How much xG Bulgaria create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 13 November 2026, after the last game
Bulgaria create 1.38 expected goals per game in 2026, the 24th most of the 54 national teams on their 2026 record and above the average of 1.31, across six games, while Germany create the most with 2.32.
Atanas Iliev and Emil Tsenov have created the most expected goals for Bulgaria in 2026, 1.00 each, Atanas Iliev in three appearances and Emil Tsenov in six, ahead of Ivaylo Chochev with 0.00, across all competitions.
Bulgaria create more expected goals away from home, 0.99 a game in their last seven away games against 0.81 in their last six at home.
Bulgaria created 3.26 expected goals away at the Solomon Islands on 27 March, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 1.41 across their seven games, and their fewest was 0.82 away at Iceland on 3 October.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atanas Iliev | 3 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Emil Tsenov | 6 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Radoslav Kirilov | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Tsonev | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgi Lazarov | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Svetoslav Vutsov | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Yordanov | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikola Iliev | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominik Yankov | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivan Pankov | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Atanas Chernev | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Petko Hristov | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stanislav Shopov | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asen Chandarov | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kiril Despodov | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivaylo Chochev | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristiyan Balov | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yoan Stoyanov | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dimitar Mitov | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Ivanov | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stanislav Ivanov | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lukas Petkov | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Petko Panayotov | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Georgiev | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristiyan Stoyanov | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Filip Krastev | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivan Turitsov | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Yankov | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgi Rusev | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristian Dimitrov | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stefan Velkov | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dimitar Velkovski | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hristiyan Petrov | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vladimir Nikolov | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Naumov | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrian Kraev | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ilia Gruev | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zdravko Dimitrov | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marin Petkov | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Bulgaria | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Iceland (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-5 | 1.58 | 2.84 | 4.42 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Luxembourg (A) | UEFA Nations League | 0-2 | 0.89 | 1.36 | 2.25 |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Iceland (A) | UEFA Nations League | 3-0 | 0.82 | 2.26 | 3.08 |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Estonia (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-0 | 1.08 | 0.41 | 1.49 |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Luxembourg (H) | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 | 1.28 | 1.35 | 2.63 |
| 30 Mar 2026 | Indonesia (A) | Friendly International | 0-1 | 0.96 | 0.63 | 1.59 |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Solomon Islands (A) | Friendly International | 2-10 | 3.26 | 1.02 | 4.28 |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Georgia (H) | WC Qualification Europe | 2-1 | 0.34 | 2.34 | 2.68 |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Turkey (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 2-0 | 0.46 | 2.58 | 3.04 |
| 14 Oct 2025 | Spain (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 4-0 | 0.23 | 3.78 | 4.01 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria expected goals | Over 0.50 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Bulgaria expected goals | Over 1.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Bulgaria expected goals | Over 1.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Bulgaria expected goals | Over 2.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Bulgaria expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 0.50 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.00 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |