Eighteen Europa League ties on Thursday, eight at 5:45pm and ten at eight o'clock. Five player bets stand out on our model, and the best of them is a centre-back who has committed a foul in each of his last six games. Prices were taken this morning and they move.
Everything below comes from our Player Props board and the model's projections, and the rule holds: we only name a selection the model rates above its price. Two Champions League nights this week produced 78 goals in 18 games, which is why today's Daily Acca carries an over 2.5 goals four-fold too.
Ozan Kabak to commit 1+ fouls at 1/3 with Midnite is 82 percent against an implied 75, and it is the strongest run on the board. He has fouled in each of his last six games, with a high of three. Emirhan Topçu 1+ fouls at 4/6 with Ladbrokes is 70 percent against 60, and he has done it in four of his last six, with a high of four.
Hoffenheim are 29th with no points after a 2-0 defeat at OFI, while Beşiktaş are 4th after beating Marseille 4-1. Hoffenheim v Beşiktaş is previewed here.
Kerim Alajbegovic 1+ shots on target at 1/1 with bet365 is 69 percent against an implied 50, and he has done it in four of his last six games.
Juventus top the table after a 5-0 win over NEC Nijmegen, while Celta are 26th after a 1-0 defeat at Omonia. Celta v Juventus has its own preview.
Strahinja Pavlović 1+ shots at 4/6 with Ladbrokes and Coral is 69 percent against an implied 61, and four of his last six games have cleared it.
Milan are 30th without a point after a 2-0 home defeat to Benfica, while Salzburg are 14th after a 1-0 win at Levski Sofia. Salzburg v Milan is previewed here.
Kasper Høgh 2+ fouls at 11/8 with Ladbrokes and Coral is 54 percent against an implied 42, and he has done it in three of his last six games, with a high of four.
Benfica won 2-0 at Milan on matchday one, and Celtic lost 3-1 at home to Ferencváros. Benfica v Celtic has a preview too.
Today's Daily Acca has two Europa League slips: a treble of AC Milan, Bournemouth and Benfica at around 2/1, and an over 2.5 goals four-fold of Salzburg v Milan, Bournemouth v Sturm Graz, Benfica v Celtic and Hoffenheim v Beşiktaş at around 7/2. Wednesday's Championship Double landed and the Champions League four-fold went two from four, so the season stands at 18 winners from 85 at +4.12pts.
Every price on the card is rated against our projection model. A bet makes this page only when the model puts it clearly above the chance the price implies and the player's recent games back it up. The hit rates quoted are match statistics, not settled bets. The full boards are on the Player Props page, and the Bet Builder Tips page builds the same reads into same-game slips.
Ozan Kabak 1+ fouls at 1/3, Emirhan Topçu 1+ fouls at 4/6, Kerim Alajbegovic 1+ shots on target at 1/1, Strahinja Pavlović 1+ shots at 4/6 and Kasper Høgh 2+ fouls at 11/8. Our model rates them at 82, 70, 69, 69 and 54 percent.
Ozan Kabak of Hoffenheim, who has committed a foul in each of his last six games, with a high of three.
Eight games kick off at 5:45pm UK, including Salzburg v AC Milan and Lyon v Crystal Palace. The other ten kick off at 8pm.
18+. Please gamble responsibly - begambleaware.org. Odds were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.