The Statz NFL game simulator plays the Seattle Seahawks at the Las Vegas Raiders 10,000 times: Week 10 of the 2026 season, Sunday, November 15 at 4:05 PM ET at Allegiant Stadium. The Seahawks win 70% of the games and the projected score is Seahawks 26, Raiders 19, a total of 44.4 points.
The likeliest pairing of scores is the Seahawks 21-27 and the Raiders 14-20, 8.1% of games on its own. The Seahawks win by 7 or more 52% of the time and the Raiders 16%; 42% of games are decided by one score and 2.6% go to overtime.
At the market's SEA −6.5 the Seahawks cover in 52% of simulations; at its total of 40.5 the game goes over 62% of the time.
Score bands: Seahawks points down the side, Raiders points across| SEA / LV | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35+ |
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| 0–6 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
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| 7–13 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
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| 14–20 | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
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| 21–27 | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
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| 28–34 | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
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| 35+ | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
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Winning margin| Margin | Seahawks | Raiders |
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| 1–6 | 18.3% | 14.3% |
| 7–12 | 17.3% | 8.4% |
| 13–18 | 14.5% | 4.4% |
| 19–24 | 10.1% | 1.9% |
| 25–30 | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| 31+ | 4.1% | 0.3% |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Seahawks vs Raiders?
The Statz NFL game simulator makes the Seattle Seahawks 70% favourites: they win 70 of every 100 simulations of this game, the Las Vegas Raiders 30.
What is the predicted score for Seahawks vs Raiders?
The projected score is Seattle Seahawks 26, Las Vegas Raiders 19, a total of 44.4 points. The likeliest score range is the Seahawks 21-27 and the Raiders 14-20.
Will the Seahawks cover the spread against the Raiders?
At SEA −6.5, the Seahawks cover in 52% of simulations and the Raiders in 48%.
Will Seahawks vs Raiders go over 40.5 points?
The simulator has the game over 40.5 points in 62% of games and under in 38%, around a projected total of 44.4.
How many points will the Seahawks score against the Raiders?
The Seattle Seahawks are projected to score 26 points, and they score 20 or more in 75% of simulations.
How many points will the Raiders score against the Seahawks?
The Las Vegas Raiders are projected to score 19 points, and they score 20 or more in 46% of simulations.
Will Seahawks vs Raiders go to overtime?
2.6% of the simulations are level after 60 minutes and go to overtime.
Will Seahawks vs Raiders be a close game?
42% of the simulations are decided by one score (8 points or fewer), and 18% by a field goal or less.
How does the Statz NFL game simulator work?
It plays the game 10,000 times from the Statz projection model's spread and total for it, and counts the results: the winner, the score, the margin and every line. Each run is drawn fresh, and the model's figures are what the runs settle on.
Is the NFL game simulator free?
Yes. Every game of the week can be simulated free, with no account needed.