The Statz NFL game simulator plays the Minnesota Vikings at the Green Bay Packers 10,000 times: Week 10 of the 2026 season, Sunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET at Lambeau Field. The Packers win 64% of the games and the projected score is Vikings 18, Packers 23, a total of 40.6 points.
The likeliest pairing of scores is the Vikings 14-20 and the Packers 21-27, 8.3% of games on its own. The Packers win by 7 or more 45% of the time and the Vikings 20%; 45% of games are decided by one score and 2.8% go to overtime.
At the market's GB −3 the Packers cover in 55% of simulations; at its total of 42 the game goes over 46% of the time.
Score bands: Vikings points down the side, Packers points across| MIN / GB | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35+ |
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| 0–6 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
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| 7–13 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
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| 14–20 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
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| 21–27 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
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| 28–34 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
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| 35+ | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
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Winning margin| Margin | Vikings | Packers |
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| 1–6 | 16.1% | 18.9% |
| 7–12 | 10.2% | 16.5% |
| 13–18 | 5.9% | 12.8% |
| 19–24 | 2.8% | 8.2% |
| 25–30 | 1.1% | 4.3% |
| 31+ | 0.5% | 2.8% |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vikings vs Packers?
The Statz NFL game simulator makes the Green Bay Packers 64% favourites: they win 64 of every 100 simulations of this game, the Minnesota Vikings 36.
What is the predicted score for Vikings vs Packers?
The projected score is Minnesota Vikings 18, Green Bay Packers 23, a total of 40.6 points. The likeliest score range is the Vikings 14-20 and the Packers 21-27.
Will the Packers cover the spread against the Vikings?
At GB −3, the Packers cover in 55% of simulations and the Vikings in 45%.
Will Vikings vs Packers go over 42 points?
The simulator has the game over 42 points in 46% of games and under in 54%, around a projected total of 40.6.
How many points will the Vikings score against the Packers?
The Minnesota Vikings are projected to score 18 points, and they score 20 or more in 43% of simulations.
How many points will the Packers score against the Vikings?
The Green Bay Packers are projected to score 23 points, and they score 20 or more in 63% of simulations.
Will Vikings vs Packers go to overtime?
2.8% of the simulations are level after 60 minutes and go to overtime.
Will Vikings vs Packers be a close game?
45% of the simulations are decided by one score (8 points or fewer), and 19% by a field goal or less.
How does the Statz NFL game simulator work?
It plays the game 10,000 times from the Statz projection model's spread and total for it, and counts the results: the winner, the score, the margin and every line. Each run is drawn fresh, and the model's figures are what the runs settle on.
Is the NFL game simulator free?
Yes. Every game of the week can be simulated free, with no account needed.