Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected goal difference is the gap between the two, so a side above its actual goal difference has created more than it has taken. Figures count ties in this competition only. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.
| # | Team | Played | Goals | xG | Goals minus xG | Goals against | xGA | Goals against minus xGA | Goal difference | xGD | Goal difference minus xGD | Points | xPts | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 2 | 4 | 5.4 | -1.4 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 | +3 | 4.1 | -1.1 | 6 | 4.8 | +1.2 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 7 | 5.1 | +1.9 | 1 | 4.6 | -3.6 | +6 | 0.5 | +5.5 | 9 | 4.7 | +4.3 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | +1 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | AFC Bournemouth | 2 | 2 | 5.5 | -3.5 | 3 | 3.9 | -0.9 | -1 | 1.6 | -2.6 | 1 | 3.4 | -2.4 |
| 5 | Preston North End | 3 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | 3 | 4.6 | -1.6 | +0 | -2.1 | +2.1 | 4 | 3.3 | +0.7 |
| 6 | Manchester City | 1 | 3 | 4.3 | -1.3 | 1 | 0.1 | +0.9 | +2 | 4.2 | -2.2 | 3 | 2.9 | +0.1 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | +0.3 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6 | +1 | 0.2 | +0.8 | 4 | 2.8 | +1.2 |
| 8 | Nottingham Forest | 2 | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 | -2 | 0.0 | -2.0 | 1 | 2.8 | -1.8 |
| 9 | Leeds United | 1 | 0 | 2.1 | -2.1 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | -2 | 1.4 | -3.4 | 0 | 2.3 | -2.3 |
| 10 | Fulham | 1 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1 | -3 | 0.6 | -3.6 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8 |
| 11 | Plymouth Argyle | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 | +1 | 0.0 | +1.0 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6 |
| 12 | Stoke City | 1 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7 | +0 | -0.1 | +0.1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 13 | Newcastle United | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | 4 | 1.9 | +2.1 | -3 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 |
| 15 | Doncaster Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | 2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | -2 | -0.6 | -1.4 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 16 | Southampton | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -1 | -0.6 | -0.4 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 17 | Everton | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | 2 | 2.2 | -0.2 | -2 | -1.3 | -0.7 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | -2 | -1.4 | -0.6 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 2.8 | -0.8 | -1 | -1.7 | +0.7 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 20 | Birmingham City | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | +0.8 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 | -1 | -1.9 | +0.9 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 21 | Wigan Athletic | 1 | 1 | 0.3 | +0.7 | 2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | -1 | -1.3 | +0.3 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| 22 | Exeter City | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | 2 | 2.6 | -0.6 | +0 | -2.0 | +2.0 | 1 | 0.3 | +0.7 |
| # | Team | Played | Goals | xG | Goals minus xG | Goals against | xGA | Goals against minus xGA | Goal difference | xGD | Goal difference minus xGD | Points | xPts | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 4 | 6 | 10.1 | -4.1 | 3 | 4.9 | -1.9 | +3 | 5.2 | -2.2 | 9 | 8.4 | +0.6 |
| 2 | Nottingham Forest | 2 | 2 | 3.7 | -1.7 | 2 | 1.7 | +0.3 | +0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 2 | 3.9 | -1.9 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 2 | 3 | 4.3 | -1.3 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8 | +0 | 2.1 | -2.1 | 3 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 4 | Fulham | 2 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7 | 2 | 2.2 | -0.2 | +1 | 0.1 | +0.9 | 4 | 3.0 | +1.0 |
| 5 | Ipswich Town | 2 | 5 | 2.7 | +2.3 | 2 | 2.5 | -0.5 | +3 | 0.1 | +2.9 | 4 | 2.8 | +1.2 |
| 6 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 5 | 3.0 | +2.0 | 0 | 3.1 | -3.1 | +5 | -0.1 | +5.1 | 6 | 2.7 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Burnley | 2 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 3 | 2.0 | +1.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.9 | 3 | 2.6 | +0.4 |
| 8 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 | 1 | 4.4 | -3.4 | +2 | -1.3 | +3.3 | 4 | 2.6 | +1.4 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 1 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 1.2 | +0.8 | +1 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 |
| 10 | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 2 | 2.2 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | +2 | 1.3 | +0.7 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Cardiff City | 2 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | 5 | 5.7 | -0.7 | -2 | -3.2 | +1.2 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 | +0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 13 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5 | +1 | 0.1 | +0.9 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6 |
| 14 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -1 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4 |
| 15 | Chelsea | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +0.5 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 |
| 16 | Leicester City | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | -1 | -0.7 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 1.9 | +0.1 | -1 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 18 | Millwall | 2 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7 | 3 | 4.7 | -1.7 | +0 | -3.4 | +3.4 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1 |
| 19 | Plymouth Argyle | 1 | 1 | 0.1 | +0.9 | 3 | 4.3 | -1.3 | -2 | -4.2 | +2.2 | 0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
Crystal Palace overperformed their xG by more than any other side in the FA Cup in 2024/2025, with 12 goals from chances worth 8.1 xG, a gap of 3.9. Ipswich Town were next on 2.3.
Manchester City underperformed their xG by more than any other side in the FA Cup in 2024/2025, with 9 goals from chances worth 14.4 xG, a shortfall of 5.4. AFC Bournemouth were next on 3.7.
Manchester City created the most xG in the FA Cup in 2024/2025, 14.4 from five matches, 2.9 a game against a competition average of 1.5. Aston Villa were next on 9.7.
Wigan Athletic created the least xG in the FA Cup in 2024/2025, 0.3 from one match, 0.3 a game against a competition average of 1.5. Chelsea were next on 0.5.
Crystal Palace conceded the most xG in the FA Cup in 2024/2025, 7.7 from five matches, 1.5 a game against a competition average of 1.5. Cardiff City and Plymouth Argyle were next on 5.7.
Leeds United and Chelsea conceded the least xG in the FA Cup in 2024/2025, both on 0.7 from one match, 0.7 a game against a competition average of 1.5. Wycombe Wanderers were next on 0.8.
FA Cup teams averaged 1.52 xG a game in 2024/2025, from the 31 matches played, and scored 1.32 goals a game from it.
FA Cup teams created more xG at home in 2024/2025, 1.54 a game against 1.50 away, a home advantage of +0.04.
The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.
| # | Team | Played | Goals | xG | Goals minus xG | Goals against | xGA | Goals against minus xGA | Goal difference | xGD | Goal difference minus xGD | Points | xPts | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 9 | 14.4 | -5.4 | 4 | 5.0 | -1.0 | +5 | 9.4 | -4.4 | 12 | 11.3 | +0.7 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 4 | 7 | 9.7 | -2.7 | 4 | 3.5 | +0.5 | +3 | 6.2 | -3.2 | 9 | 8.5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 12 | 8.1 | +3.9 | 1 | 7.7 | -6.7 | +11 | 0.5 | +10.5 | 15 | 7.3 | +7.7 |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 3 | 6.1 | -3.1 | 5 | 4.0 | +1.0 | -2 | 2.1 | -4.1 | 3 | 6.7 | -3.7 |
| 5 | AFC Bournemouth | 3 | 4 | 7.7 | -3.7 | 3 | 4.8 | -1.8 | +1 | 2.9 | -1.9 | 4 | 5.6 | -1.6 |
| 6 | Fulham | 3 | 3 | 3.9 | -0.9 | 5 | 3.1 | +1.9 | -2 | 0.8 | -2.8 | 4 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 4 | 3.3 | +0.7 | 2 | 3.1 | -1.1 | +2 | 0.2 | +1.8 | 7 | 4.2 | +2.8 |
| 8 | Manchester United | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | +1 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 2 | 4 | 4.6 | -0.6 | 4 | 2.8 | +1.2 | +0 | 1.8 | -1.8 | 3 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 10 | Preston North End | 3 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | 3 | 4.6 | -1.6 | +0 | -2.1 | +2.1 | 4 | 3.3 | +0.7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 2 | 5 | 2.7 | +2.3 | 2 | 2.5 | -0.5 | +3 | 0.1 | +2.9 | 4 | 2.8 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Burnley | 2 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 3 | 2.0 | +1.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.9 | 3 | 2.6 | +0.4 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 | 1 | 4.4 | -3.4 | +2 | -1.3 | +3.3 | 4 | 2.6 | +1.4 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 1 | 0 | 2.1 | -2.1 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | -2 | 1.4 | -3.4 | 0 | 2.3 | -2.3 |
| 15 | Cardiff City | 2 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | 5 | 5.7 | -0.7 | -2 | -3.2 | +1.2 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 16 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 | +0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 17 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -1 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4 |
| 18 | Plymouth Argyle | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | +0.5 | 3 | 5.7 | -2.7 | -1 | -4.2 | +3.2 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6 |
| 19 | Stoke City | 1 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7 | +0 | -0.1 | +0.1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 20 | Chelsea | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +0.5 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 |
| 21 | Coventry City | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | 4 | 1.9 | +2.1 | -3 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 |
| 22 | Doncaster Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | 2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | -2 | -0.6 | -1.4 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 23 | Southampton | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -1 | -0.6 | -0.4 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 24 | Leicester City | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | -1 | -0.7 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 25 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 1.9 | +0.1 | -1 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 26 | Millwall | 2 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7 | 3 | 4.7 | -1.7 | +0 | -3.4 | +3.4 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1 |
| 27 | Everton | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | 2 | 2.2 | -0.2 | -2 | -1.3 | -0.7 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 28 | Blackburn Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | -2 | -1.4 | -0.6 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 29 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 2.8 | -0.8 | -1 | -1.7 | +0.7 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 30 | Birmingham City | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | +0.8 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 | -1 | -1.9 | +0.9 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 31 | Wigan Athletic | 1 | 1 | 0.3 | +0.7 | 2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | -1 | -1.3 | +0.3 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| 32 | Exeter City | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | 2 | 2.6 | -0.6 | +0 | -2.0 | +2.0 | 1 | 0.3 | +0.7 |