How much xG Cambridge create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 31 October 2026, after the last game
Cambridge create 1.59 expected goals per game in League One in 2026/2027, the 10th most of the 24 clubs and above the league average of 1.52, across 14 league games, while Huddersfield Town create the most with 2.28.
Gassan Ahadme has created the most expected goals for Cambridge in 2026/2027, 2.00 in 10 appearances, 0.20 a game, ahead of Isaac Heath with 1.00 and Cathal Heffernan with 1.00, across all competitions.
Cambridge create more expected goals at home, 1.60 a game in their last 10 home games against 1.51 in their last 10 away.
Cambridge created 2.61 expected goals away at Orient on 31 October, their most in a game in 2026/2027, against an average of 1.54 across their 16 games, and their fewest was 0.52 at home to Millwall on 25 August.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gassan Ahadme | 10 | 2 | 0.20 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Isaac Heath | 12 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Cathal Heffernan | 12 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Ben Knight | 15 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| L. Appéré | 15 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Shayne Francis Lavery | 15 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu | 16 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Callum Stead | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lohan McDougald | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mamadou Jobe | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Glenn McConnell | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shane McLoughlin | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Curtis | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Bauer | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Hoddle | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ra'ees Bangura-Williams | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Callum Perry | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominic Ball | 12 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Owen Moxon | 12 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sullay Kaikai | 14 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Bennett | 14 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelland Watts | 16 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zak Bradshaw | 16 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Eastwood | 16 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Cambridge | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Orient (A) | League One | 3-0 | 2.61 | 1.43 | 4.04 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Sheff Wed (A) | League One | 1-1 | 2.19 | 2.21 | 4.40 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Plymouth (H) | League One | 2-3 | 1.94 | 1.45 | 3.39 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Wycombe (H) | League One | 2-2 | 0.98 | 1.34 | 2.32 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Barnsley (A) | League One | 1-2 | 1.81 | 2.58 | 4.39 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Blackpool (H) | League One | 1-0 | 2.37 | 1.14 | 3.51 |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Wimbledon (H) | League One | 1-1 | 1.76 | 0.83 | 2.59 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Oxford Utd (A) | League One | 1-1 | 1.41 | 1.06 | 2.47 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Reading (H) | League One | 2-1 | 0.81 | 1.68 | 2.49 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Burton (A) | League One | 2-2 | 0.90 | 1.70 | 2.60 |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Bradford (A) | League One | 1-2 | 0.58 | 2.79 | 3.37 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Huddersfield (H) | League One | 1-2 | 1.60 | 1.15 | 2.75 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Millwall (H) | Carabao Cup | 0-1 | 0.52 | 0.99 | 1.51 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Bromley (A) | League One | 1-1 | 1.05 | 0.66 | 1.71 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Wigan (H) | League One | 3-2 | 2.18 | 2.10 | 4.28 |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Barnet (H) | Carabao Cup | 2-1 | 1.95 | 2.42 | 4.37 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge expected goals | Over 1.00 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Cambridge expected goals | Over 1.50 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Cambridge expected goals | Over 2.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Cambridge expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Cambridge expected goals | Over 3.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |