Norway host Portugal at Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo on 27 September 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Norway's last five results: L W W L W (3 wins and 2 losses). Portugal's last five: W D W L W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss).
Norway vs Portugal kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 27 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo.
Norway vs Portugal is being played at Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo, the home ground of Norway.
Norway's last five results read L W W L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Portugal's last five results read W D W L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Erling Haaland leads Norway with 9 goals across their last 10 games.
Cristiano Ronaldo leads Portugal with 12 shots on target across their last 10 games.
François Letexier is the referee for Norway vs Portugal, averaging 19.8 fouls and 2.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Norway and Portugal are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Norway the favourite with a 39% chance of winning, against 38% for Portugal and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Norway 1.6 - 1.6 Portugal.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 10%. Both teams to score is 64% likely and over 2.5 goals 63%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Norway 1.6 - 1.6 Portugal in goals. It gives Norway a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portugal 38%. Both teams to score is 64% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 63%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-0 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Norway win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Portugal win | 8% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 1-0 | Norway win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Norway vs Portugal, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Norway | Fouls committed | Portugal | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Sørloth | 11 | R. Veiga | 12 |
| 2 | J. Ryerson | 11 | J. Cancelo | 9 |
| 3 | D. Wolfe | 11 | F. Conceição | 8 |
| 4 | S. Berge | 8 | P. Neto | 8 |
| 5 | M. Ødegaard | 6 | R. Dias | 7 |
| # | Norway | Shots | Portugal | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Haaland | 26 | C. Ronaldo | 32 |
| 2 | A. Nusa | 14 | B. Fernandes | 16 |
| 3 | M. Ødegaard | 12 | J. Félix | 16 |
| 4 | A. Sørloth | 11 | P. Neto | 8 |
| 5 | J. Larsen | 9 | G. Ramos | 6 |
| # | Norway | Shots on target | Portugal | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Haaland | 17 | C. Ronaldo | 12 |
| 2 | A. Nusa | 5 | B. Fernandes | 6 |
| 3 | J. Larsen | 4 | J. Félix | 6 |
| 4 | M. Ødegaard | 4 | S. Costa | 3 |
| 5 | O. Bobb | 3 | P. Neto | 2 |
| # | Norway | Goals | Portugal | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Haaland | 9 | C. Ronaldo | 3 |
| 2 | A. Nusa | 2 | J. Félix | 2 |
| 3 | J. Larsen | 2 | G. Ramos | 1 |
| 4 | A. Schjelderup | 1 | R. Leão | 1 |
| 5 | T. Aasgaard | 1 | N. Mendes | 1 |
| # | Norway | Yellow cards | Portugal | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Nusa | 1 | B. Silva | 2 |
| 2 | K. Ajer | 1 | R. Veiga | 2 |
| 3 | P. Berg | 1 | R. Dias | 1 |
| 4 | D. Wolfe | 1 | N. Semedo | 1 |
| 5 | T. Araújo | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Norway vs Portugal: João Félix 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.67); Rúben Neves 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.36); Pedro Neto 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Erling Haaland 1+ goals (100% hit rate at 1.80). Combined odds 4.91 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3 | 1 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2 | 24 of 54 |
| Shots | 13 | 13 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 7 | 7 of 54 |
| Fouls | 14 | 11 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13 | 17 of 54 |
| Passes | 509 | 12 of 54 |
| Corners | 4 | 11 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 19 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0 | 1 of 54 |
| Shots | 23 | 2 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 13 of 54 |
| Fouls | 12 | 18 of 54 |
| Tackles | 10 | 30 of 54 |
| Passes | 627 | 3 of 54 |
| Corners | 10 | 3 of 54 |