No, Colorado have taken 39 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 6.49 fewer than the 45.49 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Colorado create 1.52 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 45.45 in all, and have scored 41 goals from those chances, 4.45 fewer than that xG would expect.
Colorado allow 1.17 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 34.98 in all, and have conceded 41 goals from those chances, 6.02 more than that xGA would expect.
Rafael Navarro has the most expected goals (xG) for Colorado over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 12.25 xG in 22 appearances, and has scored 10 goals; Paxten Aaronson is next with 6.39 xG.
Colorado have taken 6.5 points fewer than their chances warranted over 30 games: -4.5 goals against their xG, and -6.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 45.45 | 41 | -4.45 | 34.98 | 41 | -6.02 | 45.49 | 39 | -6.49 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.14 | 11 | -4.14 | 9.85 | 16 | -6.15 | 16.74 | 11 | -5.74 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.96 | 8 | +0.04 | 5.48 | 9 | -3.52 | 8.53 | 4 | -4.53 |
| Home | 15 | 30.37 | 28 | -2.37 | 15.72 | 15 | +0.72 | 29.07 | 30 | +0.93 |
| Away | 15 | 15.08 | 13 | -2.08 | 19.26 | 26 | -6.74 | 16.42 | 9 | -7.42 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Major League Soccer | Portland (A) | 0-0 | 1.39 | 0.74 | 1.85 | 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (H) | 2-2 | 1.88 | 0.96 | 1.99 | 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | Major League Soccer | San Jose (H) | 1-1 | 1.30 | 0.98 | 1.59 | 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (A) | 3-2 | 1.15 | 1.66 | 1.04 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Major League Soccer | Seattle (H) | 3-3 | 2.24 | 1.14 | 2.06 | 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (H) | 1-0 | 2.67 | 0.90 | 2.39 | 3 | W |
| 10 Sep | Major League Soccer | Austin (A) | 1-1 | 0.88 | 0.94 | 1.29 | 1 | L |
| 5 Sep | Major League Soccer | Columbus (A) | 3-0 | 0.80 | 1.33 | 0.96 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Major League Soccer | RSL (H) | 1-0 | 2.33 | 0.15 | 2.72 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Major League Soccer | San Diego (A) | 3-0 | 0.50 | 1.05 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 20 Aug | Major League Soccer | LAFC (H) | 1-0 | 2.57 | 0.57 | 2.55 | 3 | W |
| 16 Aug | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (H) | 2-0 | 2.95 | 0.36 | 2.74 | 3 | W |
| 2 Aug | Major League Soccer | Austin (H) | 1-0 | 3.21 | 0.77 | 2.61 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (A) | 1-0 | 0.13 | 1.30 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | San Diego (H) | 1-0 | 0.64 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 3 | L |
| 24 May | Major League Soccer | Dallas (H) | 1-2 | 1.78 | 1.71 | 1.43 | 0 | W |
| 17 May | Major League Soccer | RSL (A) | 2-1 | 0.70 | 1.65 | 0.71 | 0 | L |
| 14 May | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (A) | 0-1 | 0.33 | 1.26 | 0.59 | 3 | L |
| 10 May | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (H) | 0-1 | 1.57 | 1.37 | 1.51 | 0 | W |
| 3 May | Major League Soccer | Houston (A) | 1-0 | 0.45 | 0.65 | 1.09 | 0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (A) | 3-1 | 2.04 | 3.75 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| 23 Apr | Major League Soccer | LAFC (A) | 0-0 | 0.43 | 0.16 | 1.51 | 1 | D |
| 18 Apr | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (H) | 2-3 | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.34 | 0 | L |
| 12 Apr | Major League Soccer | Houston (H) | 6-2 | 2.17 | 1.99 | 1.50 | 3 | W |
| 4 Apr | Major League Soccer | Toronto (A) | 3-2 | 0.54 | 1.58 | 0.61 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (A) | 1-4 | 3.97 | 0.64 | 2.75 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (A) | 3-1 | 0.94 | 1.46 | 0.99 | 0 | L |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (H) | 4-1 | 1.87 | 1.32 | 1.74 | 3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Major League Soccer | Portland (H) | 2-0 | 1.84 | 1.06 | 1.90 | 3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Major League Soccer | Seattle (A) | 2-0 | 0.83 | 1.09 | 1.14 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosi Thompson | defender | 16 | 936 | 0.33 | 2 | +1.67 | 0.03 |
| Reggie Cannon | defender | 18 | 1293 | 0.34 | 2 | +1.66 | 0.02 |
| Morgan Whittaker | attacker | 6 | 440 | 1.21 | 2 | +0.79 | 0.25 |
| Alexis Manyoma | attacker | 11 | 234 | 0.37 | 1 | +0.63 | 0.14 |
| Paxten Aaronson | midfielder | 30 | 2408 | 6.39 | 7 | +0.61 | 0.24 |
| Josh Atencio | midfielder | 26 | 1565 | 0.43 | 1 | +0.57 | 0.02 |
| Keegan Rosenberry | defender | 18 | 678 | 0.45 | 1 | +0.55 | 0.06 |
| Lucas Herrington | defender | 18 | 1531 | 0.49 | 1 | +0.51 | 0.03 |
| Hamzat Ojediran | midfielder | 27 | 1793 | 0.76 | 1 | +0.24 | 0.04 |
| Loïc Williams | defender | 15 | 1350 | 1.15 | 1 | -0.15 | 0.08 |
| Donavan Phillip | attacker | 10 | 547 | 3.21 | 3 | -0.21 | 0.53 |
| Wayne Frederick | midfielder | 26 | 1827 | 2.27 | 2 | -0.27 | 0.11 |
| Sayed Abu Farkhi | attacker | 4 | 190 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.24 |
| Youssef Maziz | midfielder | 6 | 290 | 0.59 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.18 |
| Alex Harris | attacker | 9 | 178 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.31 |
| Rob Holding | defender | 27 | 2111 | 1.06 | 0 | -1.06 | 0.05 |
| Darren Yapi | attacker | 30 | 1453 | 5.24 | 4 | -1.24 | 0.32 |
| Rafael Navarro | attacker | 22 | 1974 | 12.25 | 10 | -2.25 | 0.56 |
| Dante Sealy | attacker | 20 | 1087 | 2.48 | 0 | -2.48 | 0.21 |
| Georgi Minoungou | attacker | 23 | 1412 | 3.52 | 1 | -2.52 | 0.22 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |