How much xG Turkey create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 5 October 2026, after the last game
Turkey create 1.69 expected goals per game in 2026, the 10th most of the 54 national teams on their 2026 record and above the average of 1.30, across seven games, while Germany create the most with 2.28.
Barış Alper Yılmaz has created the most expected goals for Turkey in 2026, 2.00 in eight appearances, 0.25 a game, ahead of Kaan Ayhan with 1.00 and Kerem Aktürkoğlu with 1.00, across all competitions.
Turkey create more expected goals at home, 1.63 a game in their last eight home games against 1.45 in their last seven away.
Turkey created 2.20 expected goals at home to Paraguay on 20 June, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 1.63 across their nine games, and their fewest was 0.97 at home to Romania on 26 March.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barış Alper Yılmaz | 9 | 2 | 0.22 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Kaan Ayhan | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | 8 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Arda Güler | 8 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Aral Şimşir | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yusuf Sarı | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Atakan Karazor | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Melih Kabasakal | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mustafa Eskihellaç | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yusuf Akçiçek | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ilhan Fakili | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bartuğ Elmaz | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Samet Akaydin | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Çağlar Söyüncü | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Demir Ege Tıknaz | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Altay Bayındır | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hakan Çalhanoğlu | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yunus Akgün | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| İrfan Can Kahveci | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Can Uzun | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenan Yıldız | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oğuz Aydın | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ozan Kabak | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Merih Demiral | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eren Elmalı | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mert Müldür | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Orkun Kökçü | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Deniz Gül | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ferdi Kadıoğlu | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| İsmail Yüksek | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zeki Çelik | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Salih Özcan | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uğurcan Çakır | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdülkerim Bardakcı | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Turkey | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | Italy (A) | UEFA Nations League | 3-1 | 1.30 | 1.78 | 3.08 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Belgium (A) | UEFA Nations League | 3-0 | 1.54 | 1.63 | 3.17 |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Italy (H) | UEFA Nations League | 1-4 | 1.80 | 1.79 | 3.59 |
| 25 Sep 2026 | France (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 2.08 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | USA (H) | World Cup | 3-2 | 2.01 | 1.55 | 3.56 |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Paraguay (H) | World Cup | 0-1 | 2.20 | 0.35 | 2.55 |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Australia (A) | World Cup | 2-0 | 1.98 | 0.67 | 2.65 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Kosovo (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 0-1 | 1.84 | 0.74 | 2.58 |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Romania (H) | WC Qualification Europe | 1-0 | 0.97 | 0.53 | 1.50 |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Spain (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 2-2 | 1.20 | 3.15 | 4.35 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turkey expected goals | Over 1.00 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Turkey expected goals | Over 1.50 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Turkey expected goals | Over 2.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Turkey expected goals | Over 2.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Turkey expected goals | Over 3.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.00 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |