Slovakia xG 2026

Slovakia xG Questions

Are Slovakia overperforming their xG?

Yes, Slovakia have taken 19 points over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 4.46 more than the 14.54 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Slovakia's xG per game?

Slovakia create 1.61 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 12.90 in all, and have scored 14 goals from those chances, 1.10 more than that xG would expect.

What is Slovakia's xGA per game?

Slovakia allow 0.99 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 7.94 in all, and have conceded 6 goals from those chances, 1.94 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Slovakia?

David Strelec has the most expected goals (xG) for Slovakia over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 2.74 xG in 7 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Ondrej Duda is next with 2.01 xG.

Slovakia expected goals 2026: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 12.90
Goals scored: 14
Goals minus xG: +1.10
Expected goals against (xGA): 7.94
Goals conceded: 6
xGA minus goals conceded: +1.94
Expected points (xPts): 14.54
Points: 19
Points minus xPts: +4.46
Verdict: Riding their luck

Are Slovakia overperforming their expected goals?

Slovakia have taken 4.5 points more than their chances warranted over 8 games: +1.1 goals against their xG, and +1.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: Faroe Islands expected goals

Games: 8
Faroe Islands xG per game: 1.16
Faroe Islands xGA per game: 1.35
Points minus xPts: -1.80
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Slovakia results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	12.90	14	+1.10	7.94	6	+1.94	14.54	19	+4.46
Last 5	5	7.25	9	+1.75	4.92	4	+0.92	8.60	12	+3.40
Home	5	9.28	9	-0.28	3.80	3	+0.80	10.66	13	+2.34
Away	3	3.62	5	+1.38	4.14	3	+1.14	3.88	6	+2.12

Slovakia expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
29 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Kazakhstan (H)	2-1	1.44	0.20	2.34	3	W
26 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Moldova (H)	2-0	1.91	0.49	2.34	3	W
19 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Estonia (H)	1-0	2.39	0.45	2.56	3	W
16 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Sweden (A)	2-1	0.59	2.32	0.39	0	L
14 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Azerbaijan (A)	1-3	0.92	1.46	0.97	3	L
11 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Sweden (H)	2-2	1.42	2.34	0.87	1	L
8 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Azerbaijan (H)	2-0	2.12	0.32	2.55	3	W
5 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Estonia (A)	0-1	2.11	0.36	2.52	3	W

Slovakia players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
David Strelec	attacker	7	528	2.74	4	+1.26	0.47
Dávid Hancko	defender	7	612	0.78	2	+1.22	0.12
Ivan Schranz	attacker	4	124	0.95	1	+0.05	0.69
Ondrej Duda	midfielder	6	484	2.01	2	-0.01	0.37
Leo Sauer	attacker	3	123	1.06	1	-0.06	0.77
Lukas Haraslin	attacker	5	413	1.18	1	-0.18	0.26
László Bénes	midfielder	5	344	0.51	0	-0.51	0.13
Tomas Suslov	midfielder	7	597	1.54	0	-1.54	0.23

UEFA Nations League 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Portugal	2	3.2	3	4.2	1	2.4	6	+3.6
2	Greece	2	3.6	3	2.7	1	3	6	+3
3	Sweden	2	2.6	5	2.2	2	3	6	+3
4	France	2	2.6	2	1.9	0	3.2	6	+2.8
5	Ukraine	2	1.4	1	3.1	0	1.4	4	+2.6
6	Spain	2	3.1	7	2.1	3	3.5	6	+2.5
7	Northern Ireland	2	2	1	2.7	0	2.2	4	+1.8
8	Austria	2	4.6	6	1.7	2	4.3	6	+1.7
9	Montenegro	2	4.6	5	1.9	3	4.3	6	+1.7
10	Albania	2	4	5	1.5	0	4.5	6	+1.5
11	Slovakia	2	3.4	4	0.7	1	4.7	6	+1.3
12	Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	2.3	4	2	2	2.8	4	+1.2
13	Luxembourg	2	1.7	2	3.1	4	1.8	3	+1.2
14	Slovenia	2	2.2	2	2	0	2.9	4	+1.1
15	Republic of Ireland	2	1.3	3	2.9	1	2	3	+1
16	Switzerland	2	3.8	6	0.2	0	5.2	6	+0.8
17	Belgium	2	2.9	2	3.5	1	2.3	3	+0.7
18	Malta	1	3.3	2	0.9	1	2.6	3	+0.4
19	Croatia	2	2.6	3	2.4	5	2.8	3	+0.2
20	Italy	2	3.8	4	3.8	3	2.8	3	+0.2
21	Estonia	2	1.7	1	2.9	1	1.8	2	+0.2
22	Gibraltar	1	0.3	0	0.8	0	0.8	1	+0.2
23	Lithuania	2	2.9	3	1.4	1	3.9	4	+0.1
24	Armenia	2	2	4	1.9	3	2.9	3	+0.1
25	Kazakhstan	2	0.8	2	2.9	3	1.1	1	-0.1
26	Iceland	2	3.7	4	1.6	1	4.2	4	-0.2
27	Denmark	2	3.2	4	2.5	3	3.2	3	-0.2
28	Liechtenstein	1	0.1	0	1.6	2	0.3	0	-0.3
29	Azerbaijan	1	1.3	1	1.3	1	1.4	1	-0.4
30	England	2	3.2	4	2.2	3	3.5	3	-0.5
31	Latvia	2	1.4	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
32	Belarus	2	1.3	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
33	Netherlands	2	6.6	3	2.8	2	4.6	4	-0.6
34	San Marino	2	0.7	0	5.6	10	0.6	0	-0.6
35	Finland	2	4.7	7	0.5	0	4.7	4	-0.7
36	North Macedonia	2	0.6	0	4	5	0.7	0	-0.7
37	Kosovo	2	3.8	2	1.9	3	3.9	3	-0.9
38	Faroe Islands	2	2.5	2	2.4	2	2.9	2	-0.9
39	Serbia	2	2.5	2	6.7	4	0.9	0	-0.9
40	Norway	2	4.4	4	2.2	4	4	3	-1
41	Israel	2	0.8	1	4	6	1	0	-1
42	Andorra	2	1.7	1	3.6	2	2.1	1	-1.1
43	Moldova	2	2.3	1	3	3	2.3	1	-1.3
44	Czech Republic	2	1.5	1	3.7	4	1.3	0	-1.3
45	Scotland	2	1.6	0	2.1	3	2.4	1	-1.4
46	Cyprus	2	3	1	4.2	2	2.4	1	-1.4
47	Wales	2	2.3	0	4.2	3	1.6	0	-1.6
48	Germany	2	3.1	1	3.4	2	2.8	1	-1.8
49	Poland	2	2.2	1	2	3	3	1	-2
50	Romania	2	2	3	2.9	6	2.1	0	-2.1
51	Bulgaria	2	2.4	1	1.8	2	3.2	1	-2.2
52	Hungary	2	3.2	0	2.1	1	3.5	1	-2.5
53	Georgia	2	2.7	0	1.4	1	3.7	1	-2.7
54	Turkey	2	2.8	1	2.8	5	2.7	0	-2.7

Slovakia stats & bet builder pages

Slovakia recent matches

Slovakia next match

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands - match preview, projections & bet builder