The Statz NFL game simulator plays the Carolina Panthers at the New Orleans Saints 10,000 times: Week 10 of the 2026 season, Sunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET at Caesars Superdome. The Panthers win 51% of the games and the projected score is Panthers 25, Saints 24, a total of 48.8 points.
The likeliest pairing of scores is the Panthers 21-27 and the Saints 21-27, 8.4% of games on its own. The Panthers win by 7 or more 33% of the time and the Saints 30%; 47% of games are decided by one score and 3.0% go to overtime.
At the market's NO −2.5 the Saints cover in 41% of simulations; at its total of 49 the game goes over 49% of the time.
Score bands: Panthers points down the side, Saints points across| CAR / NO | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35+ |
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| 0–6 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
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| 7–13 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
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| 14–20 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
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| 21–27 | 0.9% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
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| 28–34 | 0.7% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
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| 35+ | 0.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
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Winning margin| Margin | Panthers | Saints |
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| 1–6 | 18.7% | 18.3% |
| 7–12 | 14.1% | 13.4% |
| 13–18 | 9.6% | 8.8% |
| 19–24 | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| 25–30 | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| 31+ | 1.3% | 1.1% |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Panthers vs Saints?
The Statz NFL game simulator makes the Carolina Panthers 51% favourites: they win 51 of every 100 simulations of this game, the New Orleans Saints 49.
What is the predicted score for Panthers vs Saints?
The projected score is Carolina Panthers 25, New Orleans Saints 24, a total of 48.8 points. The likeliest score range is the Panthers 21-27 and the Saints 21-27.
Will the Saints cover the spread against the Panthers?
At NO −2.5, the Saints cover in 41% of simulations and the Panthers in 59%.
Will Panthers vs Saints go over 49 points?
The simulator has the game over 49 points in 49% of games and under in 51%, around a projected total of 48.8.
How many points will the Panthers score against the Saints?
The Carolina Panthers are projected to score 25 points, and they score 20 or more in 71% of simulations.
How many points will the Saints score against the Panthers?
The New Orleans Saints are projected to score 24 points, and they score 20 or more in 69% of simulations.
Will Panthers vs Saints go to overtime?
3.0% of the simulations are level after 60 minutes and go to overtime.
Will Panthers vs Saints be a close game?
47% of the simulations are decided by one score (8 points or fewer), and 20% by a field goal or less.
How does the Statz NFL game simulator work?
It plays the game 10,000 times from the Statz projection model's spread and total for it, and counts the results: the winner, the score, the margin and every line. Each run is drawn fresh, and the model's figures are what the runs settle on.
Is the NFL game simulator free?
Yes. Every game of the week can be simulated free, with no account needed.