Armenia xG 2026

Armenia xG Questions

Are Armenia overperforming their xG?

No, Armenia have taken 10 points over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 4.17 fewer than the 14.17 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.

What is Armenia's xG per game?

Armenia create 1.32 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 10.57 in all, and have scored 12 goals from those chances, 1.43 more than that xG would expect.

What is Armenia's xGA per game?

Armenia allow 0.77 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 6.19 in all, and have conceded 12 goals from those chances, 5.81 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Armenia?

Eduard Spertsyan has the most expected goals (xG) for Armenia over their last 8 UEFA Nations League games, 2.09 xG in 7 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Lucas Zelarayán is next with 1.39 xG.

Armenia expected goals 2026: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 10.57
Goals scored: 12
Goals minus xG: +1.43
Expected goals against (xGA): 6.19
Goals conceded: 12
xGA minus goals conceded: -5.81
Expected points (xPts): 14.17
Points: 10
Points minus xPts: -4.17
Verdict: Due an upturn

Are Armenia overperforming their expected goals?

Armenia have taken 4.2 points fewer than their chances warranted over 8 games: +1.4 goals against their xG, and -5.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Next opponent: Cyprus expected goals

Games: 8
Cyprus xG per game: 1.15
Cyprus xGA per game: 1.82
Points minus xPts: -1.02
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Armenia results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	10.57	12	+1.43	6.19	12	-5.81	14.17	10	-4.17
Last 5	5	6.90	6	-0.90	4.19	7	-2.81	8.83	6	-2.83
Home	5	6.34	8	+1.66	3.33	7	-3.67	9.19	6	-3.19
Away	3	4.23	4	-0.23	2.86	5	-2.14	4.98	4	-0.98

Armenia expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
28 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Montenegro (H)	2-3	0.62	1.49	0.72	0	L
25 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Latvia (H)	2-0	1.37	0.36	2.16	3	W
17 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Latvia (A)	1-2	1.98	1.08	1.96	3	W
14 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Faroe Islands (H)	0-1	1.42	0.83	1.80	0	W
13 Oct	UEFA Nations League	North Macedonia (H)	0-2	1.51	0.43	2.19	0	W
10 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Faroe Islands (A)	2-2	1.49	0.77	1.89	1	W
10 Sep	UEFA Nations League	North Macedonia (A)	2-0	0.76	1.01	1.13	0	L
7 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Latvia (H)	4-1	1.42	0.22	2.32	3	W

Armenia players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Eduard Spertsyan	midfielder	7	630	2.09	3	+0.91	0.30
Georgiy Harutyunyan	defender	8	642	0.31	1	+0.69	0.04
Lucas Zelarayán	midfielder	6	510	1.39	2	+0.61	0.25
Artur Serobyan	attacker	4	262	0.50	1	+0.50	0.17
Vahan Bichakhchyan	midfielder	6	401	1.20	1	-0.20	0.27
Artur Miranyan	attacker	6	286	1.22	1	-0.22	0.38
Nair Tiknizyan	defender	8	696	0.69	0	-0.69	0.09
Grant-Leon Ranos	attacker	6	251	0.84	0	-0.84	0.30

UEFA Nations League 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Portugal	2	3.2	3	4.2	1	2.4	6	+3.6
2	Greece	2	3.6	3	2.7	1	3	6	+3
3	Sweden	2	2.6	5	2.2	2	3	6	+3
4	France	2	2.6	2	1.9	0	3.2	6	+2.8
5	Ukraine	2	1.4	1	3.1	0	1.4	4	+2.6
6	Spain	2	3.1	7	2.1	3	3.5	6	+2.5
7	Northern Ireland	2	2	1	2.7	0	2.2	4	+1.8
8	Austria	2	4.6	6	1.7	2	4.3	6	+1.7
9	Montenegro	2	4.6	5	1.9	3	4.3	6	+1.7
10	Albania	2	4	5	1.5	0	4.5	6	+1.5
11	Slovakia	2	3.4	4	0.7	1	4.7	6	+1.3
12	Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	2.3	4	2	2	2.8	4	+1.2
13	Luxembourg	2	1.7	2	3.1	4	1.8	3	+1.2
14	Slovenia	2	2.2	2	2	0	2.9	4	+1.1
15	Republic of Ireland	2	1.3	3	2.9	1	2	3	+1
16	Switzerland	2	3.8	6	0.2	0	5.2	6	+0.8
17	Belgium	2	2.9	2	3.5	1	2.3	3	+0.7
18	Malta	1	3.3	2	0.9	1	2.6	3	+0.4
19	Croatia	2	2.6	3	2.4	5	2.8	3	+0.2
20	Italy	2	3.8	4	3.8	3	2.8	3	+0.2
21	Estonia	2	1.7	1	2.9	1	1.8	2	+0.2
22	Gibraltar	1	0.3	0	0.8	0	0.8	1	+0.2
23	Lithuania	2	2.9	3	1.4	1	3.9	4	+0.1
24	Armenia	2	2	4	1.9	3	2.9	3	+0.1
25	Kazakhstan	2	0.8	2	2.9	3	1.1	1	-0.1
26	Iceland	2	3.7	4	1.6	1	4.2	4	-0.2
27	Denmark	2	3.2	4	2.5	3	3.2	3	-0.2
28	Liechtenstein	1	0.1	0	1.6	2	0.3	0	-0.3
29	Azerbaijan	1	1.3	1	1.3	1	1.4	1	-0.4
30	England	2	3.2	4	2.2	3	3.5	3	-0.5
31	Latvia	2	1.4	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
32	Belarus	2	1.3	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
33	Netherlands	2	6.6	3	2.8	2	4.6	4	-0.6
34	San Marino	2	0.7	0	5.6	10	0.6	0	-0.6
35	Finland	2	4.7	7	0.5	0	4.7	4	-0.7
36	North Macedonia	2	0.6	0	4	5	0.7	0	-0.7
37	Kosovo	2	3.8	2	1.9	3	3.9	3	-0.9
38	Faroe Islands	2	2.5	2	2.4	2	2.9	2	-0.9
39	Serbia	2	2.5	2	6.7	4	0.9	0	-0.9
40	Norway	2	4.4	4	2.2	4	4	3	-1
41	Israel	2	0.8	1	4	6	1	0	-1
42	Andorra	2	1.7	1	3.6	2	2.1	1	-1.1
43	Moldova	2	2.3	1	3	3	2.3	1	-1.3
44	Czech Republic	2	1.5	1	3.7	4	1.3	0	-1.3
45	Scotland	2	1.6	0	2.1	3	2.4	1	-1.4
46	Cyprus	2	3	1	4.2	2	2.4	1	-1.4
47	Wales	2	2.3	0	4.2	3	1.6	0	-1.6
48	Germany	2	3.1	1	3.4	2	2.8	1	-1.8
49	Poland	2	2.2	1	2	3	3	1	-2
50	Romania	2	2	3	2.9	6	2.1	0	-2.1
51	Bulgaria	2	2.4	1	1.8	2	3.2	1	-2.2
52	Hungary	2	3.2	0	2.1	1	3.5	1	-2.5
53	Georgia	2	2.7	0	1.4	1	3.7	1	-2.7
54	Turkey	2	2.8	1	2.8	5	2.7	0	-2.7

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