The Statz NFL game simulator plays the Pittsburgh Steelers at the Cincinnati Bengals 10,000 times: Week 10 of the 2026 season, Sunday, November 15 at 8:20 PM ET at Paycor Stadium. The Bengals win 60% of the games and the projected score is Steelers 22, Bengals 25, a total of 47.3 points.
The likeliest pairing of scores is the Steelers 21-27 and the Bengals 21-27, 8.1% of games on its own. The Bengals win by 7 or more 41% of the time and the Steelers 23%; 46% of games are decided by one score and 2.9% go to overtime.
At the market's CIN −3.5 the Bengals cover in 49% of simulations; at its total of 49.5 the game goes over 43% of the time.
Score bands: Steelers points down the side, Bengals points across| PIT / CIN | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35+ |
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| 0–6 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
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| 7–13 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
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| 14–20 | 0.6% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
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| 21–27 | 0.7% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
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| 28–34 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
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| 35+ | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
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Winning margin| Margin | Steelers | Bengals |
|---|
| 1–6 | 17.0% | 19.0% |
| 7–12 | 11.3% | 15.9% |
| 13–18 | 6.8% | 11.8% |
| 19–24 | 3.3% | 7.2% |
| 25–30 | 1.4% | 3.6% |
| 31+ | 0.6% | 2.2% |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Steelers vs Bengals?
The Statz NFL game simulator makes the Cincinnati Bengals 60% favourites: they win 60 of every 100 simulations of this game, the Pittsburgh Steelers 40.
What is the predicted score for Steelers vs Bengals?
The projected score is Pittsburgh Steelers 22, Cincinnati Bengals 25, a total of 47.3 points. The likeliest score range is the Steelers 21-27 and the Bengals 21-27.
Will the Bengals cover the spread against the Steelers?
At CIN −3.5, the Bengals cover in 49% of simulations and the Steelers in 51%.
Will Steelers vs Bengals go over 49.5 points?
The simulator has the game over 49.5 points in 43% of games and under in 57%, around a projected total of 47.3.
How many points will the Steelers score against the Bengals?
The Pittsburgh Steelers are projected to score 22 points, and they score 20 or more in 60% of simulations.
How many points will the Bengals score against the Steelers?
The Cincinnati Bengals are projected to score 25 points, and they score 20 or more in 73% of simulations.
Will Steelers vs Bengals go to overtime?
2.9% of the simulations are level after 60 minutes and go to overtime.
Will Steelers vs Bengals be a close game?
46% of the simulations are decided by one score (8 points or fewer), and 20% by a field goal or less.
How does the Statz NFL game simulator work?
It plays the game 10,000 times from the Statz projection model's spread and total for it, and counts the results: the winner, the score, the margin and every line. Each run is drawn fresh, and the model's figures are what the runs settle on.
Is the NFL game simulator free?
Yes. Every game of the week can be simulated free, with no account needed.