Our best NFL bets for the week — game lines and player props from the Statz model.
NFL Best Bets are the Statz model's top picks for the week: up to ten singles across the slate — spreads, moneylines and player props — plus the Sunday parlays. Every pick is rated out of five stars and tracked in public, win or lose. These are our best bets, not locks.
1 more tip is on the board for Statz NFL Pro members.
The published Best Bets record since September 3, 2026: 84-61 (57.9% of decided bets won), +18.2 points profit and a 11% return on stakes.
Frequently asked questions
What are Best Bets?
The Statz model's strongest picks for the week's NFL games: game lines and player props where we think the price is wrong.
How many picks are there each week?
Up to ten singles a week, no more than one a game, plus up to three parlays.
When are the picks published?
The morning before each game day: Wednesday for Thursday night, Friday for Sunday and Saturday for Monday night. Once a pick is out, it stays.
What do the stars mean?
How strong a bet is at its price. Best Bets are five-star bets only, the top of the scale.
Are parlays part of Best Bets?
Yes: three Sunday parlays on the spreads and moneylines - a Short-Price Double, a Sensible Treble and a Spread Parlay.
Which sportsbooks are covered?
Game lines at the best price across the major books, and player props at Bet365.
Are the picks tracked?
Yes. Every pick is graded once the game is final, and the full record is on the Best Bets Tracker.
Which bets are in the Best Bets?
Game spreads, totals and moneylines, player props and parlays, each with its price and a link to the sportsbook.
Where can I see the Best Bets record?
On the tracker: every pick, settled, with the profit and the return on investment.
What is a unit in sports betting?
A fixed stake size, so a record in units can be compared whatever the size of the bets.