Updated 10 November 2026.
Bulgaria host Iceland at Stadion Hristo Botev, Galabovo on 13 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Bulgaria's last five results: D L D L W (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Iceland's last five: L D W W D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 1 meetings, Bulgaria have won 0, Iceland 1, with 0 draws.
Bulgaria vs Iceland kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 13 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stadion Hristo Botev, Galabovo. Stadion Hristo Botev holds 18,700 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Bulgaria vs Iceland is being played at Stadion Hristo Botev in Galabovo on Friday 13 November 2026, the home ground of Bulgaria, which holds 18,700 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Bulgaria have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7, with results reading D L D L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win away to Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League on 6 October.
Iceland have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4, with results reading L D W W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-0 draw away to Estonia in the UEFA Nations League on 6 October.
Across the last 1 meetings Bulgaria have won 0, Iceland have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Bulgaria scoring 0 goals to Iceland's 3. The most recent was Iceland 3-0 Bulgaria on 3 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Atanas Iliev leads Bulgaria with 6 shots across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Bulgaria player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Bulgaria player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Orri Óskarsson leads Iceland with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Iceland player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Iceland player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Bulgaria vs Iceland with 11 starters a side: Bulgaria line up 4-3-3 and Iceland 4-3-3, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Friday 13 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Iceland the favourite with a 49% chance of winning, against 25% for Bulgaria and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Bulgaria 1.0 - 1.5 Iceland.
The most likely score in Bulgaria vs Iceland is 0-1, a Iceland win, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 48% likely and over 2.5 goals 44%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Bulgaria vs Iceland, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Iceland vs Bulgaria | 3-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Bulgaria 1.0 - 1.5 Iceland in goals. It gives Bulgaria a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Iceland 49%. Both teams to score is 48% likely, over 1.5 goals 70% and over 2.5 goals 44%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 0-0 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Iceland win | 13% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-2 | Iceland win | 10% |
| 1-2 | Iceland win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bulgaria vs Iceland, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Bulgaria | Fouls committed | Iceland | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Velkov | 7 | H. Magnússon | 11 |
| 2 | P. Panayotov | 5 | M. Ellertsson | 10 |
| 3 | A. Iliev | 5 | H. Haraldsson | 9 |
| 4 | K. Dimitrov | 4 | Í. Jóhannesson | 8 |
| 5 | G. Rusev | 4 | D. Grétarsson | 8 |
| # | Bulgaria | Shots | Iceland | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Iliev | 6 | O. Óskarsson | 15 |
| 2 | G. Rusev | 5 | V. Pálsson | 8 |
| 3 | Z. Dimitrov | 5 | M. Ellertsson | 7 |
| 4 | A. Kraev | 4 | A. Gudjohnsen | 7 |
| 5 | M. Petkov | 4 | H. Haraldsson | 6 |
| # | Bulgaria | Shots on target | Iceland | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Rusev | 4 | O. Óskarsson | 8 |
| 2 | Z. Dimitrov | 3 | V. Pálsson | 3 |
| 3 | A. Iliev | 3 | B. Willumsson | 2 |
| 4 | M. Yankov | 2 | D. Thórhallsson | 2 |
| 5 | A. Chandarov | 2 | Í. Jóhannesson | 2 |
| # | Bulgaria | Goals | Iceland | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Rusev | 1 | O. Óskarsson | 5 |
| 2 | F. Krastev | 1 | A. Gudjohnsen | 2 |
| 3 | A. Iliev | 1 | G. Sigurdsson | 1 |
| 4 | K. Balov | 1 | M. Ellertsson | 1 |
| 5 | A. Chandarov | 1 | V. Pálsson | 1 |
| # | Bulgaria | Yellow cards | Iceland | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Georgiev | 2 | Í. Jóhannesson | 3 |
| 2 | G. Rusev | 2 | J. Thorsteinsson | 2 |
| 3 | L. Petkov | 2 | D. Grétarsson | 2 |
| 4 | D. Velkovski | 2 | M. Ellertsson | 2 |
| 5 | B. Tsonev | 2 | S. Thórdarson | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 33 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 39 of 54 |
| Shots | 12.5 | 30 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4.3 | 28 of 54 |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 22 of 54 |
| Tackles | 18.5 | 5 of 54 |
| Passes | 408.8 | 39 of 54 |
| Corners | 4 | 29 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.3 | 5 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.3 | 4 of 54 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 25 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 18 of 54 |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 28 of 54 |
| Tackles | 17 | 8 of 54 |
| Passes | 489.5 | 22 of 54 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 4 of 54 |