The Statz NFL game simulator plays every game on the week's slate 10,000 times from our projection model, and shows who wins, the likely score, the winning margins, every spread and total, and each team's points.
Pick a game to watch the simulations run, switch between this run and the model, and test any line in the market explorer.
A free tool that plays an NFL game 10,000 times from the Statz projection model and counts the results: who wins, the likely score, how often it goes to overtime, the winning margin, and the chance of any spread, total or team total.
It plays the game 10,000 times from the Statz projection model's spread and total for it, and counts the results: the winner, the score, the margin and every line. Each run is drawn fresh, and the model's figures are what the runs settle on.
Yes. Every game of the week can be simulated free, with no account needed.
Every game of Week 10 still to be played: Patriots at Lions, Chiefs at Falcons, Texans at Browns, Vikings at Packers, Jaguars at Titans, Dolphins at Colts, Panthers at Saints, Bills at Jets, Seahawks at Raiders, Rams at Cardinals, 49ers at Cowboys, Steelers at Bengals and Chargers at Ravens.
The Jaguars, who win 79% of the simulations against the Titans.
Patriots at Lions: the Lions win 51% of the simulations, the Patriots 49%.
49ers at Cowboys, projected for 53.8 points: 49ers 29, Cowboys 25.
Every morning with the model's run, from the start of game week: injuries, the weather and a change at quarterback all move them. From kickoff a game's simulation stays as it was published.
Each run draws 10,000 new games, so its numbers move a little from run to run, about a point either way on a 50% chance. The model figures are what those runs settle on, and the page switches to them when a run ends.