NFL Prop Hit Rates Week 7 2026 — Who's Beating Their Line

Every player prop the book has priced this week, ranked by how often the player has beaten — or stayed under — that exact line over his last ten games and his last five.

NFL prop hit rates for the week: every player prop the sportsbook has posted, ranked by how often the player has gone over, or stayed under, that exact line in his last ten games and his last five. Each line shows the game-by-game run, the price, our chance and our projection.

NFL prop hit rates Week 7: the props on the board
PlayerMatchupMarketLineOverUnder
Darius CooperPHI vs DALReceptions3.5-105-125
Darius CooperPHI vs DALReceiving Yards38.5-120-111
Saquon BarkleyPHI vs DALReceiving Yards15.5-116-116
Tyler GoodsonDAL @ PHIRush Attempts3.5-116-116
Saquon BarkleyPHI vs DALReceptions2.5-111-120
Tyler GoodsonDAL @ PHIReceiving Yards0.5170-222
Tanner McKeePHI vs DALRushing Yards5.5-116-116
Makai LemonPHI vs DALReceiving Yards38.5-111-120
Makai LemonPHI vs DALReceptions4.5120-152
Javonte WilliamsDAL @ PHIAnytime TD-182
Tyler GoodsonDAL @ PHIRushing Yards10.5-116-116
Tyler GoodsonDAL @ PHIReceptions0.5140-182
Tanner McKeePHI vs DALRush Attempts2.5-141110
Javonte WilliamsDAL @ PHIRushing Yards65.5-116-116
Brevyn Spann-FordDAL @ PHIReceptions1.5150-192
Dak PrescottDAL @ PHIRush Attempts2.5-161125
Javonte WilliamsDAL @ PHIRush Attempts16.5-116-116
CeeDee LambDAL @ PHIReceptions7.5105-135
Javonte WilliamsDAL @ PHIReceptions2.5110-141
Dak PrescottDAL @ PHIPassing TDs1.5-125-105
Dak PrescottDAL @ PHIPassing Yards263.5-116-116
George PickensDAL @ PHIReceiving Yards64.5-116-116
CeeDee LambDAL @ PHIReceiving Yards81.5-120-111
Ryan FlournoyDAL @ PHIReceptions3.5-111-120
Dallas GoedertPHI vs DALReceiving Yards49.5-116-116
Javonte WilliamsDAL @ PHIReceiving Yards12.5-116-116
Ryan FlournoyDAL @ PHIReceiving Yards33.5-116-116
Saquon BarkleyPHI vs DALRushing Yards70.5-116-116
Dallas GoedertPHI vs DALReceptions5.5-111-120
Jake FergusonDAL @ PHIReceiving Yards18.5-111-120
Jake FergusonDAL @ PHIReceptions2.5-116-116
Saquon BarkleyPHI vs DALRush Attempts16.5-120-111
George PickensDAL @ PHIReceptions4.5-132100
Dak PrescottDAL @ PHIRushing Yards9.5-111-120
Brevyn Spann-FordDAL @ PHIReceiving Yards9.5-116-116
Dallas GoedertPHI vs DALAnytime TD185
Darius CooperPHI vs DALAnytime TD250
Jake FergusonDAL @ PHIAnytime TD250
CeeDee LambDAL @ PHIAnytime TD115
Ryan FlournoyDAL @ PHIAnytime TD350
Saquon BarkleyPHI vs DALAnytime TD100
Dameon PiercePHI vs DALAnytime TD550
George PickensDAL @ PHIAnytime TD160
Johnny MundtPHI vs DALAnytime TD1500
Emari DemercadoDAL @ PHIAnytime TD1100
Tyler GoodsonDAL @ PHIAnytime TD1000
Tanner McKeePHI vs DALAnytime TD850
Brevyn Spann-FordDAL @ PHIAnytime TD700
Dak PrescottDAL @ PHIAnytime TD550
Makai LemonPHI vs DALAnytime TD290

Frequently asked questions

What counts as a hit?

A game in which the player finished on the side shown, over the line for an over or under it for an under, measured against this week's line.

Why show unders as well as overs?

Because a line a player keeps falling short of is as useful as one he keeps clearing.

Why does a player need five games?

Fewer than five games is too small a sample to rank.

What comes with Pro?

Every line's hit rates, over the last ten and the last five, and its game-by-game run are free. Pro adds our chance and our projection on every line; the board's top line shows them free.

Which sportsbook are the lines from?

Bet365, refreshed through the week as lines and prices move.

What is a hit rate in sports betting?

How often a bet would have won in the past: a player who cleared 60.5 rushing yards in eight of his last ten games has an 80% hit rate at that line.

What do L5 and L10 mean?

His last five and last ten games: the hit rate over his most recent games, the ones closest to how he is playing now.

Does a high hit rate mean the bet will win?

No - it is history, not a forecast. It shows how often he has cleared the line lately; our projection and the price say what to expect this week.

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