No, DC United have taken 33 points over 29 Major League Soccer games in 2026, within 3.09 of the 36.09 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
DC United create 1.53 expected goals (xG) per game over 29 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 44.40 in all, and have scored 37 goals from those chances, 7.40 fewer than that xG would expect.
DC United allow 1.78 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 29 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 51.64 in all, and have conceded 51 goals from those chances, 0.64 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Tai Baribo has the most expected goals (xG) for DC United over 29 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 13.02 xG in 23 appearances, and has scored 16 goals; Louis Munteanu is next with 6.56 xG.
DC United's results and their chances agree, within 3.1 points of xPts over 29 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 29 | 44.40 | 37 | -7.40 | 51.64 | 51 | +0.64 | 36.09 | 33 | -3.09 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.95 | 10 | -7.95 | 21.50 | 21 | +0.50 | 12.36 | 9 | -3.36 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.82 | 7 | -3.82 | 11.41 | 14 | -2.59 | 6.75 | 4 | -2.75 |
| Home | 15 | 23.07 | 20 | -3.07 | 26.36 | 26 | +0.36 | 19.21 | 20 | +0.79 |
| Away | 14 | 21.33 | 17 | -4.33 | 25.28 | 25 | +0.28 | 16.88 | 13 | -3.88 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (A) | 4-1 | 2.45 | 2.31 | 1.48 | 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | Major League Soccer | New York RB (H) | 2-1 | 1.21 | 2.43 | 0.71 | 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (A) | 4-0 | 0.86 | 3.24 | 0.30 | 0 | L |
| 27 Sep | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (A) | 3-3 | 3.24 | 2.60 | 1.71 | 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (H) | 1-2 | 3.06 | 0.83 | 2.55 | 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (H) | 0-0 | 0.25 | 2.98 | 0.12 | 1 | L |
| 9 Sep | Major League Soccer | Columbus (H) | 2-1 | 2.00 | 0.96 | 2.06 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | Major League Soccer | LAFC (H) | 0-0 | 1.53 | 1.81 | 1.21 | 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (A) | 3-1 | 1.80 | 2.01 | 1.27 | 0 | L |
| 19 Aug | Major League Soccer | New England (H) | 0-3 | 1.55 | 2.33 | 0.95 | 0 | L |
| 15 Aug | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (A) | 1-1 | 0.60 | 2.94 | 0.25 | 1 | L |
| 1 Aug | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (H) | 2-2 | 1.49 | 1.65 | 1.28 | 1 | L |
| 25 Jul | Major League Soccer | Toronto (H) | 2-1 | 1.94 | 1.73 | 1.51 | 3 | W |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | Houston (A) | 1-1 | 0.57 | 1.20 | 0.84 | 1 | L |
| 23 May | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (H) | 4-4 | 3.24 | 3.38 | 1.34 | 1 | L |
| 16 May | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (H) | 1-1 | 1.12 | 1.24 | 1.27 | 1 | L |
| 13 May | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (H) | 1-3 | 0.86 | 2.40 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (A) | 2-2 | 1.71 | 1.98 | 1.23 | 1 | L |
| 3 May | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (A) | 0-2 | 2.79 | 0.52 | 2.63 | 3 | W |
| 25 Apr | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (H) | 3-2 | 1.24 | 1.30 | 1.33 | 3 | L |
| 22 Apr | Major League Soccer | New York RB (A) | 4-4 | 2.51 | 1.45 | 2.00 | 1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (A) | 0-0 | 1.04 | 1.38 | 1.12 | 1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Major League Soccer | New England (A) | 1-0 | 1.74 | 1.08 | 1.82 | 0 | W |
| 4 Apr | Major League Soccer | Dallas (H) | 0-4 | 0.78 | 1.86 | 0.67 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (A) | 0-0 | 0.18 | 0.45 | 0.90 | 1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (A) | 1-2 | 1.61 | 2.19 | 1.05 | 3 | L |
| 7 Mar | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (H) | 1-2 | 1.75 | 0.67 | 2.13 | 0 | W |
| 1 Mar | Major League Soccer | Austin (A) | 1-0 | 0.23 | 1.93 | 0.28 | 0 | L |
| 22 Feb | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (H) | 1-0 | 1.05 | 0.79 | 1.56 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | attacker | 23 | 1902 | 13.02 | 16 | +2.98 | 0.62 |
| Silvan Hefti | defender | 26 | 2165 | 0.65 | 2 | +1.35 | 0.03 |
| Jared Stroud | attacker | 21 | 586 | 0.67 | 1 | +0.34 | 0.10 |
| Matti Peltola | midfielder | 27 | 1912 | 0.77 | 1 | +0.23 | 0.04 |
| Lucas Bartlett | defender | 27 | 2405 | 4.27 | 4 | -0.27 | 0.16 |
| Kye Rowles | defender | 23 | 2060 | 2.41 | 2 | -0.41 | 0.11 |
| K. Nono | defender | 11 | 943 | 2.55 | 2 | -0.55 | 0.24 |
| Louis Munteanu | attacker | 21 | 1469 | 6.56 | 6 | -0.56 | 0.40 |
| Nathan Ordaz | attacker | 13 | 438 | 0.74 | 0 | -0.74 | 0.15 |
| Aarón Herrera | defender | 7 | 386 | 1.05 | 0 | -1.05 | 0.25 |
| Brandon Servania | midfielder | 28 | 2019 | 1.22 | 0 | -1.22 | 0.05 |
| Jackson Hopkins | midfielder | 29 | 1879 | 4.33 | 2 | -2.33 | 0.21 |
| Peglow | attacker | 26 | 2135 | 3.56 | 1 | -2.56 | 0.15 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |