Wednesday's Champions League acca is a four-fold on Liverpool, Como, Aston Villa and Borussia Dortmund, around 17/2 with Ladbrokes. Every leg is the bookmakers' favourite, three of them away from home, and each opponent sits in the bottom half of the 36-team table.
It is the Champions League slip on today's Daily Acca, staked at half a point. Prices were taken this morning and they move.
Ladbrokes prices, Wednesday 14 October. Model is our win chance for the side backed
| Leg | KO | Price | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool at LASK Linz | 5:45pm | 2/5 | 71% |
| Como at Feyenoord | 5:45pm | 1/1 | 50% |
| Aston Villa v Fenerbahçe | 8pm | 3/5 | 59% |
| Dortmund at Bodø/Glimt | 8pm | 23/20 | 44% |
| All four | 17/2 | 9% |
Liverpool at 2/5 are the shortest price on the slip, and our model gives them a 71 percent chance of winning at the Raiffeisen Arena. Liverpool beat Atlético 2-1 on matchday one and come off a 3-0 home defeat to Manchester City on Sunday. LASK Linz are 27th with no points after a 1-0 defeat at AEK Athens and have lost three of their last five. The model's likeliest score is 2-0 to Liverpool. LASK Linz v Liverpool is previewed here.
Como at evens are the closest call of the four. Our model gives them 50 percent, Feyenoord 26 percent and the draw 24 percent, and its likeliest single score is 1-1, so a draw is in play. Como beat RB Leipzig 4-1 on matchday one and drew 0-0 with Roma on Sunday. Feyenoord are 33rd after a 5-1 defeat at Barcelona, but they have won three in a row since, by 7-0, 5-0 and 2-0. The Feyenoord v Como preview has the match in full.
Aston Villa at 3/5 host Fenerbahçe at Villa Park, and our model gives Villa 59 percent with 2-1 the likeliest score. Villa won 3-2 at Club Brugge on matchday one and drew 2-2 with Brentford on Saturday. Fenerbahçe are 24th with a point from a 1-1 draw with Roma, and they have won their last two, 8-0 and then 3-0 at Rizespor on Saturday. Villa v Fenerbahçe has a preview too.
Borussia Dortmund at 23/20 finish the card at Bodø/Glimt's Aspmyra Stadion. Dortmund beat Villarreal 3-2 on matchday one and drew 2-2 with Bremen on Friday. Our model has them winning at 44 percent, Bodø/Glimt at 32 and the draw at 24, with 1-1 the likeliest single score. Bodø/Glimt are 36th of 36 after a 5-0 defeat at Bayern, though they have won both home games in their last five, 3-2 and 3-1. Bodø/Glimt v Dortmund is on the site.
Multiplying the model's four win chances gives about a 9 percent chance that all four land, roughly one in 11. That is how accumulators work: Liverpool and Villa are both better than 58 percent on their own, Como and Dortmund are the closer calls at 50 and 44 percent, and the slip needs every one of them.
Tuesday's Champions League Treble of RB Leipzig, Atlético Madrid and Villarreal landed in full, while the four-fold went two from four. The Daily Acca stands at 17 winners from 83 slips and +2.77pts for the season. Today's card also has a Championship double of Queens Park Rangers and West Ham United at around 15/8.
For shots and fouls angles on the same games, see the Champions League best bets for Wednesday.
The Daily Acca page carries each day's slips with a betslip link and the running record, and the model chances above come from the same projections that power the Player Props page and the Bet Builder Tips. The chances are model output, not a record of how any bet settled.
Liverpool to beat LASK Linz, Como to beat Feyenoord, Aston Villa to beat Fenerbahçe and Borussia Dortmund to beat Bodø/Glimt, around 17/2 with Ladbrokes.
Liverpool are 2/5, Como 1/1, Aston Villa 3/5 and Dortmund 23/20 with Ladbrokes.
LASK Linz v Liverpool and Feyenoord v Como kick off at 5:45pm UK. Aston Villa v Fenerbahçe and Bodø/Glimt v Dortmund kick off at 8pm.
Multiplying our model's four win chances (71, 50, 59 and 44 percent) gives about 9 percent, roughly one in 11.
18+. Please gamble responsibly - begambleaware.org. Odds were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.