Nine Champions League ties on Wednesday, two at 5:45pm and seven at eight o'clock, and our model has rated every price on the board. Five player bets stand out, and the best of them has not missed in six games. Prices were taken this morning and they move.
Everything below comes from our Player Props board and the model's projections, and the rule holds: we only name a selection the model rates above its price.
Nico Paz to have 3+ shots at 2/5 (Coral and Ladbrokes) is 82 percent against an implied 71, and it is the strongest run on the board. He has had at least three shots in each of his last six games, with a high of ten. Como beat RB Leipzig 4-1 on matchday one, and Feyenoord are 33rd after a 5-1 defeat at Barcelona.
Martin Baturina 1+ shot on target at 11/10 with bet365 is 56 percent against an implied 48, and he has done it in four of his last six. The Feyenoord v Como preview has the full match, and the match page carries the live numbers.
Jens Petter Hauge 2+ shots at 4/5 with bet365 is 63 percent against an implied 56, with four of his last six games clearing it. Patrick Berg 1+ shot on target at 5/4 (Coral and Ladbrokes) is 55 percent against an implied 44, and he has hit it in four of his last six.
Bodø/Glimt are 36th after a 5-0 defeat at Bayern on matchday one, while Dortmund beat Villarreal 3-2 in their opener and drew 2-2 with Bremen on Friday. Bodø/Glimt v Dortmund is previewed here, and the match page has the rest.
Enzo Fernández 2+ shots at 5/6 (Coral and Ladbrokes) is 64 percent against an implied 54, with three of his last six games clearing it. Manchester City won 3-0 at Liverpool on Sunday and PSG beat Slovan Bratislava 6-1 on matchday one. Man City v PSG has its own preview, and the match page is live on the night.
Today's Daily Acca has a Champions League four-fold of Liverpool, Como, Aston Villa and Dortmund at around 17/2, and a Championship double of Queens Park Rangers and West Ham United at around 15/8. Tuesday's Champions League Treble of RB Leipzig, Atlético Madrid and Villarreal landed in full, and the season stands at 17 winners from 83 at +2.77pts.
Every price on the card is rated against our projection model. A bet makes this page only when the model puts it clearly above the chance the price implies and the player's recent games back it up. The hit rates quoted are match statistics, not settled bets. The full boards are on the Player Props page, and the Bet Builder Tips page builds the same reads into same-game slips.
Nico Paz 3+ shots at 2/5, Jens Petter Hauge 2+ shots at 4/5, Patrick Berg 1+ shot on target at 5/4, Martin Baturina 1+ shot on target at 11/10 and Enzo Fernández 2+ shots at 5/6. Our model rates them at 82, 63, 55, 56 and 64 percent.
Nico Paz of Como, who has had at least three shots in each of his last six games, with a high of ten.
Two games kick off at 5:45pm UK, LASK Linz v Liverpool and Feyenoord v Como. The other seven kick off at 8pm.
18+. Please gamble responsibly - begambleaware.org. Odds were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.