How much xG Finland create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 6 October 2026, after the last game
Finland create 1.84 expected goals per game in 2026, the joint 5th most of the 54 national teams on their 2026 record and above the average of 1.30, across four games, while Germany create the most with 2.28.
Joel Pohjanpalo has created the most expected goals for Finland in 2026, 2.00 in six appearances, 0.33 a game, ahead of Adrian Svanbäck with 1.00 and Robin Lod with 0.00, across all competitions.
Finland create more expected goals away from home, 1.57 a game in their last eight away games against 1.46 in their last six at home.
Finland created 3.69 expected goals away at San Marino on 26 September, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 1.45 across their six games, and their fewest was 0.56 at home to Albania on 3 October.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Pohjanpalo | 10 | 3 | 0.30 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Adrian Svanbäck | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Robin Lod | 5 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Benjamin Källman | 7 | 1 | 0.14 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Teemu Pukki | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Casper Terho | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jere Uronen | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Väisänen | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kasper Paananen | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Ivanov | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jesse Joronen | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaakko Oksanen | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Doni Arifi | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Håkans | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anssi Suhonen | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Glen Kamara | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Samuli Miettinen | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Mahuta | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oiva Jukkola | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lukas Hradecky | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Naatan Skyttä | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Viljami Sinisalo | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Miro Tenho | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Santeri Väänänen | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikolai Alho | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Miettinen | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Onni Valakari | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oliver Antman | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Ståhl | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaan Kairinen | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matti Peltola | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Topi Keskinen | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ville Koski | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Walta | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Markhiev | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juho Lähteenmäki | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Finland | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | Belarus (A) | UEFA Nations League | 1-0 | 0.81 | 1.07 | 1.88 |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Albania (H) | UEFA Nations League | 2-1 | 0.56 | 0.96 | 1.52 |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Belarus (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-0 | 1.04 | 0.50 | 1.54 |
| 26 Sep 2026 | San Marino (A) | UEFA Nations League | 0-7 | 3.69 | 0.03 | 3.72 |
| 30 Mar 2026 | Cape Verde (A) | Friendly International | 1-1 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 2.95 |
| 27 Mar 2026 | New Zealand (A) | Friendly International | 0-2 | 1.11 | 1.07 | 2.18 |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Malta (H) | WC Qualification Europe | 0-1 | 3.49 | 0.18 | 3.67 |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Netherlands (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 4-0 | 0.79 | 2.44 | 3.23 |
| 9 Oct 2025 | Lithuania (H) | WC Qualification Europe | 2-1 | 1.30 | 0.87 | 2.17 |
| 7 Sep 2025 | Poland (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 3-1 | 0.28 | 2.16 | 2.44 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finland expected goals | Over 1.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Finland expected goals | Over 2.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Finland expected goals | Over 2.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Finland expected goals | Over 3.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Finland expected goals | Over 3.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.00 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |