How much xG Scotland create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 13 November 2026, after the last game
Scotland create 1.47 expected goals per game in 2026, the 18th most of the 54 national teams on their 2026 record and above the average of 1.31, across nine games, while Germany create the most with 2.32.
Scott McTominay and John McGinn have created the most expected goals for Scotland in 2026, 2.00 each, Scott McTominay in six appearances and John McGinn in 10, ahead of Kieron Bowie with 1.00, across all competitions.
Scotland create more expected goals away from home, 1.88 a game in their last seven away games against 1.39 in their last nine at home.
Scotland created 3.68 expected goals away at North Macedonia on 3 October, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 1.63 across their 10 games, and their fewest was 0.11 at home to Switzerland on 29 September.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McTominay | 6 | 2 | 0.33 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| John McGinn | 10 | 2 | 0.20 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Kieron Bowie | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Ché Adams | 5 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Oliver McBurnie | 5 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Ryan Christie | 9 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| John Souttar | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominic Hyam | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Kelly | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ross Stewart | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott Bain | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ross McCrorie | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Porteous | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh McPake | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Doig | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Graham | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Grant Hanley | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Hirst | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Ralston | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luis Binks | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robbie Ure | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephen Welsh | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Findlay Curtis | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Hickey | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott McKenna | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kieran Tierney | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenny McLean | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Patterson | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Billy Gilmour | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Hendry | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Gannon-Doak | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Angus Gunn | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lewis Ferguson | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Robertson | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Scotland | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | North Macedonia (H) | UEFA Nations League | 2-1 | 3.14 | 0.33 | 3.47 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Slovenia (H) | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 | 2.13 | 1.15 | 3.28 |
| 3 Oct 2026 | North Macedonia (A) | UEFA Nations League | 0-2 | 3.68 | 0.45 | 4.13 |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Switzerland (H) | UEFA Nations League | 0-3 | 0.11 | 1.52 | 1.63 |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Slovenia (A) | UEFA Nations League | 0-0 | 1.50 | 0.57 | 2.07 |
| 24 Jun 2026 | Brazil (H) | World Cup | 0-3 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 4.20 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Morocco (H) | World Cup | 0-1 | 0.62 | 1.15 | 1.77 |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Haiti (A) | World Cup | 0-1 | 1.31 | 1.08 | 2.39 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Ivory Coast (A) | Friendly International | 1-0 | 1.19 | 2.63 | 3.82 |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Japan (H) | Friendly International | 0-1 | 1.34 | 2.25 | 3.59 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland expected goals | Over 1.00 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Scotland expected goals | Over 1.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Scotland expected goals | Over 2.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Scotland expected goals | Over 2.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Scotland expected goals | Over 3.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.00 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |