The Statz NFL game simulator plays the Jacksonville Jaguars at the Tennessee Titans 10,000 times: Week 10 of the 2026 season, Sunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET at Nissan Stadium. The Jaguars win 79% of the games and the projected score is Jaguars 27, Titans 16, a total of 43.4 points.
The likeliest pairing of scores is the Jaguars 21-27 and the Titans 14-20, 7.9% of games on its own. The Jaguars win by 7 or more 63% of the time and the Titans 10%; 35% of games are decided by one score and 2.1% go to overtime.
At the market's JAX −10.5 the Jaguars cover in 52% of simulations; at its total of 46.5 the game goes over 41% of the time.
Score bands: Jaguars points down the side, Titans points across| JAX / TEN | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35+ |
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| 0–6 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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| 7–13 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
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| 14–20 | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
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| 21–27 | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
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| 28–34 | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
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| 35+ | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
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Winning margin| Margin | Jaguars | Titans |
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| 1–6 | 16.1% | 11.0% |
| 7–12 | 17.5% | 5.6% |
| 13–18 | 16.7% | 2.6% |
| 19–24 | 13.1% | 1.0% |
| 25–30 | 8.5% | 0.3% |
| 31+ | 7.5% | 0.1% |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Jaguars vs Titans?
The Statz NFL game simulator makes the Jacksonville Jaguars 79% favourites: they win 79 of every 100 simulations of this game, the Tennessee Titans 21.
What is the predicted score for Jaguars vs Titans?
The projected score is Jacksonville Jaguars 27, Tennessee Titans 16, a total of 43.4 points. The likeliest score range is the Jaguars 21-27 and the Titans 14-20.
Will the Jaguars cover the spread against the Titans?
At JAX −10.5, the Jaguars cover in 52% of simulations and the Titans in 48%.
Will Jaguars vs Titans go over 46.5 points?
The simulator has the game over 46.5 points in 41% of games and under in 59%, around a projected total of 43.4.
How many points will the Jaguars score against the Titans?
The Jacksonville Jaguars are projected to score 27 points, and they score 20 or more in 79% of simulations.
How many points will the Titans score against the Jaguars?
The Tennessee Titans are projected to score 16 points, and they score 20 or more in 36% of simulations.
Will Jaguars vs Titans go to overtime?
2.1% of the simulations are level after 60 minutes and go to overtime.
Will Jaguars vs Titans be a close game?
35% of the simulations are decided by one score (8 points or fewer), and 15% by a field goal or less.
How does the Statz NFL game simulator work?
It plays the game 10,000 times from the Statz projection model's spread and total for it, and counts the results: the winner, the score, the margin and every line. Each run is drawn fresh, and the model's figures are what the runs settle on.
Is the NFL game simulator free?
Yes. Every game of the week can be simulated free, with no account needed.