How much xG Luxembourg create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 6 October 2026, after the last game
Luxembourg create 1.38 expected goals per game in 2026, the 21st most of the 54 national teams on their 2026 record and above the average of 1.30, across four games, while Germany create the most with 2.28.
Omar Natami has created the most expected goals for Luxembourg in 2026, 1.00 in three appearances, 0.33 a game, ahead of Danel Sinani with 0.00 and Eric Veiga with 0.00, across all competitions.
Luxembourg create more expected goals at home, 0.85 a game in their last five home games against 0.62 in their last five away.
Luxembourg created 1.36 expected goals at home to Bulgaria on 6 October, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 0.92 across their four games, and their fewest was 0.35 at home to Iceland on 29 September.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Natami | 3 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Christopher Martins | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kenan Avdusinović | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mica Pinto | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Miguel Fernandes Goncalves | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tiago Pereira Cardoso | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdulai Djabi Embalo | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yvandro Borges Sanches | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Veiga | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alessio Curci | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marvin Martins | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eldin Dzogovic | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vincent Thill | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Edvin Muratovic | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hamza Kadamani | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Timothé Rupil | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vahid Selimovic | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayson Videira | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olivier Thill | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Seid Korac | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Enzo Duarte | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Danel Sinani | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sébastien Thill | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Enes Mahmutovic | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leandro Barreiro | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Laurent Jans | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tomás Moreira | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Florian Bohnert | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dirk Carlson | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aiman Dardari | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mathias Olesen | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Moris | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Luxembourg | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | Bulgaria (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-2 | 1.36 | 0.89 | 2.25 |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Estonia (A) | UEFA Nations League | 1-0 | 0.62 | 1.54 | 2.16 |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Iceland (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-3 | 0.35 | 1.86 | 2.21 |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Bulgaria (A) | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 | 1.35 | 1.28 | 2.63 |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Northern Ireland (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 1-0 | 0.70 | 1.39 | 2.09 |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Germany (H) | WC Qualification Europe | 0-2 | 1.13 | 1.72 | 2.85 |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Slovakia (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 2-0 | 0.40 | 1.13 | 1.53 |
| 10 Oct 2025 | Germany (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 4-0 | 0.03 | 4.25 | 4.28 |
| 7 Sep 2025 | Slovakia (H) | WC Qualification Europe | 0-1 | 0.85 | 1.17 | 2.02 |
| 4 Sep 2025 | Northern Ireland (H) | WC Qualification Europe | 1-3 | 0.55 | 1.44 | 1.99 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg expected goals | Over 0.50 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Luxembourg expected goals | Over 1.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Luxembourg expected goals | Over 1.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Luxembourg expected goals | Over 2.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Luxembourg expected goals | Over 2.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 0.50 | 10 of 10 | 100% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.00 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |