Albania xG 2026

Albania xG Questions

Are Albania overperforming their xG?

Yes, Albania have taken 13 points over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 2.65 more than the 10.35 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Albania's xG per game?

Albania create 1.03 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 8.26 in all, and have scored 9 goals from those chances, 0.74 more than that xG would expect.

What is Albania's xGA per game?

Albania allow 1.06 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 8.50 in all, and have conceded 6 goals from those chances, 2.50 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Albania?

Kristjan Asllani has the most expected goals (xG) for Albania over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 1.41 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Nedim Bajrami is next with 1.39 xG.

Albania expected goals 2026: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 8.26
Goals scored: 9
Goals minus xG: +0.74
Expected goals against (xGA): 8.50
Goals conceded: 6
xGA minus goals conceded: +2.50
Expected points (xPts): 10.35
Points: 13
Points minus xPts: +2.65
Verdict: Running a little hot

Are Albania overperforming their expected goals?

Albania have taken 2.7 points more than their chances warranted over 8 games: +0.7 goals against their xG, and +2.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: Finland expected goals

Games: 8
Finland xG per game: 1.25
Finland xGA per game: 1.28
Points minus xPts: -5.82
Verdict: Due an upturn

Albania results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	8.26	9	+0.74	8.50	6	+2.50	10.35	13	+2.65
Last 5	5	6.45	7	+0.55	4.60	2	+2.60	7.88	10	+2.12
Home	4	4.34	3	-1.34	4.15	3	+1.15	5.38	4	-1.38
Away	4	3.92	6	+2.08	4.35	3	+1.35	4.97	9	+4.03

Albania expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
29 Sep	UEFA Nations League	San Marino (A)	0-3	1.95	0.67	2.23	3	W
26 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Belarus (H)	2-0	2.08	0.79	2.22	3	W
19 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Ukraine (H)	1-2	1.30	1.57	1.19	0	L
16 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Czech Republic (H)	0-0	0.49	0.43	1.31	1	D
14 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Georgia (A)	0-1	0.63	1.14	0.93	3	L
11 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Czech Republic (A)	2-0	0.42	1.49	0.57	0	L
10 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Georgia (H)	0-1	0.47	1.36	0.66	0	L
7 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Ukraine (A)	1-2	0.92	1.05	1.24	3	L

Albania players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Ardian Ismajli	defender	8	720	0.28	1	+0.72	0.04
Jasir Asani	attacker	6	393	0.34	1	+0.66	0.08
Ernest Muci	midfielder	5	212	0.38	1	+0.62	0.16
Kristjan Asllani	midfielder	8	716	1.41	2	+0.59	0.18
Myrto Uzuni	attacker	5	177	0.62	1	+0.38	0.32
Rey Manaj	attacker	4	302	1.08	1	-0.08	0.32
Nedim Bajrami	midfielder	6	438	1.39	1	-0.39	0.29
Qazim Laci	midfielder	6	445	0.52	0	-0.52	0.10

UEFA Nations League 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Portugal	2	3.2	3	4.2	1	2.4	6	+3.6
2	Greece	2	3.6	3	2.7	1	3	6	+3
3	Sweden	2	2.6	5	2.2	2	3	6	+3
4	France	2	2.6	2	1.9	0	3.2	6	+2.8
5	Ukraine	2	1.4	1	3.1	0	1.4	4	+2.6
6	Spain	2	3.1	7	2.1	3	3.5	6	+2.5
7	Northern Ireland	2	2	1	2.7	0	2.2	4	+1.8
8	Austria	2	4.6	6	1.7	2	4.3	6	+1.7
9	Montenegro	2	4.6	5	1.9	3	4.3	6	+1.7
10	Albania	2	4	5	1.5	0	4.5	6	+1.5
11	Slovakia	2	3.4	4	0.7	1	4.7	6	+1.3
12	Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	2.3	4	2	2	2.8	4	+1.2
13	Luxembourg	2	1.7	2	3.1	4	1.8	3	+1.2
14	Slovenia	2	2.2	2	2	0	2.9	4	+1.1
15	Republic of Ireland	2	1.3	3	2.9	1	2	3	+1
16	Switzerland	2	3.8	6	0.2	0	5.2	6	+0.8
17	Belgium	2	2.9	2	3.5	1	2.3	3	+0.7
18	Malta	1	3.3	2	0.9	1	2.6	3	+0.4
19	Croatia	2	2.6	3	2.4	5	2.8	3	+0.2
20	Italy	2	3.8	4	3.8	3	2.8	3	+0.2
21	Estonia	2	1.7	1	2.9	1	1.8	2	+0.2
22	Gibraltar	1	0.3	0	0.8	0	0.8	1	+0.2
23	Lithuania	2	2.9	3	1.4	1	3.9	4	+0.1
24	Armenia	2	2	4	1.9	3	2.9	3	+0.1
25	Kazakhstan	2	0.8	2	2.9	3	1.1	1	-0.1
26	Iceland	2	3.7	4	1.6	1	4.2	4	-0.2
27	Denmark	2	3.2	4	2.5	3	3.2	3	-0.2
28	Liechtenstein	1	0.1	0	1.6	2	0.3	0	-0.3
29	Azerbaijan	1	1.3	1	1.3	1	1.4	1	-0.4
30	England	2	3.2	4	2.2	3	3.5	3	-0.5
31	Latvia	2	1.4	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
32	Belarus	2	1.3	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
33	Netherlands	2	6.6	3	2.8	2	4.6	4	-0.6
34	San Marino	2	0.7	0	5.6	10	0.6	0	-0.6
35	Finland	2	4.7	7	0.5	0	4.7	4	-0.7
36	North Macedonia	2	0.6	0	4	5	0.7	0	-0.7
37	Kosovo	2	3.8	2	1.9	3	3.9	3	-0.9
38	Faroe Islands	2	2.5	2	2.4	2	2.9	2	-0.9
39	Serbia	2	2.5	2	6.7	4	0.9	0	-0.9
40	Norway	2	4.4	4	2.2	4	4	3	-1
41	Israel	2	0.8	1	4	6	1	0	-1
42	Andorra	2	1.7	1	3.6	2	2.1	1	-1.1
43	Moldova	2	2.3	1	3	3	2.3	1	-1.3
44	Czech Republic	2	1.5	1	3.7	4	1.3	0	-1.3
45	Scotland	2	1.6	0	2.1	3	2.4	1	-1.4
46	Cyprus	2	3	1	4.2	2	2.4	1	-1.4
47	Wales	2	2.3	0	4.2	3	1.6	0	-1.6
48	Germany	2	3.1	1	3.4	2	2.8	1	-1.8
49	Poland	2	2.2	1	2	3	3	1	-2
50	Romania	2	2	3	2.9	6	2.1	0	-2.1
51	Bulgaria	2	2.4	1	1.8	2	3.2	1	-2.2
52	Hungary	2	3.2	0	2.1	1	3.5	1	-2.5
53	Georgia	2	2.7	0	1.4	1	3.7	1	-2.7
54	Turkey	2	2.8	1	2.8	5	2.7	0	-2.7

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