How much xG Sweden create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 5 October 2026, after the last game
Sweden create 1.36 expected goals per game in 2026, the 23rd most of the 54 national teams on their 2026 record and above the average of 1.30, across eight games, while Germany create the most with 2.28.
Viktor Gyökeres has created the most expected goals for Sweden in 2026, 6.00 in 10 appearances, 0.60 a game, ahead of Sebastian Nanasi with 1.00 and Gustaf Lagerbielke with 1.00, across all competitions.
Sweden create more expected goals at home, 1.23 a game in their last seven home games against 1.17 in their last nine away.
Sweden created 2.58 expected goals away at Romania on 5 October, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 1.41 across their 10 games, and their fewest was 0.65 away at Bosnia on 2 October.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyökeres | 10 | 6 | 0.60 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sebastian Nanasi | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Gustaf Lagerbielke | 6 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Gustav Lundgren | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gustaf Nilsson | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hjalmar Ekdal | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Herman Johansson | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Emil Holm | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Felix Beijmo | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Samuel Dahl | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hugo Bolin | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hampus Skoglund | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrik Wålemark | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ken Sema | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Smith | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Widell Zetterström | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taha Ali | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Williot Swedberg | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hugo Larsson | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mattias Svanberg | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isak Hien | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Viktor Johansson | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristoffer Nordfeldt | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alexander Isak | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elliot Stroud | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Elanga | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Besfort Zeneli | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carl Starfelt | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jesper Karlström | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasin Ayari | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin Nygren | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Svensson | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Victor Lindelöf | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucas Bergvall | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Sweden | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | Romania (A) | UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | 2.58 | 0.69 | 3.27 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Bosnia (A) | UEFA Nations League | 1-1 | 0.65 | 0.15 | 0.80 |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Poland (H) | UEFA Nations League | 3-1 | 1.67 | 1.25 | 2.92 |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Romania (H) | UEFA Nations League | 2-1 | 0.91 | 0.95 | 1.86 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | France (A) | World Cup | 3-0 | 0.70 | 2.60 | 3.30 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Japan (A) | World Cup | 1-1 | 0.81 | 0.86 | 1.67 |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Netherlands (A) | World Cup | 5-1 | 1.22 | 2.59 | 3.81 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Tunisia (H) | World Cup | 5-1 | 1.54 | 0.31 | 1.85 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Poland (H) | WC Qualification Europe | 3-2 | 1.76 | 1.58 | 3.34 |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Ukraine (A) | WC Qualification Europe | 1-3 | 2.27 | 0.82 | 3.09 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden expected goals | Over 0.50 | 10 of 10 | 100% |
| Sweden expected goals | Over 1.00 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Sweden expected goals | Over 1.50 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Sweden expected goals | Over 2.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Sweden expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 0.50 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.00 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |