The Statz NFL game simulator plays the Houston Texans at the Cleveland Browns 10,000 times: Week 10 of the 2026 season, Sunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET at Huntington Bank Field. The Texans win 63% of the games and the projected score is Texans 23, Browns 19, a total of 42.3 points.
The likeliest pairing of scores is the Texans 21-27 and the Browns 14-20, 8.2% of games on its own. The Texans win by 7 or more 44% of the time and the Browns 21%; 45% of games are decided by one score and 2.8% go to overtime.
At the market's HOU −4.5 the Texans cover in 50% of simulations; at its total of 40.5 the game goes over 55% of the time.
Score bands: Texans points down the side, Browns points across| HOU / CLE | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35+ |
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| 0–6 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
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| 7–13 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
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| 14–20 | 2.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
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| 21–27 | 2.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
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| 28–34 | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
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| 35+ | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
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Winning margin| Margin | Texans | Browns |
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| 1–6 | 18.9% | 16.2% |
| 7–12 | 16.4% | 10.4% |
| 13–18 | 12.7% | 6.0% |
| 19–24 | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| 25–30 | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| 31+ | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Texans vs Browns?
The Statz NFL game simulator makes the Houston Texans 63% favourites: they win 63 of every 100 simulations of this game, the Cleveland Browns 37.
What is the predicted score for Texans vs Browns?
The projected score is Houston Texans 23, Cleveland Browns 19, a total of 42.3 points. The likeliest score range is the Texans 21-27 and the Browns 14-20.
Will the Texans cover the spread against the Browns?
At HOU −4.5, the Texans cover in 50% of simulations and the Browns in 50%.
Will Texans vs Browns go over 40.5 points?
The simulator has the game over 40.5 points in 55% of games and under in 45%, around a projected total of 42.3.
How many points will the Texans score against the Browns?
The Houston Texans are projected to score 23 points, and they score 20 or more in 66% of simulations.
How many points will the Browns score against the Texans?
The Cleveland Browns are projected to score 19 points, and they score 20 or more in 47% of simulations.
Will Texans vs Browns go to overtime?
2.8% of the simulations are level after 60 minutes and go to overtime.
Will Texans vs Browns be a close game?
45% of the simulations are decided by one score (8 points or fewer), and 19% by a field goal or less.
How does the Statz NFL game simulator work?
It plays the game 10,000 times from the Statz projection model's spread and total for it, and counts the results: the winner, the score, the margin and every line. Each run is drawn fresh, and the model's figures are what the runs settle on.
Is the NFL game simulator free?
Yes. Every game of the week can be simulated free, with no account needed.