Four builders for a Premier League Saturday, shaped the way the day is actually watched: a same-game slip for each standalone kick-off, and one cross-game multi that rides the whole three o'clock block. Every leg below has landed in 100 per cent of the player's qualifying matches this season, with one exception that is flagged where it appears.
Prices are the best of the books we track rather than a single bookmaker's, which on two of these legs is worth a meaningful amount - Ladbrokes pay 1.61 on a Joe Willock leg that bet365 price at 1.40. All odds are correct at the time of writing.
Tottenham Hotspur against Aston Villa is the rare thing: a Premier League game in the lunchtime slot. The builder leans on Villa's midfield, where two players have fouled in every single qualifying match this season.
George Lawrence Hemmings has committed at least one foul in all nine, averaging 1.8 a game, and Boubacar Kamara has done the same in all eight at 1.6 - Ladbrokes pay 1.36 on the Kamara leg against bet365's 1.29. Beside them, John McGinn and Pedro Porro have both managed a shot in eight of nine, at 1.8 shots a game each.
Four legs, priced as a single bet at 2.29. The referee is Samuel Barrott, 3 cards and 18 fouls a game - the quietest whistle of the five Premier League appointments today, which is the one argument against the fouls half of this slip.
One leg from each of the three o'clock games, which is the shape that actually fits the afternoon: the slate is watched as a block, so the bet should run across it rather than sit in one match.
Pascal Gross has had a shot in all fourteen qualifying games for Brighton at 2.8 a game, which is the biggest sample on the board, at 1.53. Thierno Barry of Everton is the strongest single number anywhere today - two or more shots in all twenty-two, averaging 4.4 - and Ladbrokes pay 1.20 where bet365 offer 1.14. Joe Willock completes it for Newcastle United: two or more shots in all fifteen at 3.0 a game, and 1.61 with Ladbrokes against 1.40 at bet365.
Multiplied at the best available prices that is 2.96. Worth saying plainly: our own record has cross-game multis running well behind same-game builders, so this is the shape that fits the television rather than the shape the numbers prefer. Keep it small.
One number from this block deserves its own line. Stuart Attwell has Everton against Ipswich Town, and he is averaging 7 yellow cards and 30 fouls a game this season. Both are the highest of any Premier League referee in our data by a distance, and anyone looking at cards in that match should start there.
Nottingham Forest against Coventry City at half five is a same-game slip built on the home side's discipline record. Ola Aina and Morgan Gibbs-White have both fouled in every qualifying game - six and five respectively - and both are materially better priced away from bet365: Ladbrokes pay 1.61 on Aina and 1.70 on Gibbs-White against 1.44 for each at bet365.
James McAtee has made a tackle in all nine at 1.8 a game, and Jack Rudoni has had a shot in all eight for Coventry at 1.6. Priced as one bet, 3.58. The referee is Jarred Gillett at 4.33 cards and 22.67 fouls a game.
There is no Premier League game at eight, so the evening slot goes to Sevilla against FC Barcelona - the same fixture our European best bets column took for goals at both ends on Friday.
Lamine Yamal has hit the target twice or more in all twelve qualifying games at 2.4 a game, and Ladbrokes pay 1.80 against bet365's 1.67 - the biggest price gap on any leg today. Pau Cubarsi has made a tackle in all ten. On the home side, Miguel Angel Sierra has had a shot in all nine and Jon Guridi has fouled in all seven.
Four legs at 3.92, the longest of the four builders. Juan Martinez Munuera referees, at 3.33 cards and 22.67 fouls a game.
Two things worth knowing before you use any of this. A 100 per cent hit rate is a description of what has happened, not a forecast - the samples here run from five qualifying games to twenty-two, and the five-game ones carry far less weight than the headline percentage suggests. Read the sample size beside each leg, not just the rate.
And every one of these legs assumes the player starts. Team sheets are not confirmed at the time of writing for any of the five matches, so check them before you stake anything. Most books void a player-prop leg if the player takes no part, which reprices the slip on the survivors rather than losing it, but the terms vary and they are worth reading at your own bookmaker.
What are the best bet builders for Saturday? Four: Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa at 2.29 for the 12:30 kick-off, a cross-game treble across the three o'clock Premier League games at 2.96, Nottingham Forest v Coventry City at 3.58 at 17:30, and Sevilla v FC Barcelona at 3.92 at 20:00. All prices at the time of writing.
Which player prop has the strongest record this weekend? Thierno Barry of Everton, who has had two or more shots in all twenty-two of his qualifying matches this season, averaging 4.4 shots a game. Ladbrokes price the leg at 1.20 against bet365's 1.14.
Which referee is worth watching this Saturday? Stuart Attwell, who has Everton against Ipswich Town and is averaging 7 yellow cards and 30 fouls per game this season - the highest of any Premier League referee in our data.
Do bet builder legs get voided if a player does not start? At most bookmakers a player-prop leg is voided if the player takes no part in the match, which reprices the slip on the remaining legs rather than losing it. Terms vary by bookmaker, so check yours before staking.