North Macedonia xG 2026

North Macedonia xG Questions

Are North Macedonia overperforming their xG?

Yes, North Macedonia have taken 16 points over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 6.51 more than the 9.49 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is North Macedonia's xG per game?

North Macedonia create 0.99 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 7.93 in all, and have scored 10 goals from those chances, 2.07 more than that xG would expect.

What is North Macedonia's xGA per game?

North Macedonia allow 1.30 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 10.42 in all, and have conceded 6 goals from those chances, 4.42 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for North Macedonia?

Lirim Qamili has the most expected goals (xG) for North Macedonia over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 1.78 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Enis Bardhi is next with 1.31 xG.

North Macedonia expected goals 2026: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 7.93
Goals scored: 10
Goals minus xG: +2.07
Expected goals against (xGA): 10.42
Goals conceded: 6
xGA minus goals conceded: +4.42
Expected points (xPts): 9.49
Points: 16
Points minus xPts: +6.51
Verdict: Riding their luck

Are North Macedonia overperforming their expected goals?

North Macedonia have taken 6.5 points more than their chances warranted over 8 games: +2.1 goals against their xG, and +4.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: Scotland expected goals

Games: 8
Scotland xG per game: 0.91
Scotland xGA per game: 1.60
Points minus xPts: +0.58
Verdict: In line with expected goals

North Macedonia results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	7.93	10	+2.07	10.42	6	+4.42	9.49	16	+6.51
Last 5	5	3.29	4	+0.71	6.79	5	+1.79	4.62	9	+4.38
Home	4	3.33	4	+0.67	4.37	3	+1.37	5.03	9	+3.97
Away	4	4.60	6	+1.40	6.05	3	+3.05	4.46	7	+2.54

North Macedonia expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
29 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Slovenia (A)	2-0	0.54	1.67	0.58	0	L
26 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Switzerland (H)	0-3	0.09	2.30	0.14	0	L
17 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Faroe Islands (H)	1-0	0.57	0.40	1.44	3	D
14 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Latvia (H)	1-0	1.66	0.91	1.90	3	W
13 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Armenia (A)	0-2	0.43	1.51	0.56	3	L
10 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Latvia (A)	0-3	1.37	0.68	1.88	3	W
10 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Armenia (H)	2-0	1.01	0.76	1.55	3	W
7 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Faroe Islands (A)	1-1	2.26	2.19	1.44	1	W

North Macedonia players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Bojan Miovski	attacker	8	588	0.98	3	+2.02	0.15
Nikola Serafimov	defender	5	404	0.11	1	+0.89	0.02
Enis Bardhi	midfielder	8	655	1.31	2	+0.69	0.18
Isnik Alimi	midfielder	6	509	0.34	1	+0.66	0.06
Jani Atanasov	midfielder	5	336	0.57	1	+0.43	0.15
Eljif Elmas	midfielder	7	564	0.59	1	+0.41	0.09
Lirim Qamili	attacker	6	262	1.78	1	-0.78	0.61

UEFA Nations League 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Portugal	2	3.2	3	4.2	1	2.4	6	+3.6
2	Greece	2	3.6	3	2.7	1	3	6	+3
3	Sweden	2	2.6	5	2.2	2	3	6	+3
4	France	2	2.6	2	1.9	0	3.2	6	+2.8
5	Ukraine	2	1.4	1	3.1	0	1.4	4	+2.6
6	Spain	2	3.1	7	2.1	3	3.5	6	+2.5
7	Northern Ireland	2	2	1	2.7	0	2.2	4	+1.8
8	Austria	2	4.6	6	1.7	2	4.3	6	+1.7
9	Montenegro	2	4.6	5	1.9	3	4.3	6	+1.7
10	Albania	2	4	5	1.5	0	4.5	6	+1.5
11	Slovakia	2	3.4	4	0.7	1	4.7	6	+1.3
12	Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	2.3	4	2	2	2.8	4	+1.2
13	Luxembourg	2	1.7	2	3.1	4	1.8	3	+1.2
14	Slovenia	2	2.2	2	2	0	2.9	4	+1.1
15	Republic of Ireland	2	1.3	3	2.9	1	2	3	+1
16	Switzerland	2	3.8	6	0.2	0	5.2	6	+0.8
17	Belgium	2	2.9	2	3.5	1	2.3	3	+0.7
18	Malta	1	3.3	2	0.9	1	2.6	3	+0.4
19	Croatia	2	2.6	3	2.4	5	2.8	3	+0.2
20	Italy	2	3.8	4	3.8	3	2.8	3	+0.2
21	Estonia	2	1.7	1	2.9	1	1.8	2	+0.2
22	Gibraltar	1	0.3	0	0.8	0	0.8	1	+0.2
23	Lithuania	2	2.9	3	1.4	1	3.9	4	+0.1
24	Armenia	2	2	4	1.9	3	2.9	3	+0.1
25	Kazakhstan	2	0.8	2	2.9	3	1.1	1	-0.1
26	Iceland	2	3.7	4	1.6	1	4.2	4	-0.2
27	Denmark	2	3.2	4	2.5	3	3.2	3	-0.2
28	Liechtenstein	1	0.1	0	1.6	2	0.3	0	-0.3
29	Azerbaijan	1	1.3	1	1.3	1	1.4	1	-0.4
30	England	2	3.2	4	2.2	3	3.5	3	-0.5
31	Latvia	2	1.4	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
32	Belarus	2	1.3	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
33	Netherlands	2	6.6	3	2.8	2	4.6	4	-0.6
34	San Marino	2	0.7	0	5.6	10	0.6	0	-0.6
35	Finland	2	4.7	7	0.5	0	4.7	4	-0.7
36	North Macedonia	2	0.6	0	4	5	0.7	0	-0.7
37	Kosovo	2	3.8	2	1.9	3	3.9	3	-0.9
38	Faroe Islands	2	2.5	2	2.4	2	2.9	2	-0.9
39	Serbia	2	2.5	2	6.7	4	0.9	0	-0.9
40	Norway	2	4.4	4	2.2	4	4	3	-1
41	Israel	2	0.8	1	4	6	1	0	-1
42	Andorra	2	1.7	1	3.6	2	2.1	1	-1.1
43	Moldova	2	2.3	1	3	3	2.3	1	-1.3
44	Czech Republic	2	1.5	1	3.7	4	1.3	0	-1.3
45	Scotland	2	1.6	0	2.1	3	2.4	1	-1.4
46	Cyprus	2	3	1	4.2	2	2.4	1	-1.4
47	Wales	2	2.3	0	4.2	3	1.6	0	-1.6
48	Germany	2	3.1	1	3.4	2	2.8	1	-1.8
49	Poland	2	2.2	1	2	3	3	1	-2
50	Romania	2	2	3	2.9	6	2.1	0	-2.1
51	Bulgaria	2	2.4	1	1.8	2	3.2	1	-2.2
52	Hungary	2	3.2	0	2.1	1	3.5	1	-2.5
53	Georgia	2	2.7	0	1.4	1	3.7	1	-2.7
54	Turkey	2	2.8	1	2.8	5	2.7	0	-2.7

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