Bulgaria have recorded 5 expected goals (xG) across 8 UEFA Nations League games in 2024/2025, averaging 0.6 per match. K. Despodov leads the squad with 1 expected goals (xG) - 0.33 per game.
Over their last 10 games, Bulgaria are averaging 0.6 expected goals (xG) per match - K. Despodov leads that period with 1. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Bulgaria vs Estonia on 29.09.2026.
Bulgaria average 0.6 expected goals (xG) per UEFA Nations League game in 2024/2025, based on 8 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 0.6 per match.
K. Despodov leads Bulgaria for expected goals (xG) in 2024/2025 with 1 in UEFA Nations League - an average of 0.33 per game.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Bulgaria's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2024/2025.
Bulgaria's results and their chances agree, within 0.2 points of xPts over 7 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 7 | 5.94 | 4 | -1.94 | 6.47 | 8 | -1.53 | 8.78 | 9 | +0.22 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.55 | 3 | -0.55 | 5.04 | 8 | -2.96 | 5.32 | 5 | -0.32 |
| Home | 4 | 3.25 | 3 | -0.25 | 3.44 | 3 | +0.44 | 4.99 | 5 | +0.01 |
| Away | 3 | 2.69 | 1 | -1.69 | 3.03 | 5 | -1.97 | 3.79 | 4 | +0.21 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Luxembourg (H) | 1-2 | 1.28 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 0 | L |
| 18 Nov | UEFA Nations League | Belarus (H) | 1-1 | 0.47 | 0.57 | 1.17 | 1 | D |
| 15 Nov | UEFA Nations League | Luxembourg (A) | 0-1 | 0.37 | 1.31 | 0.60 | 3 | L |
| 15 Oct | UEFA Nations League | Northern Ireland (A) | 5-0 | 1.17 | 1.12 | 1.40 | 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | UEFA Nations League | Luxembourg (H) | 0-0 | 0.26 | 0.69 | 0.83 | 1 | D |
| 8 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Northern Ireland (H) | 1-0 | 1.24 | 0.83 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Belarus (A) | 0-0 | 1.15 | 0.60 | 1.79 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasil Panayotov | midfielder | 3 | 199 | 0.30 | 1 | +0.70 | 0.14 |
| Kiril Despodov | attacker | 5 | 425 | 1.55 | 1 | -0.55 | 0.33 |
| Martin Yankov | attacker | 5 | 230 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.21 |
| Radoslav Kirilov | attacker | 6 | 346 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.16 |
| Aleksandar Kolev | attacker | 5 | 374 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.18 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ukraine | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | 2.1 | 0 | 0.9 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 2 | Northern Ireland | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 3 | Sweden | 1 | 0.9 | 2 | 0.9 | 1 | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 1 | 1.4 | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 5 | France | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 6 | Belgium | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 7 | Spain | 1 | 1.7 | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 8 | Norway | 1 | 1.6 | 3 | 1.2 | 2 | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 9 | Croatia | 1 | 2.1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 10 | Portugal | 1 | 2.2 | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 11 | Albania | 1 | 1.9 | 2 | 0.8 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 12 | Armenia | 1 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 | 0 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 13 | Montenegro | 1 | 3.1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Greece | 1 | 3.1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 15 | Slovakia | 1 | 1.9 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 16 | Lithuania | 1 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 17 | Malta | 1 | 3.3 | 2 | 0.9 | 1 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 18 | Kosovo | 1 | 2.4 | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 19 | Switzerland | 1 | 2.1 | 3 | 0.1 | 0 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 20 | Kazakhstan | 1 | 0.6 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 21 | Slovenia | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 22 | Austria | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0.3 | 1 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 23 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 24 | Germany | 1 | 1.7 | 1 | 2.9 | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 25 | Finland | 1 | 3.8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 26 | Estonia | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | 1.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | San Marino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | -0 |
| 28 | Israel | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| 29 | North Macedonia | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 30 | Republic of Ireland | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 2.4 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 31 | Liechtenstein | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 32 | Andorra | 1 | 0.9 | 1 | 3.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 33 | Moldova | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1.9 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 34 | Serbia | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 3.1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 35 | Cyprus | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 3.1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 36 | Latvia | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 37 | Belarus | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | 1.9 | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 38 | Iceland | 1 | 1.9 | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 39 | Czech Republic | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | 2.1 | 2 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 40 | Poland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 41 | Wales | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | 2.2 | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 42 | Netherlands | 1 | 2.9 | 1 | 1.7 | 1 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 43 | Scotland | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.6 | 0 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 44 | Faroe Islands | 1 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.6 | 1 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 45 | Denmark | 1 | 1.2 | 2 | 1.6 | 3 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 46 | Turkey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 47 | Bulgaria | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.4 | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 48 | England | 1 | 1.5 | 2 | 1.7 | 3 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 49 | Italy | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 50 | Romania | 1 | 0.9 | 1 | 0.9 | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 51 | Georgia | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | 1.2 | 1 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 52 | Hungary | 1 | 2.1 | 0 | 1.2 | 1 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |