How much xG Romania create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 5 October 2026, after the last game
Romania create 0.92 expected goals per game in 2026, the 9th fewest of the 54 national teams on their 2026 record and below the average of 1.30, across four games, while Germany create the most with 2.28.
Daniel Bîrligea and Dennis Man have created the most expected goals for Romania in 2026, 1.00 each, Daniel Bîrligea in four appearances and Dennis Man in five, ahead of Marius Marin with 0.00, across all competitions.
Romania create more expected goals at home, 1.69 a game in their last six home games against 1.32 in their last eight away.
Romania created 1.18 expected goals away at Slovakia on 31 March, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 0.84 across their six games, and their fewest was 0.53 away at Turkey on 26 March.
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Romania | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | Sweden (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | 0.69 | 2.58 | 3.27 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Poland (A) | UEFA Nations League | 6-0 | 0.65 | 3.89 | 4.54 |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Bosnia (H) | UEFA Nations League | 2-4 | 1.02 | 1.98 | 3.00 |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Sweden (A) | UEFA Nations League | 2-1 | 0.95 | 0.91 | 1.86 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Slovakia (A) | Friendly International | 2-0 | 1.18 | 1.52 | 2.70 |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Turkey (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 1-0 | 0.53 | 0.97 | 1.50 |
| 18 Nov 2025 | San Marino (H) | WC Qualification Europe | 7-1 | 4.46 | 0.27 | 4.73 |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Bosnia (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 3-1 | 0.99 | 1.97 | 2.96 |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Austria (H) | WC Qualification Europe | 1-0 | 0.60 | 0.15 | 0.75 |
| 9 Sep 2025 | Cyprus (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 2-2 | 1.21 | 1.55 | 2.76 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Romania expected goals | Over 1.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Romania expected goals | Over 1.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Romania expected goals | Over 2.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Romania expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Romania expected goals | Over 3.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.00 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |