The Statz NFL game simulator plays the Los Angeles Rams at the Arizona Cardinals 10,000 times: Week 10 of the 2026 season, Sunday, November 15 at 4:05 PM ET at State Farm Stadium. The Rams win 68% of the games and the projected score is Rams 27, Cardinals 20, a total of 47.0 points.
The likeliest pairing of scores is the Rams 21-27 and the Cardinals 14-20, 7.6% of games on its own. The Rams win by 7 or more 49% of the time and the Cardinals 17%; 43% of games are decided by one score and 2.7% go to overtime.
At the market's LAR −9.5 the Rams cover in 41% of simulations; at its total of 39.5 the game goes over 72% of the time.
Score bands: Rams points down the side, Cardinals points across| LAR / ARI | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35+ |
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| 0–6 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
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| 7–13 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
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| 14–20 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
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| 21–27 | 2.0% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
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| 28–34 | 1.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
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| 35+ | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
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Winning margin| Margin | Rams | Cardinals |
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| 1–6 | 18.6% | 14.9% |
| 7–12 | 17.1% | 9.0% |
| 13–18 | 14.0% | 4.9% |
| 19–24 | 9.4% | 2.2% |
| 25–30 | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| 31+ | 3.6% | 0.3% |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rams vs Cardinals?
The Statz NFL game simulator makes the Los Angeles Rams 68% favourites: they win 68 of every 100 simulations of this game, the Arizona Cardinals 32.
What is the predicted score for Rams vs Cardinals?
The projected score is Los Angeles Rams 27, Arizona Cardinals 20, a total of 47.0 points. The likeliest score range is the Rams 21-27 and the Cardinals 14-20.
Will the Rams cover the spread against the Cardinals?
At LAR −9.5, the Rams cover in 41% of simulations and the Cardinals in 59%.
Will Rams vs Cardinals go over 39.5 points?
The simulator has the game over 39.5 points in 72% of games and under in 29%, around a projected total of 47.0.
How many points will the Rams score against the Cardinals?
The Los Angeles Rams are projected to score 27 points, and they score 20 or more in 78% of simulations.
How many points will the Cardinals score against the Rams?
The Arizona Cardinals are projected to score 20 points, and they score 20 or more in 54% of simulations.
Will Rams vs Cardinals go to overtime?
2.7% of the simulations are level after 60 minutes and go to overtime.
Will Rams vs Cardinals be a close game?
43% of the simulations are decided by one score (8 points or fewer), and 18% by a field goal or less.
How does the Statz NFL game simulator work?
It plays the game 10,000 times from the Statz projection model's spread and total for it, and counts the results: the winner, the score, the margin and every line. Each run is drawn fresh, and the model's figures are what the runs settle on.
Is the NFL game simulator free?
Yes. Every game of the week can be simulated free, with no account needed.