NFL Prop Matchups This Week — Form vs Defense

Players in form against the defenses that give it up, and the popular props to swerve.

NFL prop matchups for the week: player props where the player's form meets a defense that gives up the most to his position, for anytime touchdown scorers, receptions, receiving, rushing and passing yards, carries and passing touchdowns, each at the line that suits his form with the Bet365 price. Under each, the props to swerve: players in form walking into one of the stingiest defenses in the league.

NFL prop matchups: players in form against the defenses that give it up
QuestionPlayerMatchupPropFormDefensePrice
TD scorers · RBsKyren WilliamsLAR vs ARIAnytime TD4 of 5ARI allow tied 8th most rushing TDs to RBs1.50
TD scorers · WRsPuka NacuaLAR vs ARIAnytime TD2 of 3ARI allow the most receiving TDs to WRs1.57
TD scorers · TEsGeorge KittleSF vs WSHAnytime TD3 of 5WSH allow 2nd most receiving TDs to TEs2.05
TD scorers · QBsJosh AllenBUF @ LVAnytime TD5 of 5LV allow tied 3rd most rushing TDs to QBs1.57
Receptions · WRsLuther Burden IIICHI @ ATL4+ receptions4 of 5ATL allow tied 3rd most receptions to WRs1.52
Receptions · TEsJuwan JohnsonNO @ NYG4+ receptions4 of 5NYG allow 6th most receptions to TEs1.52
Receptions · RBsBucky IrvingTB vs PITOver 1.5 receptions4 of 5PIT allow tied 7th most receptions to RBs1.58
Receiving yards · WRsRome OdunzeCHI @ ATL40+ receiving yds5 of 5ATL allow 6th most receiving yards to WRs1.77
Receiving yards · TEsBrock BowersLV vs BUFOver 79.5 receiving yds3 of 3BUF allow 9th most receiving yards to TEs1.86
Receiving yards · RBsAshton JeantyLV vs BUF30+ receiving yds4 of 5BUF allow tied 2nd most receiving yards to RBs2.18
Rushing yards · RBsCam SkatteboNYG vs NOOver 53.5 rushing yds4 of 5NO allow the most rushing yards to RBs1.86
Rushing yards · QBsJacoby BrissettARI @ LAR5+ rushing yds4 of 5LAR allow 3rd most rushing yards to QBs1.60
Carries · RBsKenneth Walker IIIKC vs LACOver 18.5 carries3 of 4LAC allow 4th most carries to RBs1.68
Passing yards · QBsBryce YoungCAR @ PHI275+ passing yds4 of 4PHI allow 10th most passing yards3.20
Passing TDs · QBsJordan LoveGB vs DALOver 1.5 passing TDs5 of 5DAL allow tied 7th most passing TDs1.50

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best anytime touchdown matchup among running backs this week?

Kyren Williams of the Rams: he scored in 4 of his 5 games, and the Cardinals allow tied 8th most rushing TDs to RBs, 0.8 a game. Anytime TD is 1.50 at Bet365 (ARI @ LAR, Sun 4:05 ET).

Who has the best anytime touchdown matchup among wide receivers this week?

Puka Nacua of the Rams: he scored in 2 of his 3 games, and the Cardinals allow the most receiving TDs to WRs, 2 a game. Anytime TD is 1.57 at Bet365 (ARI @ LAR, Sun 4:05 ET).

Who has the best anytime touchdown matchup among tight ends this week?

George Kittle of the 49ers: he scored in 3 of his 5 games, and the Commanders allow 2nd most receiving TDs to TEs, 1.4 a game. Anytime TD is 2.05 at Bet365 (WSH @ SF, Mon 8:15 ET).

Who has the best anytime touchdown matchup among quarterbacks this week?

Josh Allen of the Bills: he scored in 5 of his 5 games, and the Raiders allow tied 3rd most rushing TDs to QBs, 0.4 a game. Anytime TD is 1.57 at Bet365 (BUF @ LV, Sun 4:25 ET).

Who has the best receptions matchup among wide receivers this week?

Luther Burden III of the Bears: he had 4+ receptions in 4 of his 5 games, and the Falcons allow tied 3rd most receptions to WRs, 14.6 a game. 4+ receptions is 1.52 at Bet365 (CHI @ ATL, Sun 1:00 ET).

Who has the best receptions matchup among tight ends this week?

Juwan Johnson of the Saints: he had 4+ receptions in 4 of his 5 games, and the Giants allow 6th most receptions to TEs, 6.6 a game. 4+ receptions is 1.52 at Bet365 (NO @ NYG, Sun 1:00 ET).

Who has the best receptions matchup among running backs this week?

Bucky Irving of the Buccaneers: he went over 1.5 receptions in 4 of his 5 games, and the Steelers allow tied 7th most receptions to RBs, 5 a game. Over 1.5 receptions is 1.58 at Bet365 (PIT @ TB, Sun 1:00 ET).

Who has the best receiving yards matchup among wide receivers this week?

Rome Odunze of the Bears: he had 40+ receiving yds in 5 of his 5 games, and the Falcons allow 6th most receiving yards to WRs, 181 a game. 40+ receiving yds is 1.77 at Bet365 (CHI @ ATL, Sun 1:00 ET).

Who has the best receiving yards matchup among tight ends this week?

Brock Bowers of the Raiders: he went over 79.5 receiving yds in 3 of his 3 games, and the Bills allow 9th most receiving yards to TEs, 60 a game. Over 79.5 receiving yds is 1.86 at Bet365 (BUF @ LV, Sun 4:25 ET).

Who has the best receiving yards matchup among running backs this week?

Ashton Jeanty of the Raiders: he had 30+ receiving yds in 4 of his 5 games, and the Bills allow tied 2nd most receiving yards to RBs, 48.4 a game. 30+ receiving yds is 2.18 at Bet365 (BUF @ LV, Sun 4:25 ET).

Who has the best rushing yards matchup among running backs this week?

Cam Skattebo of the Giants: he went over 53.5 rushing yds in 4 of his 5 games, and the Saints allow the most rushing yards to RBs, 133.4 a game. Over 53.5 rushing yds is 1.86 at Bet365 (NO @ NYG, Sun 1:00 ET).

Who has the best rushing yards matchup among quarterbacks this week?

Jacoby Brissett of the Cardinals: he had 5+ rushing yds in 4 of his 5 games, and the Rams allow 3rd most rushing yards to QBs, 35.2 a game. 5+ rushing yds is 1.60 at Bet365 (ARI @ LAR, Sun 4:05 ET).

Who has the best carries matchup among running backs this week?

Kenneth Walker III of the Chiefs: he went over 18.5 carries in 3 of his 4 games, and the Chargers allow 4th most carries to RBs, 25.6 a game. Over 18.5 carries is 1.68 at Bet365 (LAC @ KC, Sun 4:25 ET).

Who has the best passing yards matchup among quarterbacks this week?

Bryce Young of the Panthers: he had 275+ passing yds in 4 of his 4 games, and the Eagles allow 10th most passing yards, 248.4 a game. 275+ passing yds is 3.20 at Bet365 (CAR @ PHI, Sun 1:00 ET).

Who has the best passing touchdowns matchup among quarterbacks this week?

Jordan Love of the Packers: he went over 1.5 passing TDs in 5 of his 5 games, and the Cowboys allow tied 7th most passing TDs, 2 a game. Over 1.5 passing TDs is 1.50 at Bet365 (DAL @ GB, Sun 8:20 ET).

What is a prop matchup?

A player prop where his form and the defense he meets point the same way: he has been clearing the line, and his opponent gives up plenty of that stat to his position.

What does swerve mean?

A popular prop to leave alone this week: the player has been in form or carries a big line, but meets one of the defenses that allows the least to his position.

Which games are counted?

This season's, once three weeks are played. Switch to his and the defense's last 5, 10 or 20 games, which run back into last season.

Why are some answers at an alternate line?

Where Bet365 offers a ladder of lines, such as 60+, 70+ and 80+ yards, the answer shows the line that suits his form, with its price.

Does this use projections?

No. It is what the player has done and what the defense has allowed, side by side.

What do the tags mean?

What else helps or hurts the bet this week: the pace of both offenses, rest and short weeks, a roof or the weather forecast, the game total, starters missing on defense, a role growing or shrinking, and his own offense in the same stat.

What comes with Pro?

The top answer in each section is free. Pro shows every answer and every prop to swerve.

Which sportsbook are the prices from?

Bet365, refreshed through the week as lines and prices move.

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