Denmark xG 2026

Denmark xG Questions

Are Denmark overperforming their xG?

Yes, Denmark have taken 11 points over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 1.56 more than the 9.44 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Denmark's xG per game?

Denmark create 0.95 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 7.57 in all, and have scored 11 goals from those chances, 3.43 more than that xG would expect.

What is Denmark's xGA per game?

Denmark allow 1.27 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 10.15 in all, and have conceded 8 goals from those chances, 2.15 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Denmark?

Christian Eriksen has the most expected goals (xG) for Denmark over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 1.07 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Gustav Isaksen is next with 1.00 xG.

Denmark expected goals 2026: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 7.57
Goals scored: 11
Goals minus xG: +3.43
Expected goals against (xGA): 10.15
Goals conceded: 8
xGA minus goals conceded: +2.15
Expected points (xPts): 9.44
Points: 11
Points minus xPts: +1.56
Verdict: Running a little hot

Are Denmark overperforming their expected goals?

Denmark have taken 1.6 points more than their chances warranted over 8 games: +3.4 goals against their xG, and +2.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: Portugal expected goals

Games: 8
Portugal xG per game: 2.04
Portugal xGA per game: 1.28
Points minus xPts: +5.40
Verdict: Riding their luck

Denmark results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	7.57	11	+3.43	10.15	8	+2.15	9.44	11	+1.56
Last 5	5	5.27	7	+1.73	8.22	7	+1.22	5.11	5	-0.11
Home	4	4.97	7	+2.03	2.77	2	+0.77	7.06	9	+1.94
Away	4	2.60	4	+1.40	7.38	6	+1.38	2.38	2	-0.38

Denmark expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
27 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Wales (H)	2-0	1.94	0.88	2.08	3	W
24 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Norway (A)	3-2	1.23	1.63	1.11	0	L
18 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Serbia (A)	0-0	0.48	2.39	0.31	1	L
15 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Spain (H)	1-2	0.85	1.31	1.01	0	L
15 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Switzerland (A)	2-2	0.77	2.01	0.60	1	L
12 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Spain (A)	1-0	0.12	1.35	0.36	0	L
8 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Serbia (H)	2-0	0.63	0.15	1.76	3	D
5 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Switzerland (H)	2-0	1.55	0.43	2.21	3	W

Denmark players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Gustav Isaksen	attacker	7	310	1.00	3	+2.00	0.29
Yussuf Poulsen	attacker	3	139	0.08	1	+0.92	0.05
Patrick Dorgu	defender	6	225	0.20	1	+0.80	0.08
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	midfielder	7	630	0.45	1	+0.55	0.06
Mikkel Damsgaard	midfielder	5	296	0.53	1	+0.47	0.16
Albert Grønbæk	midfielder	7	364	0.61	1	+0.39	0.15
Rasmus Højlund	attacker	6	336	0.95	1	+0.05	0.25
Christian Eriksen	midfielder	6	462	1.07	1	-0.07	0.21

UEFA Nations League 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Portugal	2	3.2	3	4.2	1	2.4	6	+3.6
2	Greece	2	3.6	3	2.7	1	3	6	+3
3	Sweden	2	2.6	5	2.2	2	3	6	+3
4	France	2	2.6	2	1.9	0	3.2	6	+2.8
5	Ukraine	2	1.4	1	3.1	0	1.4	4	+2.6
6	Spain	2	3.1	7	2.1	3	3.5	6	+2.5
7	Northern Ireland	2	2	1	2.7	0	2.2	4	+1.8
8	Austria	2	4.6	6	1.7	2	4.3	6	+1.7
9	Montenegro	2	4.6	5	1.9	3	4.3	6	+1.7
10	Albania	2	4	5	1.5	0	4.5	6	+1.5
11	Slovakia	2	3.4	4	0.7	1	4.7	6	+1.3
12	Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	2.3	4	2	2	2.8	4	+1.2
13	Luxembourg	2	1.7	2	3.1	4	1.8	3	+1.2
14	Slovenia	2	2.2	2	2	0	2.9	4	+1.1
15	Republic of Ireland	2	1.3	3	2.9	1	2	3	+1
16	Switzerland	2	3.8	6	0.2	0	5.2	6	+0.8
17	Belgium	2	2.9	2	3.5	1	2.3	3	+0.7
18	Malta	1	3.3	2	0.9	1	2.6	3	+0.4
19	Croatia	2	2.6	3	2.4	5	2.8	3	+0.2
20	Italy	2	3.8	4	3.8	3	2.8	3	+0.2
21	Estonia	2	1.7	1	2.9	1	1.8	2	+0.2
22	Gibraltar	1	0.3	0	0.8	0	0.8	1	+0.2
23	Lithuania	2	2.9	3	1.4	1	3.9	4	+0.1
24	Armenia	2	2	4	1.9	3	2.9	3	+0.1
25	Kazakhstan	2	0.8	2	2.9	3	1.1	1	-0.1
26	Iceland	2	3.7	4	1.6	1	4.2	4	-0.2
27	Denmark	2	3.2	4	2.5	3	3.2	3	-0.2
28	Liechtenstein	1	0.1	0	1.6	2	0.3	0	-0.3
29	Azerbaijan	1	1.3	1	1.3	1	1.4	1	-0.4
30	England	2	3.2	4	2.2	3	3.5	3	-0.5
31	Latvia	2	1.4	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
32	Belarus	2	1.3	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
33	Netherlands	2	6.6	3	2.8	2	4.6	4	-0.6
34	San Marino	2	0.7	0	5.6	10	0.6	0	-0.6
35	Finland	2	4.7	7	0.5	0	4.7	4	-0.7
36	North Macedonia	2	0.6	0	4	5	0.7	0	-0.7
37	Kosovo	2	3.8	2	1.9	3	3.9	3	-0.9
38	Faroe Islands	2	2.5	2	2.4	2	2.9	2	-0.9
39	Serbia	2	2.5	2	6.7	4	0.9	0	-0.9
40	Norway	2	4.4	4	2.2	4	4	3	-1
41	Israel	2	0.8	1	4	6	1	0	-1
42	Andorra	2	1.7	1	3.6	2	2.1	1	-1.1
43	Moldova	2	2.3	1	3	3	2.3	1	-1.3
44	Czech Republic	2	1.5	1	3.7	4	1.3	0	-1.3
45	Scotland	2	1.6	0	2.1	3	2.4	1	-1.4
46	Cyprus	2	3	1	4.2	2	2.4	1	-1.4
47	Wales	2	2.3	0	4.2	3	1.6	0	-1.6
48	Germany	2	3.1	1	3.4	2	2.8	1	-1.8
49	Poland	2	2.2	1	2	3	3	1	-2
50	Romania	2	2	3	2.9	6	2.1	0	-2.1
51	Bulgaria	2	2.4	1	1.8	2	3.2	1	-2.2
52	Hungary	2	3.2	0	2.1	1	3.5	1	-2.5
53	Georgia	2	2.7	0	1.4	1	3.7	1	-2.7
54	Turkey	2	2.8	1	2.8	5	2.7	0	-2.7

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