No, Seattle have taken 43 points over 31 Major League Soccer games in 2026, within 1.14 of the 41.86 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Seattle create 1.46 expected goals (xG) per game over 31 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 45.27 in all, and have scored 41 goals from those chances, 4.27 fewer than that xG would expect.
Seattle allow 1.53 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 31 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 47.39 in all, and have conceded 39 goals from those chances, 8.39 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Albert Rusnák has the most expected goals (xG) for Seattle over 31 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 6.24 xG in 30 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Danny Musovski is next with 4.51 xG.
Seattle's results and their chances agree, within 1.1 points of xPts over 31 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 31 | 45.27 | 41 | -4.27 | 47.39 | 39 | +8.39 | 41.86 | 43 | +1.14 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.62 | 17 | +0.38 | 16.65 | 10 | +6.65 | 14.22 | 17 | +2.78 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.41 | 8 | +0.59 | 8.68 | 5 | +3.68 | 6.44 | 8 | +1.56 |
| Home | 15 | 25.83 | 24 | -1.83 | 20.71 | 21 | -0.29 | 23.93 | 25 | +1.07 |
| Away | 16 | 19.44 | 17 | -2.44 | 26.68 | 18 | +8.68 | 17.93 | 18 | +0.07 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Major League Soccer | San Diego (A) | 2-2 | 1.14 | 3.09 | 0.45 | 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (H) | 1-1 | 1.51 | 1.20 | 1.59 | 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | Major League Soccer | Dallas (A) | 1-0 | 1.81 | 1.43 | 1.63 | 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | Major League Soccer | New England (A) | 0-3 | 1.10 | 0.93 | 1.48 | 3 | W |
| 2 Oct | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (H) | 2-1 | 1.85 | 2.03 | 1.29 | 3 | L |
| 27 Sep | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (H) | 3-1 | 2.39 | 1.74 | 1.76 | 3 | W |
| 24 Sep | Major League Soccer | RSL (H) | 2-0 | 1.06 | 0.56 | 1.75 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Major League Soccer | Colorado (A) | 3-3 | 1.14 | 2.24 | 0.74 | 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (A) | 1-1 | 2.34 | 2.49 | 1.32 | 1 | L |
| 6 Sep | Major League Soccer | New York RB (H) | 0-0 | 2.28 | 0.94 | 2.21 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (H) | 2-2 | 1.24 | 2.12 | 0.86 | 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (A) | 1-1 | 1.11 | 1.21 | 1.28 | 1 | L |
| 20 Aug | Major League Soccer | Austin (H) | 1-2 | 1.83 | 1.06 | 1.89 | 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (H) | 0-2 | 0.83 | 1.55 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| 2 Aug | Major League Soccer | Portland (A) | 2-1 | 1.16 | 2.00 | 0.87 | 0 | L |
| 25 Jul | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (A) | 1-0 | 0.66 | 1.38 | 0.81 | 0 | L |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | Austin (A) | 3-1 | 1.49 | 1.58 | 1.32 | 0 | L |
| 17 Jul | Major League Soccer | Portland (H) | 1-5 | 0.63 | 2.54 | 0.35 | 0 | L |
| 25 May | Major League Soccer | LAFC (A) | 1-0 | 1.06 | 2.35 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (H) | 0-2 | 1.40 | 1.36 | 1.40 | 0 | W |
| 14 May | Major League Soccer | San Jose (H) | 3-2 | 3.38 | 1.60 | 2.26 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Major League Soccer | San Diego (H) | 1-1 | 2.82 | 1.67 | 2.01 | 1 | W |
| 2 May | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (A) | 1-1 | 1.81 | 1.13 | 1.83 | 1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Major League Soccer | Dallas (H) | 2-1 | 1.79 | 0.81 | 2.05 | 3 | W |
| 19 Apr | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (H) | 4-1 | 1.73 | 0.70 | 2.10 | 3 | W |
| 5 Apr | Major League Soccer | Houston (A) | 0-1 | 0.89 | 1.04 | 1.22 | 3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (A) | 0-0 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 1.35 | 1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Major League Soccer | San Jose (A) | 0-1 | 0.43 | 2.56 | 0.25 | 3 | L |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (A) | 0-1 | 0.94 | 0.89 | 1.37 | 3 | W |
| 1 Mar | Major League Soccer | RSL (A) | 2-1 | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.36 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Dotson | midfielder | 22 | 1307 | 0.97 | 4 | +3.04 | 0.07 |
| Cristian Roldán | midfielder | 23 | 1863 | 1.97 | 5 | +3.03 | 0.10 |
| Dejan Joveljić | attacker | 8 | 689 | 2.97 | 5 | +2.03 | 0.39 |
| Paul Rothrock | attacker | 22 | 1761 | 3.53 | 5 | +1.47 | 0.18 |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | defender | 29 | 1857 | 1.99 | 3 | +1.01 | 0.10 |
| Caden Clark | midfielder | 6 | 154 | 0.10 | 1 | +0.90 | 0.06 |
| Stuart Hawkins | defender | 16 | 1033 | 0.35 | 1 | +0.65 | 0.03 |
| Sebastian Gomez | midfielder | 18 | 840 | 2.55 | 3 | +0.45 | 0.27 |
| Osaze De Rosario | attacker | 18 | 672 | 1.99 | 2 | +0.01 | 0.27 |
| Peter Kingston | midfielder | 23 | 978 | 0.71 | 0 | -0.71 | 0.07 |
| Paul Arriola | attacker | 22 | 689 | 3.92 | 3 | -0.92 | 0.51 |
| Jordan Morris | attacker | 22 | 1292 | 2.94 | 2 | -0.94 | 0.20 |
| Jackson Ragen | defender | 23 | 1967 | 1.05 | 0 | -1.05 | 0.05 |
| Jesús Ferreira | attacker | 22 | 1283 | 3.44 | 2 | -1.44 | 0.24 |
| Snyder Brunell | midfielder | 30 | 1705 | 1.97 | 0 | -1.97 | 0.10 |
| Albert Rusnák | midfielder | 30 | 2346 | 6.24 | 4 | -2.24 | 0.24 |
| Danny Musovski | attacker | 22 | 1050 | 4.51 | 2 | -2.51 | 0.39 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 51.9 | 66 | 38.8 | 23 | 48.7 | 70 | +21.3 |
| 2 | New England | 31 | 47.7 | 51 | 48.2 | 42 | 41.8 | 55 | +13.2 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | 34.8 | 41 | 45.1 | 39 | 37.7 | 48 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 31 | 59.3 | 73 | 52.5 | 53 | 47 | 55 | +8 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 31 | 48.5 | 55 | 56 | 48 | 40.1 | 47 | +6.9 |
| 6 | Dallas | 31 | 48.5 | 58 | 42.3 | 47 | 47.2 | 54 | +6.8 |
| 7 | Austin | 31 | 31.9 | 40 | 63.3 | 57 | 27.6 | 34 | +6.4 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 31 | 48.7 | 60 | 63 | 72 | 36.7 | 42 | +5.3 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 31 | 47.1 | 56 | 41.5 | 44 | 47 | 51 | +4 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 55.7 | 55 | 45 | 46 | 48.1 | 51 | +2.9 |
| 11 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 45.3 | 41 | 47.3 | 39 | 41.9 | 43 | +1.1 |
| 12 | LA Galaxy | 32 | 47.7 | 45 | 54.8 | 54 | 40.2 | 41 | +0.8 |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 49.6 | 50 | 44.7 | 35 | 46.7 | 47 | +0.3 |
| 14 | SJ Earthquakes | 31 | 54.7 | 52 | 43.2 | 45 | 48 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 | Toronto | 31 | 40.4 | 48 | 49.8 | 59 | 36.7 | 36 | -0.7 |
| 16 | New York RB | 31 | 52.7 | 41 | 57.5 | 56 | 40.4 | 39 | -1.4 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 31 | 56.2 | 64 | 54.6 | 71 | 44.5 | 42 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 63.3 | 63 | 34.5 | 32 | 58 | 55 | -3 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | 45.3 | 48 | 44.8 | 48 | 42 | 39 | -3 |
| 20 | DC United | 31 | 46.2 | 38 | 54.3 | 55 | 38.1 | 33 | -5.1 |
| 21 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 47.3 | 54 | 49.2 | 58 | 42.5 | 37 | -5.5 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | 47.7 | 42 | 35.5 | 41 | 47.9 | 42 | -5.9 |
| 23 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 46.2 | 50 | 41 | 49 | 44.2 | 38 | -6.2 |
| 24 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | 63.9 | 62 | 44.3 | 50 | 53.1 | 46 | -7.1 |
| 25 | Sporting KC | 31 | 36.7 | 37 | 62.5 | 77 | 30.4 | 22 | -8.4 |
| 26 | New York City | 31 | 46.9 | 45 | 44.3 | 43 | 44.4 | 35 | -9.4 |
| 27 | Minnesota United | 31 | 53.6 | 47 | 50.1 | 55 | 46.2 | 35 | -11.2 |
| 28 | San Diego | 31 | 52.1 | 55 | 50.3 | 58 | 46.2 | 35 | -11.2 |
| 29 | Atlanta United | 31 | 45.4 | 39 | 47.8 | 54 | 41.6 | 30 | -11.6 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 31 | 43.1 | 36 | 52.2 | 62 | 38.5 | 25 | -13.5 |