Croatia Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2026/2027
Croatia Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2024/2025
Croatia have recorded 11 expected goals (xg) across 8 UEFA Nations League games in 2024/2025, averaging 1.4 per match. A. Kramaric leads the squad with 2 expected goals (xg) - 0.35 per game. I. Matanovic is next with 1.
Croatia Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights
Over their last 10 games, Croatia are averaging 1.4 expected goals (xg) per match - A. Kramaric leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xg) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Croatia vs Czech Republic on 26.09.2026.
Frequently Asked Questions
How many expected goals (xg) do Croatia average per game?
Croatia average 1.4 expected goals (xg) per UEFA Nations League game in 2024/2025, based on 8 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.4 per match.
Who leads Croatia for expected goals (xg)?
A. Kramaric leads Croatia for expected goals (xg) in 2024/2025 with 2 in UEFA Nations League - an average of 0.35 per game. I. Matanovic is second with 1.
How do Croatia's expected goals (xg) break down home vs away?
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Croatia's expected goals (xg) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2024/2025.
Croatia player expected goals rates
| Player |
Position |
Apps |
Expected goals |
Per game |
1+ hit rate |
| Ivan Perišić |
attacker |
10 |
1.05 |
0.11 |
0% |
| Josko Gvardiol |
defender |
6 |
0.76 |
0.13 |
0% |
| Mario Pašalić |
midfielder |
8 |
0.75 |
0.09 |
0% |
| Andrej Kramaric |
midfielder |
5 |
0.75 |
0.15 |
0% |
| Petar Musa |
attacker |
7 |
0.69 |
0.1 |
0% |
| Ante Budimir |
attacker |
7 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
0% |
| Nikola Vlašić |
midfielder |
6 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0% |
| Igor Matanovic |
attacker |
6 |
0.59 |
0.1 |
0% |
| Marco Pašalić |
attacker |
7 |
0.56 |
0.08 |
0% |
| Petar Sučić |
midfielder |
8 |
0.41 |
0.05 |
0% |
| Kristijan Jakic |
midfielder |
1 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
0% |
| Luka Modrić |
midfielder |
8 |
0.33 |
0.04 |
0% |
| Mateo Kovacic |
midfielder |
6 |
0.29 |
0.05 |
0% |
| Franjo Ivanović |
attacker |
1 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0% |
| Josip Sutalo |
defender |
8 |
0.14 |
0.02 |
0% |
| Martin Baturina |
midfielder |
8 |
0.1 |
0.01 |
0% |
| Marin Pongracic |
defender |
8 |
0.09 |
0.01 |
0% |
| Luka Vuskovic |
defender |
5 |
0.07 |
0.01 |
0% |
| Nikola Moro |
midfielder |
3 |
0.03 |
0.01 |
0% |
| Toni Fruk |
midfielder |
1 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0% |
| Josip Stanisic |
defender |
10 |
0.01 |
0 |
0% |
| Dominik Livakovic |
goalkeeper |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
| Luka Sucic |
midfielder |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
| Duje Caleta-Car |
defender |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
| Martin Erlić |
defender |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
Croatia expected goals match by match
| Date |
Competition |
Opponent |
Venue |
Score |
Team expected goals |
Opposition expected goals |
Match total |
Top player |
| 2 Jul 2026 |
World Cup |
Portugal |
Away |
2-1 |
1.29 |
|
|
|
| 27 Jun 2026 |
World Cup |
Ghana |
Home |
2-1 |
0.48 |
|
|
|
| 23 Jun 2026 |
World Cup |
Panama |
Away |
0-1 |
1.02 |
|
|
|
| 17 Jun 2026 |
World Cup |
England |
Away |
4-2 |
0.81 |
|
|
|
| 7 Jun 2026 |
Friendly International |
Slovenia |
Home |
2-1 |
0 |
|
|
|
| 2 Jun 2026 |
Friendly International |
Belgium |
Home |
0-2 |
0 |
|
|
|
| 1 Apr 2026 |
Friendly International |
Brazil |
Away |
3-1 |
0 |
|
|
|
| 26 Mar 2026 |
Friendly International |
Colombia |
Away |
1-2 |
0 |
|
|
|
| 17 Nov 2025 |
WC Qualification Europe |
Montenegro |
Away |
2-3 |
3.02 |
|
|
|
| 14 Nov 2025 |
WC Qualification Europe |
Faroe Islands |
Home |
3-1 |
2.05 |
|
|
|
Croatia expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: last 10 games
- Expected goals (xg) for per game
- 0.88
- Expected goals (xg) against per game
- 1
- Match total expected goals (xg) per game
- 1.88
- Games
- 8
Croatia Expected goals (xg) for 2026/2027 by venue
| Scope |
Games |
Average |
Over 0.5 % |
Over 1.5 % |
Over 2.5 % |
Over 3.5 % |
Over 4.5 % |
| Home |
2 |
1 |
50% |
50% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Away |
6 |
0.83 |
50% |
17% |
17% |
0% |
0% |
| Overall |
8 |
0.88 |
50% |
25% |
13% |
0% |
0% |
Croatia Expected goals (xg) against 2026/2027 by venue
| Scope |
Games |
Average |
Over 0.5 % |
Over 1.5 % |
Over 2.5 % |
Over 3.5 % |
Over 4.5 % |
| Home |
2 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Away |
6 |
1.33 |
83% |
33% |
17% |
0% |
0% |
| Overall |
8 |
1 |
63% |
25% |
13% |
0% |
0% |
Croatia Match total 2026/2027 by venue
| Scope |
Games |
Average |
Over 0.5 % |
Over 1.5 % |
Over 2.5 % |
Over 3.5 % |
Over 4.5 % |
| Home |
2 |
1 |
50% |
50% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Away |
6 |
2.17 |
83% |
67% |
50% |
17% |
0% |
| Overall |
8 |
1.88 |
75% |
63% |
38% |
13% |
0% |
Croatia Team expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)
| Team expected goals (xg) |
Overall |
Home |
Away |
| Expected goals (xg) / match |
0.88 |
1 |
0.83 |
| Expected goals (xg) over 0.5 |
50% |
50% |
50% |
| Expected goals (xg) over 1.5 |
25% |
50% |
17% |
| Expected goals (xg) over 2.5 |
13% |
0% |
17% |
| Expected goals (xg) over 3.5 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Expected goals (xg) over 4.5 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Croatia Expected goals (xg) against 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)
| Expected goals (xg) against |
Overall |
Home |
Away |
| Expected goals (xg) against / match |
1 |
0 |
1.33 |
| Expected goals (xg) against over 0.5 |
63% |
0% |
83% |
| Expected goals (xg) against over 1.5 |
25% |
0% |
33% |
| Expected goals (xg) against over 2.5 |
13% |
0% |
17% |
| Expected goals (xg) against over 3.5 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Expected goals (xg) against over 4.5 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Croatia Match expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)
| Match expected goals (xg) |
Overall |
Home |
Away |
| Match expected goals (xg) / match |
1.88 |
1 |
2.17 |
| Match expected goals (xg) over 0.5 |
75% |
50% |
83% |
| Match expected goals (xg) over 1.5 |
63% |
50% |
67% |
| Match expected goals (xg) over 2.5 |
38% |
0% |
50% |
| Match expected goals (xg) over 3.5 |
13% |
0% |
17% |
| Match expected goals (xg) over 4.5 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Croatia expected goals (xg) match by match 2026/2027
| Date |
Competition |
Opponent |
Score |
Expected goals (xg) for |
Expected goals (xg) against |
Match total |
1st-half total |
| 2 Jul |
World Cup |
Portugal (A) |
2-1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
- |
| 27 Jun |
World Cup |
Ghana (H) |
2-1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
| 23 Jun |
World Cup |
Panama (A) |
0-1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
| 17 Jun |
World Cup |
England (A) |
4-2 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
- |
| 1 Apr |
Friendly International |
Brazil (A) |
3-1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
- |
| 26 Mar |
Friendly International |
Colombia (A) |
1-2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
- |
| 17 Nov |
WC Qualification Europe |
Montenegro (A) |
2-3 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
- |
| 14 Nov |
WC Qualification Europe |
Faroe Islands (H) |
3-1 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
- |
Croatia expected goals (xg) against top-half and bottom-half teams 2026/2027
| Opponents |
Games |
For per game |
Against per game |
Match total per game |
Over 2.5 % |
| Vs top six |
8 |
1 |
0.88 |
1.88 |
13% |
| Vs top half |
8 |
1 |
0.88 |
1.88 |
13% |
| Vs bottom half |
0 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Vs bottom six |
0 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Croatia expected goals (xg) per game by competition, last three seasons
| Competition |
Season |
Games |
For per game |
Against per game |
Match total per game |
Over 2.5 % |
| WC Qualification Europe |
2026 |
8 |
2.63 |
0.25 |
2.88 |
63% |
| World Cup |
2026 |
4 |
0.25 |
1.25 |
1.5 |
50% |
| Friendly International |
2026 |
2 |
0.5 |
1 |
1.5 |
0% |
| UEFA Nations League |
2024/2025 |
8 |
1 |
0.88 |
1.88 |
13% |
Croatia next three opponents: expected goals (xg) per game this season
| Kick-off |
Opponent |
Their match total |
Their expected goals (xg) for |
Their expected goals (xg) against |
Match total at that venue |
For at that venue |
Against at that venue |
| Sat 26 Sep 18:45 |
Czech Republic (away) |
1.63 |
1 |
0.63 |
1.5 |
0.83 |
0.67 |
| Tue 29 Sep 18:45 |
Spain (away) |
1.25 |
1.25 |
0 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
0 |
| Sat 3 Oct 16:00 |
England (home) |
1.88 |
1.13 |
0.75 |
2.25 |
1 |
1.25 |
Czech Republic expected goals (xg) match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)
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