How much xG Netherlands create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 4 October 2026, after the last game
The Netherlands create 1.84 expected goals per game in 2026, the joint 5th most of the 54 national teams on their 2026 record and above the average of 1.30, across eight games, while Germany create the most with 2.28.
Mexx Meerdink has created the most expected goals for the Netherlands in 2026, 3.00 in four appearances, 0.75 a game, ahead of Tijjani Reijnders with 2.00 and Joshua Zirkzee with 1.00, across all competitions.
The Netherlands create more expected goals away from home, 2.15 a game in their last seven away games against 1.92 in their last 10 at home.
The Netherlands created 3.65 expected goals away at Serbia on 27 September, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 1.94 across their 10 games, and their fewest was 0.33 at home to Ecuador on 31 March.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexx Meerdink | 4 | 3 | 0.75 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 8 | 2 | 0.25 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Joshua Zirkzee | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Ruben van Bommel | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Brian Brobbey | 7 | 1 | 0.14 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Cody Gakpo | 8 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kenneth Taylor | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lutsharel Geertruida | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Flekken | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marten de Roon | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luciano Valente | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kees Smit | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavi Simons | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Kluivert | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jurriën Timber | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stefan de Vrij | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gjivai Zechiël | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jerdy Schouten | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Memphis Depay | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wout Weghorst | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jorrel Hato | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Noa Lang | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Frenkie de Jong | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Guus Til | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joey Veerman | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Aké | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donyell Malen | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Teun Koopmeiners | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Crysencio Summerville | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quinten Timber | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Gravenberch | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Micky van de Ven | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bart Verbruggen | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Denzel Dumfries | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Virgil van Dijk | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Netherlands | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | Serbia (H) | UEFA Nations League | 2-1 | 3.06 | 1.43 | 4.49 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Greece (A) | UEFA Nations League | 2-2 | 1.66 | 0.80 | 2.46 |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Serbia (A) | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 | 3.65 | 1.14 | 4.79 |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Germany (H) | UEFA Nations League | 1-1 | 2.93 | 1.67 | 4.60 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Morocco (H) | World Cup | 1-1 | 0.39 | 0.82 | 1.21 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Tunisia (A) | World Cup | 1-3 | 2.00 | 0.62 | 2.62 |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Sweden (H) | World Cup | 5-1 | 2.59 | 1.22 | 3.81 |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Japan (H) | World Cup | 2-2 | 1.02 | 0.53 | 1.55 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Ecuador (H) | Friendly International | 1-1 | 0.33 | 2.06 | 2.39 |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Norway (H) | Friendly International | 2-1 | 1.78 | 0.83 | 2.61 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands expected goals | Over 1.50 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Netherlands expected goals | Over 2.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Netherlands expected goals | Over 2.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Netherlands expected goals | Over 3.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Netherlands expected goals | Over 3.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |