Wales host Norway at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff on 1 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Wales's last five results: D D D L L (3 draws and 2 losses). Norway's last five: L W W L W (3 wins and 2 losses).
Wales vs Norway kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Thursday 1 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.
Wales vs Norway is being played at Cardiff City Stadium in Cardiff, the home ground of Wales.
Wales's last five results read D D D L L (oldest to newest): 3 draws and 2 losses.
Norway's last five results read L W W L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Harry Wilson leads Wales with 17 shots across their last 10 games.
Erling Haaland leads Norway with 9 goals across their last 10 games.
Predicted lineups for Wales vs Norway appear on the Lineups tab of this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the game.
Statz's projection model makes Norway the favourite with a 45% chance of winning, against 31% for Wales and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Wales 1.3 - 1.7 Norway.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 60% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Wales 1.3 - 1.7 Norway in goals. It gives Wales a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Norway 45%. Both teams to score is 60% likely, over 1.5 goals 80% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 0-2 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Norway win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Norway win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Wales win | 7% |
| 0-2 | Norway win | 7% |
| # | Wales | Fouls committed | Norway | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Ampadu | 11 | A. Sørloth | 11 |
| 2 | N. Williams | 10 | J. Ryerson | 11 |
| 3 | H. Wilson | 8 | D. Wolfe | 11 |
| 4 | D. Brooks | 8 | S. Berge | 8 |
| 5 | L. Koumas | 7 | M. Ødegaard | 6 |
| # | Wales | Shots | Norway | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Wilson | 17 | E. Haaland | 26 |
| 2 | D. James | 17 | A. Nusa | 14 |
| 3 | D. Brooks | 13 | M. Ødegaard | 12 |
| 4 | L. Koumas | 11 | A. Sørloth | 11 |
| 5 | M. Harris | 8 | J. Larsen | 9 |
| # | Wales | Shots on target | Norway | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Koumas | 7 | E. Haaland | 17 |
| 2 | D. James | 6 | A. Nusa | 5 |
| 3 | J. James | 5 | J. Larsen | 4 |
| 4 | D. Brooks | 5 | M. Ødegaard | 4 |
| 5 | H. Wilson | 5 | O. Bobb | 3 |
| # | Wales | Goals | Norway | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Wilson | 3 | E. Haaland | 9 |
| 2 | N. Broadhead | 2 | A. Nusa | 2 |
| 3 | D. Brooks | 2 | J. Larsen | 2 |
| 4 | D. James | 2 | A. Schjelderup | 1 |
| 5 | J. Rodon | 1 | T. Aasgaard | 1 |
| # | Wales | Yellow cards | Norway | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Brooks | 2 | A. Nusa | 1 |
| 2 | H. Wilson | 2 | K. Ajer | 1 |
| 3 | N. Williams | 1 | P. Berg | 1 |
| 4 | R. Norrington-Davies | 1 | D. Wolfe | 1 |
| 5 | C. Crew | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0 | 27 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 18 of 54 |
| Shots | 5 | 29 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 1 | 30 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10 | 26 of 54 |
| Tackles | 7 | 32 of 54 |
| Passes | 393 | 23 of 54 |
| Corners | 2 | 23 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3 | 1 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2 | 24 of 54 |
| Shots | 13 | 13 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 7 | 7 of 54 |
| Fouls | 14 | 11 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13 | 17 of 54 |
| Passes | 509 | 12 of 54 |
| Corners | 4 | 11 of 54 |