Final: the Washington Commanders 24, the New York Giants 21, Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season. The simulation on this page is the one published before kickoff, and it stays as it was.
Before kickoff the simulator had the Giants winning 55% of the time and a projected score of Commanders 21, Giants 22.
The likeliest pairing of scores is the Commanders 21-27 and the Giants 21-27, 7.8% of games on its own. The Giants win by 7 or more 36% of the time and the Commanders 27%; 47% of games are decided by one score and 2.9% go to overtime.
| WSH / NYG | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| 7–13 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| 14–20 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| 21–27 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| 28–34 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| 35+ | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Margin | Commanders | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 1–6 | 17.9% | 18.9% |
| 7–12 | 12.6% | 14.9% |
| 13–18 | 8.0% | 10.4% |
| 19–24 | 4.2% | 6.0% |
| 25–30 | 1.8% | 2.9% |
| 31+ | 0.9% | 1.6% |