LASK Linz host Liverpool at the Raiffeisen Arena on Wednesday 14 October, with kick-off at 5:45pm UK time. It is a Champions League league-stage meeting between a side sitting 27th of 36 with no points and a Liverpool team on 3 points after beating Atlético 2-1 on opening night. Liverpool come in off a 3-0 home loss to Man City.
LASK Linz are 27th in the league phase after a 1-0 defeat at AEK Athens in their opening game. They have lost three of their last five across all competitions, most recently 2-0 at home to SK Rapid on Sunday, with a 3-3 draw at Hartberg and a 3-1 win at Górnik the other two results. Defensively they concede 1.67 a game, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. They do get shots away, with 6.33 on target per game.
Liverpool are 14th in the Champions League table after the 2-1 win over Atlético. Domestically it has been a mixed month: a 0-0 draw with Fulham, a 3-1 Carabao Cup win over Spurs, a 1-0 win at Bournemouth, then that 0-3 defeat to Man City. Their Champions League opener had both teams scoring and went over 2.5 goals. They also win corners, averaging 7 a game, the 8th most.
LASK Linz possible starting lineup:
Jungwirth; Jørgensen, Andrade, Dibango, Mbuyamba; Alemão, Horvath, Lang, Ljubicic; Kalajdzic, Adeniran
Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Araujo, van Dijk, Jacquet, Kerkez; Gravenberch, Mac Allister, Muñoz; Wirtz, Koumas, Barcola
Florian Wirtz is the pick of the Liverpool attackers. Two or more shots is 1.36 at bet365, and our model ranks it among the likeliest player markets on the card.
Jérémy Jacquet has made two or more tackles in each of his last five games, with 3, 3, 4, 3 and 2. Two or more tackles is 1.50 at bet365.
Lewis Koumas has committed at least one foul in each of his last five, and one or more fouls is 1.25 at bet365.
Christoph Lang is LASK's most dependable shooter, with at least one shot in each of his last five and a 1.29 price at bet365 for one or more. Samuel Adeniran has had a shot on target in four of his last five and is 1.73 at bet365 to do it again.
We back Liverpool to win, and they are 1.29 at bet365. LASK Linz are 10.00 at bet365 and the draw is 6.00 at Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| LASK Linz win | 10.00 | 12% |
| Draw | 6.00 | 17% |
| Liverpool win | 1.29 | 71% |
| Both teams to score | 1.70 | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 | 66% |
Our model has Liverpool at 2.47 expected goals against 0.93 for LASK. We predict a 0-2 Liverpool win, the likeliest single scoreline at around 10%, with 1-2 and 0-3 next. Liverpool are projected 7.25 shots on target against 3.37 for LASK. Referee Tobias Stieler has taken charge of two games this season and averaged 5 yellow cards per game in them.