Yes, Orlando City have taken 41 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 4.73 more than the 36.27 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Orlando City create 1.59 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 47.57 in all, and have scored 58 goals from those chances, 10.43 more than that xG would expect.
Orlando City allow 1.98 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 59.50 in all, and have conceded 70 goals from those chances, 10.50 more than that xGA would expect.
MartÃn Ojeda has the most expected goals (xG) for Orlando City over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 10.96 xG in 24 appearances, and has scored 15 goals; Antoine Griezmann is next with 5.91 xG.
Orlando City have taken 4.7 points more than their chances warranted over 30 games: +10.4 goals against their xG, and -10.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 47.57 | 58 | +10.43 | 59.50 | 70 | -10.50 | 36.27 | 41 | +4.73 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 18.78 | 26 | +7.22 | 19.90 | 20 | -0.10 | 14.25 | 20 | +5.75 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.06 | 14 | +3.94 | 12.31 | 14 | -1.69 | 5.95 | 7 | +1.05 |
| Home | 15 | 25.59 | 30 | +4.41 | 23.97 | 20 | +3.97 | 22.30 | 29 | +6.70 |
| Away | 15 | 21.98 | 28 | +6.02 | 35.53 | 50 | -14.47 | 13.97 | 12 | -1.97 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Major League Soccer | DC United (H) | 4-1 | 2.31 | 2.45 | 1.33 | 3 | L |
| 14 Oct | Major League Soccer | Toronto (A) | 3-3 | 2.29 | 1.86 | 1.64 | 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Major League Soccer | Columbus (H) | 3-2 | 2.13 | 2.99 | 0.98 | 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (A) | 4-2 | 1.34 | 3.16 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Major League Soccer | New England (A) | 4-2 | 1.99 | 1.85 | 1.48 | 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | Major League Soccer | Toronto (H) | 3-0 | 2.20 | 2.23 | 1.38 | 3 | L |
| 9 Sep | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (A) | 2-3 | 2.09 | 1.08 | 2.02 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Major League Soccer | San Diego (H) | 1-0 | 1.98 | 0.37 | 2.46 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (A) | 3-3 | 0.86 | 3.40 | 0.27 | 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Major League Soccer | RSL (H) | 2-1 | 1.59 | 0.51 | 2.17 | 3 | W |
| 19 Aug | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (H) | 1-2 | 1.67 | 1.31 | 1.62 | 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (H) | 1-1 | 1.57 | 0.91 | 1.84 | 1 | W |
| 1 Aug | Major League Soccer | New York RB (A) | 3-2 | 3.62 | 3.51 | 1.43 | 0 | W |
| 26 Jul | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (H) | 1-0 | 0.94 | 0.84 | 1.42 | 3 | W |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | San Jose (A) | 0-4 | 1.37 | 1.26 | 1.44 | 3 | W |
| 23 May | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (A) | 6-2 | 2.09 | 3.50 | 0.76 | 0 | L |
| 16 May | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (H) | 1-1 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1 | W |
| 13 May | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (H) | 4-3 | 2.64 | 2.11 | 1.69 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (A) | 2-0 | 0.66 | 2.35 | 0.42 | 0 | L |
| 2 May | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (A) | 3-4 | 2.00 | 3.23 | 0.82 | 3 | L |
| 25 Apr | Major League Soccer | DC United (A) | 3-2 | 1.30 | 1.24 | 1.40 | 0 | W |
| 22 Apr | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (H) | 4-1 | 1.39 | 1.66 | 1.20 | 3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Major League Soccer | Houston (H) | 0-1 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.44 | 0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Major League Soccer | Columbus (A) | 1-1 | 0.59 | 1.59 | 0.65 | 1 | L |
| 5 Apr | Major League Soccer | LAFC (A) | 6-0 | 0.93 | 2.01 | 0.71 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (A) | 5-0 | 0.71 | 3.25 | 0.24 | 0 | L |
| 14 Mar | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (H) | 2-1 | 1.98 | 1.54 | 1.66 | 3 | W |
| 7 Mar | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (A) | 5-0 | 0.14 | 2.24 | 0.17 | 0 | L |
| 2 Mar | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (H) | 2-4 | 0.90 | 1.23 | 1.10 | 0 | L |
| 22 Feb | Major League Soccer | New York RB (H) | 1-2 | 1.57 | 3.21 | 0.62 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Griezmann | attacker | 14 | 1240 | 5.91 | 12 | +6.09 | 0.43 |
| MartÃn Ojeda | midfielder | 24 | 1948 | 10.96 | 15 | +4.04 | 0.51 |
| Tyrese Spicer | attacker | 22 | 866 | 3.79 | 6 | +2.21 | 0.39 |
| Marco Pašalić | attacker | 20 | 1038 | 1.84 | 3 | +1.16 | 0.16 |
| Iván Angulo | attacker | 30 | 2628 | 4.95 | 6 | +1.05 | 0.17 |
| Harvey Sarajian | attacker | 11 | 232 | 1.01 | 2 | +0.99 | 0.39 |
| David Brekalo | defender | 25 | 2019 | 1.33 | 2 | +0.67 | 0.06 |
| Duncan McGuire | attacker | 11 | 477 | 1.37 | 2 | +0.63 | 0.26 |
| Tiago | attacker | 20 | 839 | 0.52 | 1 | +0.48 | 0.06 |
| Braian Ojeda | midfielder | 20 | 1632 | 0.66 | 1 | +0.34 | 0.04 |
| Luis Otávio | midfielder | 24 | 1174 | 0.82 | 1 | +0.18 | 0.06 |
| Daryl Dike | attacker | 11 | 458 | 1.87 | 2 | +0.13 | 0.37 |
| Zakaria Taifi | defender | 22 | 918 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.06 |
| Griffin Dorsey | defender | 21 | 1693 | 3.67 | 3 | -0.67 | 0.20 |
| Eduard Atuesta | midfielder | 23 | 1518 | 0.69 | 0 | -0.69 | 0.04 |
| Bernardo Goncalves | attacker | 11 | 487 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | 0.14 |
| Iago Teodoro | defender | 19 | 1397 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.82 | 0.05 |
| Justin Ellis | attacker | 21 | 1341 | 3.53 | 1 | -2.53 | 0.24 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |