg has to win for the accumulator to pay out, which is why the prices are big and the variance is bigger. The Daily Acca publishes one data-built accumulator each day with the full record of results.
One accumulator a day, built from the Statz projections model: a small number of selections across the day's fixtures, combined into a single slip with the prices and the reasoning shown. A new slip is published every morning there is a card worth betting on.
Every leg starts in the Statz Acca Builder, which prices the day's match and goals markets against the model's projections. The day's strategy - a safe short-price slip, a both-teams-to-score treble, a longer-odds value slip - decides how the legs are combined.
Yes - every slip settles into a public record on a tiered stake: 1pt at odds under 5.0, 0.5pt from 5.0 to 15.0 and 0.25pt above that, because a short double and a long-odds five-fold are not the same bet. Wins and losses both go up, and accumulators are high-variance by design: most slips lose, which is exactly why the record is published.
The slip for each day is published in the morning, UK time, and the prices shown are the prices at the time of writing - they can move before kickoff.
18+. Please gamble responsibly - begambleaware.org. If you need to take a break, GamStop (gamstop.co.uk) lets you self-exclude from all UK-licensed betting sites.