How much xG Germany create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 4 October 2026, after the last game
Germany create 2.28 expected goals per game in 2026, the most of the 54 national teams on their 2026 record and above the average of 1.30, across eight games, ahead of Malta, the next highest with 2.09.
Kai Havertz and Florian Wirtz have created the most expected goals for Germany in 2026, 2.00 each, Kai Havertz in seven appearances and Florian Wirtz in nine, ahead of Karim Adeyemi with 1.00, across all competitions.
Germany create more expected goals at home, 2.79 a game in their last nine home games against 1.64 in their last seven away.
Germany created 3.92 expected goals at home to Curacao on 14 June, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 2.32 across their 10 games, and their fewest was 0.97 away at Ecuador on 25 June.
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Germany | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | Greece (A) | UEFA Nations League | 0-0 | 1.48 | 0.94 | 2.42 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Serbia (H) | UEFA Nations League | 2-0 | 3.44 | 0.01 | 3.45 |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Greece (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | 1.39 | 0.51 | 1.90 |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Netherlands (A) | UEFA Nations League | 1-1 | 1.67 | 2.93 | 4.60 |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Paraguay (H) | World Cup | 1-1 | 2.79 | 0.41 | 3.20 |
| 25 Jun 2026 | Ecuador (A) | World Cup | 2-1 | 0.97 | 1.99 | 2.96 |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Ivory Coast (H) | World Cup | 2-1 | 1.68 | 1.67 | 3.35 |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Curacao (H) | World Cup | 7-1 | 3.92 | 0.38 | 4.30 |
| 30 Mar 2026 | Ghana (H) | Friendly International | 2-1 | 3.02 | 0.86 | 3.88 |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Switzerland (A) | Friendly International | 3-4 | 2.80 | 0.68 | 3.48 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany expected goals | Over 1.50 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Germany expected goals | Over 2.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Germany expected goals | Over 2.50 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Germany expected goals | Over 3.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Germany expected goals | Over 3.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |