Norway xG 2026

Norway xG Questions

Are Norway overperforming their xG?

Yes, Norway have taken 16 points over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 1.58 more than the 14.42 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Norway's xG per game?

Norway create 1.82 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 14.59 in all, and have scored 19 goals from those chances, 4.41 more than that xG would expect.

What is Norway's xGA per game?

Norway allow 1.15 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 9.19 in all, and have conceded 11 goals from those chances, 1.81 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Norway?

Erling Haaland has the most expected goals (xG) for Norway over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 5.93 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 10 goals; Antonio Nusa is next with 1.83 xG.

Norway expected goals 2026: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 14.59
Goals scored: 19
Goals minus xG: +4.41
Expected goals against (xGA): 9.19
Goals conceded: 11
xGA minus goals conceded: -1.81
Expected points (xPts): 14.42
Points: 16
Points minus xPts: +1.58
Verdict: Running a little hot

Are Norway overperforming their expected goals?

Norway have taken 1.6 points more than their chances warranted over 8 games: +4.4 goals against their xG, and -1.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: Wales expected goals

Games: 8
Wales xG per game: 1.35
Wales xGA per game: 1.62
Points minus xPts: +1.71
Verdict: Running a little hot

Norway results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	14.59	19	+4.41	9.19	11	-1.81	14.42	16	+1.58
Last 5	5	8.52	14	+5.48	7.12	10	-2.88	7.86	9	+1.14
Home	5	10.44	14	+3.56	4.31	5	-0.69	10.56	12	+1.44
Away	3	4.15	5	+0.85	4.88	6	-1.12	3.86	4	+0.14

Norway expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
27 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Portugal (H)	1-2	2.80	0.97	2.40	0	W
24 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Denmark (H)	3-2	1.63	1.23	1.65	3	W
17 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Kazakhstan (H)	5-0	2.18	0.41	2.51	3	W
14 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Slovenia (A)	1-4	1.30	2.01	0.95	3	L
13 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Austria (A)	5-1	0.61	2.50	0.35	0	L
10 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Slovenia (H)	3-0	2.61	0.66	2.51	3	W
9 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Austria (H)	2-1	1.22	1.04	1.49	3	W
6 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Kazakhstan (A)	0-0	2.24	0.37	2.56	1	W

Norway players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Erling Haaland	attacker	8	713	5.93	10	+4.07	0.75
Alexander Sørloth	attacker	6	473	1.18	3	+1.82	0.23
Antonio Nusa	attacker	8	597	1.83	3	+1.17	0.28
Felix Horn Myhre	midfielder	3	143	0.36	1	+0.64	0.23
Torbjørn Heggem	defender	5	307	0.51	0	-0.51	0.15
Patrick Berg	midfielder	7	323	0.78	0	-0.78	0.22
Martin Ødegaard	midfielder	4	337	0.97	0	-0.97	0.26

UEFA Nations League 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Portugal	2	3.2	3	4.2	1	2.4	6	+3.6
2	Greece	2	3.6	3	2.7	1	3	6	+3
3	Sweden	2	2.6	5	2.2	2	3	6	+3
4	France	2	2.6	2	1.9	0	3.2	6	+2.8
5	Ukraine	2	1.4	1	3.1	0	1.4	4	+2.6
6	Spain	2	3.1	7	2.1	3	3.5	6	+2.5
7	Northern Ireland	2	2	1	2.7	0	2.2	4	+1.8
8	Austria	2	4.6	6	1.7	2	4.3	6	+1.7
9	Montenegro	2	4.6	5	1.9	3	4.3	6	+1.7
10	Albania	2	4	5	1.5	0	4.5	6	+1.5
11	Slovakia	2	3.4	4	0.7	1	4.7	6	+1.3
12	Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	2.3	4	2	2	2.8	4	+1.2
13	Luxembourg	2	1.7	2	3.1	4	1.8	3	+1.2
14	Slovenia	2	2.2	2	2	0	2.9	4	+1.1
15	Republic of Ireland	2	1.3	3	2.9	1	2	3	+1
16	Switzerland	2	3.8	6	0.2	0	5.2	6	+0.8
17	Belgium	2	2.9	2	3.5	1	2.3	3	+0.7
18	Malta	1	3.3	2	0.9	1	2.6	3	+0.4
19	Croatia	2	2.6	3	2.4	5	2.8	3	+0.2
20	Italy	2	3.8	4	3.8	3	2.8	3	+0.2
21	Estonia	2	1.7	1	2.9	1	1.8	2	+0.2
22	Gibraltar	1	0.3	0	0.8	0	0.8	1	+0.2
23	Lithuania	2	2.9	3	1.4	1	3.9	4	+0.1
24	Armenia	2	2	4	1.9	3	2.9	3	+0.1
25	Kazakhstan	2	0.8	2	2.9	3	1.1	1	-0.1
26	Iceland	2	3.7	4	1.6	1	4.2	4	-0.2
27	Denmark	2	3.2	4	2.5	3	3.2	3	-0.2
28	Liechtenstein	1	0.1	0	1.6	2	0.3	0	-0.3
29	Azerbaijan	1	1.3	1	1.3	1	1.4	1	-0.4
30	England	2	3.2	4	2.2	3	3.5	3	-0.5
31	Latvia	2	1.4	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
32	Belarus	2	1.3	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
33	Netherlands	2	6.6	3	2.8	2	4.6	4	-0.6
34	San Marino	2	0.7	0	5.6	10	0.6	0	-0.6
35	Finland	2	4.7	7	0.5	0	4.7	4	-0.7
36	North Macedonia	2	0.6	0	4	5	0.7	0	-0.7
37	Kosovo	2	3.8	2	1.9	3	3.9	3	-0.9
38	Faroe Islands	2	2.5	2	2.4	2	2.9	2	-0.9
39	Serbia	2	2.5	2	6.7	4	0.9	0	-0.9
40	Norway	2	4.4	4	2.2	4	4	3	-1
41	Israel	2	0.8	1	4	6	1	0	-1
42	Andorra	2	1.7	1	3.6	2	2.1	1	-1.1
43	Moldova	2	2.3	1	3	3	2.3	1	-1.3
44	Czech Republic	2	1.5	1	3.7	4	1.3	0	-1.3
45	Scotland	2	1.6	0	2.1	3	2.4	1	-1.4
46	Cyprus	2	3	1	4.2	2	2.4	1	-1.4
47	Wales	2	2.3	0	4.2	3	1.6	0	-1.6
48	Germany	2	3.1	1	3.4	2	2.8	1	-1.8
49	Poland	2	2.2	1	2	3	3	1	-2
50	Romania	2	2	3	2.9	6	2.1	0	-2.1
51	Bulgaria	2	2.4	1	1.8	2	3.2	1	-2.2
52	Hungary	2	3.2	0	2.1	1	3.5	1	-2.5
53	Georgia	2	2.7	0	1.4	1	3.7	1	-2.7
54	Turkey	2	2.8	1	2.8	5	2.7	0	-2.7

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