Scotland Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2026/2027

Scotland Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2024/2025

Scotland have recorded 8 expected goals (xg) across 8 UEFA Nations League games in 2024/2025, averaging 1 per match. S. McTominay leads the squad with 3 expected goals (xg) - 0.46 per game.

Scotland Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Over their last 10 games, Scotland are averaging 1 expected goals (xg) per match - S. McTominay leads that period with 3. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xg) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Scotland vs Slovenia on 26.09.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many expected goals (xg) do Scotland average per game?

Scotland average 1 expected goals (xg) per UEFA Nations League game in 2024/2025, based on 8 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1 per match.

Who leads Scotland for expected goals (xg)?

S. McTominay leads Scotland for expected goals (xg) in 2024/2025 with 3 in UEFA Nations League - an average of 0.46 per game.

How do Scotland's expected goals (xg) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Scotland's expected goals (xg) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2024/2025.

Scotland player expected goals rates

Player	Position	Apps	Expected goals	Per game	1+ hit rate
Scott McTominay	midfielder	9	2.13	0.24	0%
Ché Adams	attacker	7	1.95	0.28	0%
Lawrence Shankland	attacker	5	1.26	0.25	0%
Ben Gannon-Doak	attacker	8	1.08	0.14	0%
John McGinn	midfielder	9	0.46	0.05	0%
Lewis Ferguson	midfielder	8	0.33	0.04	0%
Ryan Christie	midfielder	7	0.18	0.03	0%
Kieran Tierney	defender	4	0.12	0.03	0%
Kenny McLean	midfielder	7	0.1	0.01	0%
Billy Gilmour	midfielder	3	0.04	0.01	0%
Aaron Hickey	defender	5	0.03	0.01	0%
Andrew Robertson	defender	10	0	0	0%
Grant Hanley	defender	6	0	0	0%
Jack Hendry	defender	6	0	0	0%
Angus Gunn	goalkeeper	6	0	0	0%
Scott McKenna	defender	5	0	0	0%
Nathan Patterson	defender	5	0	0	0%
George Hirst	attacker	4	0	0	0%
Craig Gordon	goalkeeper	3	0	0	0%
John Souttar	defender	3	0	0	0%
Lyndon Dykes	attacker	3	0	0	0%
Dominic Hyam	defender	2	0	0	0%
Anthony Ralston	defender	2	0	0	0%
Findlay Curtis	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Scott Bain	goalkeeper	1	0	0	0%

Scotland expected goals match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team expected goals
24 Jun 2026	World Cup	Brazil	Home	0-3	1.42
19 Jun 2026	World Cup	Morocco	Home	0-1	0.62
14 Jun 2026	World Cup	Haiti	Away	0-1	1.31
6 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Bolivia	Away	0-4	0
30 May 2026	Friendly International	Curacao	Home	4-1	0
31 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Ivory Coast	Away	1-0	0
28 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Japan	Home	0-1	0
18 Nov 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Denmark	Home	4-2	1.48
15 Nov 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Greece	Away	3-2	2.03
12 Oct 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Belarus	Home	2-1	1.31

Scotland expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: last 10 games

Expected goals (xg) for per game: 1
Expected goals (xg) against per game: 1.38
Match total expected goals (xg) per game: 2.38
Games: 8

Scotland Expected goals (xg) for 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	5	0.8	80%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	1.33	100%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	8	1	88%	13%	0%	0%	0%

Scotland Expected goals (xg) against 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	5	1.4	80%	60%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	1.33	100%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	8	1.38	88%	50%	0%	0%	0%

Scotland Match total 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	5	2.2	100%	60%	60%	0%	0%
Away	3	2.67	100%	100%	67%	0%	0%
Overall	8	2.38	100%	75%	63%	0%	0%

Scotland Team expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) / match	1	0.8	1.33
Expected goals (xg) over 0.5	88%	80%	100%
Expected goals (xg) over 1.5	13%	0%	33%
Expected goals (xg) over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Scotland Expected goals (xg) against 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Expected goals (xg) against	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) against / match	1.38	1.4	1.33
Expected goals (xg) against over 0.5	88%	80%	100%
Expected goals (xg) against over 1.5	50%	60%	33%
Expected goals (xg) against over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Scotland Match expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Match expected goals (xg) / match	2.38	2.2	2.67
Match expected goals (xg) over 0.5	100%	100%	100%
Match expected goals (xg) over 1.5	75%	60%	100%
Match expected goals (xg) over 2.5	63%	60%	67%
Match expected goals (xg) over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Match expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Scotland expected goals (xg) match by match 2026/2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
24 Jun	World Cup	Brazil (H)	0-3	1	2	3	-
19 Jun	World Cup	Morocco (H)	0-1	0	1	1	-
14 Jun	World Cup	Haiti (A)	0-1	1	1	2	-
31 Mar	Friendly International	Ivory Coast (A)	1-0	1	2	3	-
28 Mar	Friendly International	Japan (H)	0-1	1	2	3	-
18 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	Denmark (H)	4-2	1	2	3	-
15 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	Greece (A)	3-2	2	1	3	-
12 Oct	WC Qualification Europe	Belarus (H)	2-1	1	0	1	-

Scotland expected goals (xg) against top-half and bottom-half teams 2026/2027

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Vs top six	8	0.5	1.25	1.75	13%
Vs top half	8	0.5	1.25	1.75	13%
Vs bottom half	0	-	-	-	-
Vs bottom six	0	-	-	-	-

Scotland expected goals (xg) per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
WC Qualification Europe	2026	6	1.17	0.83	2	33%
World Cup	2026	3	0.67	1.33	2	33%
Friendly International	2026	2	1	2	3	100%
Friendly International	2025	2	1.5	0	1.5	0%

Scotland next three opponents: expected goals (xg) per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their expected goals (xg) for	Their expected goals (xg) against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Sat 26 Sep 13:00	Slovenia (away)	0.88	0.25	0.63	0.67	0	0.67
Tue 29 Sep 18:45	Switzerland (home)	1.5	0.88	0.63	1.33	1	0.33
Sat 3 Oct 18:45	North Macedonia (away)	2.13	0.63	1.5	2.33	1.67	0.67

Slovenia expected goals (xg) match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
31 Mar	Friendly International	Montenegro (A)	2-3	1	1	2	-
28 Mar	Friendly International	Hungary (A)	1-0	0	1	1	-
18 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	Sweden (A)	1-1	1	0	1	-
15 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	Kosovo (H)	0-2	0	0	0	-
13 Oct	WC Qualification Europe	Switzerland (H)	0-0	0	1	1	-
10 Oct	WC Qualification Europe	Kosovo (A)	0-0	0	0	0	-
8 Sep	WC Qualification Europe	Switzerland (A)	3-0	0	1	1	-
5 Sep	WC Qualification Europe	Sweden (H)	2-2	0	1	1	-