How much xG Belgium create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 5 October 2026, after the last game
Belgium create 1.80 expected goals per game in 2026, the 8th most of the 54 national teams on their 2026 record and above the average of 1.30, across 10 games, while Germany create the most with 2.28.
Diego Moreira, MatÃas Fernández-Pardo, Mika Godts and Leandro Trossard have created the most expected goals for Belgium in 2026, 1.00 each across all competitions, ahead of Malick Fofana with 0.00, the next highest.
Belgium create more expected goals at home, 2.40 a game in their last nine home games against 2.16 in their last 10 away.
Belgium created 4.29 expected goals away at New Zealand on 27 June, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 1.68 across their 12 games, and their fewest was 0.10 away at Mexico on 1 April.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Diego Moreira | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MatÃas Fernández-Pardo | 5 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 8 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Leandro Trossard | 8 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Youri Tielemans | 8 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Maxim De Cuyper | 9 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 9 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Malick Fofana | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maarten Vandevoordt | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mandela Keita | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Loïs Openda | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Axel Witsel | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arthur Theate | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Meunier | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joaquin Seys | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amadou Onana | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Senne Lammens | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roméo Lavia | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jérémy Doku | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thibaut Courtois | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dodi Lukébakio | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Ngoy | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nicolas Raskin | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hans Vanaken | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Mechele | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Timothy Castagne | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Moreira | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MatÃas Fernández-Pardo | 5 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mika Godts | 6 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Leandro Trossard | 8 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 10 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Youri Tielemans | 10 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Maxim De Cuyper | 11 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 11 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Malick Fofana | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matz Sels | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maarten Vandevoordt | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucas Stassin | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mandela Keita | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan De Cat | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Koni De Winter | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zeno Debast | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arthur Theate | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Loïs Openda | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Axel Witsel | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roméo Lavia | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Meunier | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joaquin Seys | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Senne Lammens | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amadou Onana | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thibaut Courtois | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jérémy Doku | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dodi Lukébakio | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hans Vanaken | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Ngoy | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nicolas Raskin | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Mechele | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Timothy Castagne | 12 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Belgium | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | France (A) | UEFA Nations League | 4-1 | 0.59 | 2.41 | 3.00 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Turkey (H) | UEFA Nations League | 3-0 | 1.63 | 1.54 | 3.17 |
| 28 Sep 2026 | France (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | 0.90 | 1.51 | 2.41 |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Italy (A) | UEFA Nations League | 0-2 | 1.98 | 2.01 | 3.99 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Spain (A) | World Cup | 2-1 | 0.55 | 2.01 | 2.56 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | USA (A) | World Cup | 1-4 | 2.08 | 0.61 | 2.69 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Senegal (H) | World Cup | 3-2 | 2.16 | 2.94 | 5.10 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | New Zealand (A) | World Cup | 1-5 | 4.29 | 0.37 | 4.66 |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Iran (H) | World Cup | 0-0 | 2.00 | 0.64 | 2.64 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Egypt (H) | World Cup | 1-1 | 1.23 | 1.00 | 2.23 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Belgium | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | France (A) | UEFA Nations League | 4-1 | 0.59 | 2.41 | 3.00 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Turkey (H) | UEFA Nations League | 3-0 | 1.63 | 1.54 | 3.17 |
| 28 Sep 2026 | France (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | 0.90 | 1.51 | 2.41 |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Italy (A) | UEFA Nations League | 0-2 | 1.98 | 2.01 | 3.99 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Spain (A) | World Cup | 2-1 | 0.55 | 2.01 | 2.56 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | USA (A) | World Cup | 1-4 | 2.08 | 0.61 | 2.69 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Senegal (H) | World Cup | 3-2 | 2.16 | 2.94 | 5.10 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | New Zealand (A) | World Cup | 1-5 | 4.29 | 0.37 | 4.66 |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Iran (H) | World Cup | 0-0 | 2.00 | 0.64 | 2.64 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Egypt (H) | World Cup | 1-1 | 1.23 | 1.00 | 2.23 |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Mexico (A) | Friendly International | 1-1 | 0.10 | 0.54 | 0.64 |
| 28 Mar 2026 | USA (A) | Friendly International | 2-5 | 2.69 | 1.62 | 4.31 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium expected goals | Over 1.00 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Belgium expected goals | Over 1.50 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Belgium expected goals | Over 2.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Belgium expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Belgium expected goals | Over 3.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |