No, Georgia have taken 8 points over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 6.04 fewer than the 14.04 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Georgia create 1.39 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 11.10 in all, and have scored 7 goals from those chances, 4.10 fewer than that xG would expect.
Georgia allow 0.86 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 6.88 in all, and have conceded 7 goals from those chances, 0.12 more than that xGA would expect.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has the most expected goals (xG) for Georgia over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 2.99 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Georges Mikautadze is next with 2.43 xG.
Georgia have taken 6.0 points fewer than their chances warranted over 8 games: -4.1 goals against their xG, and -0.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 8 | 8 | 11.10 | 7 | -4.10 | 6.88 | 7 | -0.12 | 14.04 | 8 | -6.04 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.46 | 2 | -4.46 | 5.11 | 5 | +0.11 | 8.04 | 2 | -6.04 |
| Home | 5 | 7.54 | 5 | -2.54 | 3.62 | 4 | -0.38 | 9.57 | 5 | -4.57 |
| Away | 3 | 3.56 | 2 | -1.56 | 3.26 | 3 | +0.26 | 4.47 | 3 | -1.47 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Ukraine (H) | 0-0 | 1.05 | 0.22 | 2.07 | 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Northern Ireland (H) | 0-1 | 1.60 | 1.18 | 1.66 | 0 | W |
| 19 Nov | UEFA Nations League | Czech Republic (A) | 2-1 | 1.34 | 2.11 | 0.93 | 0 | L |
| 16 Nov | UEFA Nations League | Ukraine (H) | 1-1 | 1.33 | 0.97 | 1.63 | 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | UEFA Nations League | Albania (H) | 0-1 | 1.14 | 0.63 | 1.75 | 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | UEFA Nations League | Ukraine (A) | 1-0 | 0.86 | 0.68 | 1.48 | 0 | W |
| 10 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Albania (A) | 0-1 | 1.36 | 0.47 | 2.06 | 3 | W |
| 7 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Czech Republic (H) | 4-1 | 2.42 | 0.62 | 2.46 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georges Mikautadze | attacker | 8 | 600 | 2.43 | 3 | +0.57 | 0.36 |
| Giorgi Kochorashvili | midfielder | 7 | 611 | 1.48 | 2 | +0.52 | 0.22 |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | midfielder | 8 | 568 | 0.54 | 1 | +0.46 | 0.09 |
| Zuriko Davitashvili | attacker | 8 | 268 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.21 |
| Otar Kiteishvili | midfielder | 8 | 577 | 0.71 | 0 | -0.71 | 0.11 |
| Budu Zivzivadze | attacker | 6 | 213 | 1.03 | 0 | -1.03 | 0.44 |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | attacker | 8 | 705 | 2.99 | 1 | -1.99 | 0.38 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 3.2 | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | 2.4 | 6 | +3.6 |
| 2 | Greece | 2 | 3.6 | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +3 |
| 3 | Sweden | 2 | 2.6 | 5 | 2.2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +3 |
| 4 | France | 2 | 2.6 | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Ukraine | 2 | 1.4 | 1 | 3.1 | 0 | 1.4 | 4 | +2.6 |
| 6 | Spain | 2 | 3.1 | 7 | 2.1 | 3 | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| 7 | Northern Ireland | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2.7 | 0 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Austria | 2 | 4.6 | 6 | 1.7 | 2 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 9 | Montenegro | 2 | 4.6 | 5 | 1.9 | 3 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Albania | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1.5 | 0 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 11 | Slovakia | 2 | 3.4 | 4 | 0.7 | 1 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 12 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2 | 2.3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 13 | Luxembourg | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | 3.1 | 4 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 14 | Slovenia | 2 | 2.2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 15 | Republic of Ireland | 2 | 1.3 | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 | Switzerland | 2 | 3.8 | 6 | 0.2 | 0 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 17 | Belgium | 2 | 2.9 | 2 | 3.5 | 1 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 18 | Malta | 1 | 3.3 | 2 | 0.9 | 1 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 19 | Croatia | 2 | 2.6 | 3 | 2.4 | 5 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 20 | Italy | 2 | 3.8 | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 21 | Estonia | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | 2.9 | 1 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 22 | Gibraltar | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 23 | Lithuania | 2 | 2.9 | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 24 | Armenia | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1.9 | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 25 | Kazakhstan | 2 | 0.8 | 2 | 2.9 | 3 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 26 | Iceland | 2 | 3.7 | 4 | 1.6 | 1 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 27 | Denmark | 2 | 3.2 | 4 | 2.5 | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 28 | Liechtenstein | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 29 | Azerbaijan | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 30 | England | 2 | 3.2 | 4 | 2.2 | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 31 | Latvia | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | 3.1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 32 | Belarus | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | 3.1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 33 | Netherlands | 2 | 6.6 | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 34 | San Marino | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | 5.6 | 10 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 35 | Finland | 2 | 4.7 | 7 | 0.5 | 0 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 36 | North Macedonia | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 37 | Kosovo | 2 | 3.8 | 2 | 1.9 | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 38 | Faroe Islands | 2 | 2.5 | 2 | 2.4 | 2 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 39 | Serbia | 2 | 2.5 | 2 | 6.7 | 4 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 40 | Norway | 2 | 4.4 | 4 | 2.2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
| 41 | Israel | 2 | 0.8 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| 42 | Andorra | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | 3.6 | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 43 | Moldova | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 44 | Czech Republic | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | 3.7 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 45 | Scotland | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 46 | Cyprus | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4.2 | 2 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 47 | Wales | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | 4.2 | 3 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 48 | Germany | 2 | 3.1 | 1 | 3.4 | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 49 | Poland | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| 50 | Romania | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2.9 | 6 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 51 | Bulgaria | 2 | 2.4 | 1 | 1.8 | 2 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 52 | Hungary | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 2.1 | 1 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| 53 | Georgia | 2 | 2.7 | 0 | 1.4 | 1 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| 54 | Turkey | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | 2.8 | 5 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |