How much xG Croatia create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 6 October 2026, after the last game
Croatia create 0.98 expected goals per game in 2026, the 11th fewest of the 54 national teams on their 2026 record and below the average of 1.30, across eight games, while Germany create the most with 2.28.
Igor Matanovic has created the most expected goals for Croatia in 2026, 2.00 in seven appearances, 0.29 a game, ahead of Ante Budimir with 1.00 and Lovro Majer with 0.00, across all competitions.
Croatia create more expected goals at home, 2.36 a game in their last seven home games against 1.42 in their last 10 away.
Croatia created 2.07 expected goals away at the Czech Republic on 26 September, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 1.03 across their 10 games, and their fewest was 0.48 at home to Ghana on 27 June.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Matanovic | 7 | 2 | 0.29 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Ante Budimir | 7 | 1 | 0.14 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Lovro Majer | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Duje Caleta-Car | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Erlić | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Toni Fruk | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dion Beljo | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivan Smolcic | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikola Moro | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josip Misic | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Franjo Ivanović | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luka Sucic | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristijan Jakic | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Petar Musa | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marin Pongracic | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Pašalić | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikola Vlašić | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luka Vuskovic | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mateo Kovacic | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josko Gvardiol | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Baturina | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josip Sutalo | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josip Stanisic | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivan Perišić | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luka Modrić | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mario Pašalić | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Petar Sučić | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominik Livakovic | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Croatia | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | Spain (H) | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 | 1.22 | 1.11 | 2.33 |
| 3 Oct 2026 | England (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-7 | 1.25 | 4.48 | 5.73 |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Spain (A) | UEFA Nations League | 4-1 | 0.51 | 1.43 | 1.94 |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Czech Republic (A) | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 | 2.07 | 0.97 | 3.04 |
| 3 Jul 2026 | Portugal (A) | World Cup | 2-1 | 1.30 | 2.20 | 3.50 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Ghana (H) | World Cup | 2-1 | 0.48 | 0.63 | 1.11 |
| 24 Jun 2026 | Panama (A) | World Cup | 0-1 | 0.96 | 0.47 | 1.43 |
| 17 Jun 2026 | England (A) | World Cup | 4-2 | 0.79 | 3.46 | 4.25 |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Brazil (A) | Friendly International | 3-1 | 0.59 | 1.79 | 2.38 |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Colombia (A) | Friendly International | 1-2 | 1.13 | 1.29 | 2.42 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia expected goals | Over 0.50 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Croatia expected goals | Over 1.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Croatia expected goals | Over 1.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Croatia expected goals | Over 2.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Croatia expected goals | Over 2.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 0.50 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.00 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |