Poland host Romania on 2 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Poland's last five results: W L L D D (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Romania's last five: L L D W L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses).
Poland vs Romania kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 2 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Poland's last five results read W L L D D (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Romania's last five results read L L D W L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Robert Lewandowski leads Poland with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Florinel Coman leads Romania with 2 shots across their last 10 games.
Predicted lineups for Poland vs Romania appear on the Lineups tab of this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the game.
Statz's projection model makes Poland the favourite with a 61% chance of winning, against 17% for Romania and 22% for the draw. Projected goals are Poland 1.9 - 0.9 Romania.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0, a Poland win, at 11%. Both teams to score is 51% likely and over 2.5 goals 54%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Poland 1.9 - 0.9 Romania in goals. It gives Poland a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Romania 17%. Both teams to score is 51% likely, over 1.5 goals 77% and over 2.5 goals 54%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Poland win | 11% |
| 2-0 | Poland win | 11% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Poland win | 10% |
| 3-0 | Poland win | 7% |
| # | Poland | Fouls committed | Romania | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 4 | A. Dobre | 4 |
| 2 | A. Burcă | 3 | ||
| 3 | C. Manea | 2 | ||
| 4 | F. Coman | 1 | ||
| 5 | C. Cîrjan | 1 |
| # | Poland | Shots | Romania | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 3 | F. Coman | 2 |
| 2 | C. Manea | 1 | ||
| 3 | C. Cîrjan | 1 |
| # | Poland | Shots on target | Romania | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 1 | F. Coman | 2 |
| # | Poland | Goals | Romania | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Lewandowski | 4 | F. Coman | 1 |
| 2 | P. Zieliński | 3 | ||
| 3 | J. Kamiński | 2 | ||
| 4 | K. Świderski | 2 | ||
| 5 | M. Cash | 1 |
| # | Poland | Yellow cards | Romania | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 2 | A. Burcă | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals against | 0 | 2 of 54 |
| Shots | 14 | 21 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 32 of 54 |
| Fouls | 18 | 5 of 54 |
| Tackles | 17 | 17 of 54 |
| Passes | 435 | 31 of 54 |
| Corners | 3 | 35 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 27 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2 | 46 of 54 |
| Shots | 10 | 37 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 1 | 48 of 54 |
| Fouls | 17 | 8 of 54 |
| Tackles | 19 | 10 of 54 |
| Passes | 392 | 40 of 54 |
| Corners | 0 | 51 of 54 |