The Statz NFL game simulator plays the San Francisco 49ers at the Dallas Cowboys 10,000 times: Week 10 of the 2026 season, Sunday, November 15 at 4:25 PM ET at AT&T Stadium. The 49ers win 64% of the games and the projected score is 49ers 29, Cowboys 25, a total of 53.8 points.
The likeliest pairing of scores is the 49ers 35 or more and the Cowboys 21-27, 8.4% of games on its own. The 49ers win by 7 or more 45% of the time and the Cowboys 20%; 45% of games are decided by one score and 2.8% go to overtime.
At the market's SF −4 the 49ers cover in 52% of simulations; at its total of 55.5 the game goes over 45% of the time.
Score bands: 49ers points down the side, Cowboys points across| SF / DAL | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35+ |
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| 0–6 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
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| 7–13 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
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| 14–20 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
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| 21–27 | 0.7% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
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| 28–34 | 0.8% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
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| 35+ | 0.9% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
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Winning margin| Margin | 49ers | Cowboys |
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| 1–6 | 18.9% | 16.1% |
| 7–12 | 16.5% | 10.2% |
| 13–18 | 12.8% | 5.9% |
| 19–24 | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| 25–30 | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| 31+ | 2.8% | 0.5% |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win 49ers vs Cowboys?
The Statz NFL game simulator makes the San Francisco 49ers 64% favourites: they win 64 of every 100 simulations of this game, the Dallas Cowboys 36.
What is the predicted score for 49ers vs Cowboys?
The projected score is San Francisco 49ers 29, Dallas Cowboys 25, a total of 53.8 points. The likeliest score range is the 49ers 35 or more and the Cowboys 21-27.
Will the 49ers cover the spread against the Cowboys?
At SF −4, the 49ers cover in 52% of simulations and the Cowboys in 48%.
Will 49ers vs Cowboys go over 55.5 points?
The simulator has the game over 55.5 points in 45% of games and under in 55%, around a projected total of 53.8.
How many points will the 49ers score against the Cowboys?
The San Francisco 49ers are projected to score 29 points, and they score 20 or more in 85% of simulations.
How many points will the Cowboys score against the 49ers?
The Dallas Cowboys are projected to score 25 points, and they score 20 or more in 70% of simulations.
Will 49ers vs Cowboys go to overtime?
2.8% of the simulations are level after 60 minutes and go to overtime.
Will 49ers vs Cowboys be a close game?
45% of the simulations are decided by one score (8 points or fewer), and 19% by a field goal or less.
How does the Statz NFL game simulator work?
It plays the game 10,000 times from the Statz projection model's spread and total for it, and counts the results: the winner, the score, the margin and every line. Each run is drawn fresh, and the model's figures are what the runs settle on.
Is the NFL game simulator free?
Yes. Every game of the week can be simulated free, with no account needed.