Yes, Austin have taken 31 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 4.74 more than the 26.26 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Austin create 1.01 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 30.32 in all, and have scored 38 goals from those chances, 7.68 more than that xG would expect.
Austin allow 2.06 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 61.73 in all, and have conceded 56 goals from those chances, 5.73 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Myrto Uzuni has the most expected goals (xG) for Austin over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 6.39 xG in 22 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Christian Ramirez is next with 4.24 xG.
Austin have taken 4.7 points more than their chances warranted over 30 games: +7.7 goals against their xG, and +5.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 30.32 | 38 | +7.68 | 61.73 | 56 | +5.73 | 26.26 | 31 | +4.74 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 9.70 | 13 | +3.30 | 20.15 | 17 | +3.15 | 8.54 | 11 | +2.46 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.15 | 6 | +1.85 | 12.33 | 12 | +0.33 | 2.78 | 2 | -0.78 |
| Home | 15 | 17.89 | 21 | +3.11 | 22.16 | 21 | +1.16 | 18.45 | 18 | -0.45 |
| Away | 15 | 12.43 | 17 | +4.57 | 39.57 | 35 | +4.57 | 7.81 | 13 | +5.19 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (H) | 1-2 | 0.38 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 15 Oct | Major League Soccer | LAFC (A) | 3-1 | 0.97 | 3.80 | 0.24 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (H) | 1-4 | 1.02 | 4.08 | 0.21 | 0 | L |
| 27 Sep | Major League Soccer | San Diego (H) | 3-3 | 1.50 | 2.21 | 0.98 | 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | Major League Soccer | Dallas (A) | 0-0 | 0.28 | 1.37 | 0.50 | 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (A) | 1-2 | 0.73 | 2.81 | 0.34 | 3 | L |
| 10 Sep | Major League Soccer | Colorado (H) | 1-1 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 1.38 | 1 | W |
| 6 Sep | Major League Soccer | San Jose (H) | 1-1 | 1.44 | 1.35 | 1.43 | 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Major League Soccer | Portland (A) | 1-2 | 0.92 | 2.01 | 0.70 | 3 | L |
| 23 Aug | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (H) | 1-1 | 1.52 | 0.77 | 1.91 | 1 | W |
| 20 Aug | Major League Soccer | Seattle (A) | 1-2 | 1.06 | 1.83 | 0.88 | 3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Major League Soccer | Dallas (H) | 1-2 | 0.65 | 1.55 | 0.72 | 0 | L |
| 2 Aug | Major League Soccer | Colorado (A) | 1-0 | 0.77 | 3.21 | 0.27 | 0 | L |
| 26 Jul | Major League Soccer | Houston (A) | 3-0 | 0.91 | 1.23 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | Seattle (H) | 3-1 | 1.58 | 1.49 | 1.44 | 3 | W |
| 23 May | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (A) | 3-0 | 0.45 | 1.02 | 0.83 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (H) | 1-2 | 0.54 | 1.78 | 0.54 | 0 | L |
| 14 May | Major League Soccer | San Diego (A) | 5-0 | 0.56 | 2.78 | 0.27 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (A) | 2-2 | 1.70 | 2.45 | 0.99 | 1 | L |
| 3 May | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (H) | 2-0 | 1.65 | 1.75 | 1.32 | 3 | L |
| 26 Apr | Major League Soccer | Houston (H) | 2-0 | 0.92 | 0.99 | 1.29 | 3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Major League Soccer | San Jose (A) | 5-1 | 0.59 | 5.36 | 0.04 | 0 | L |
| 18 Apr | Major League Soccer | Toronto (A) | 3-3 | 1.27 | 3.55 | 0.39 | 1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (H) | 1-2 | 0.98 | 0.82 | 1.47 | 0 | W |
| 4 Apr | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (A) | 2-2 | 1.39 | 3.13 | 0.56 | 1 | L |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | LAFC (H) | 0-0 | 0.91 | 1.44 | 0.98 | 1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Major League Soccer | RSL (A) | 2-1 | 0.67 | 1.86 | 0.60 | 0 | L |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (A) | 3-1 | 0.16 | 3.16 | 0.08 | 0 | L |
| 1 Mar | Major League Soccer | DC United (H) | 1-0 | 1.93 | 0.23 | 2.55 | 3 | W |
| 22 Feb | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (H) | 2-2 | 1.93 | 1.95 | 1.38 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ramirez | attacker | 26 | 1312 | 4.24 | 9 | +4.76 | 0.29 |
| Guilherme Biro | defender | 25 | 1897 | 1.36 | 3 | +1.64 | 0.06 |
| Jon Bell | defender | 23 | 1302 | 0.70 | 2 | +1.30 | 0.05 |
| Jayden Nelson | attacker | 13 | 549 | 0.71 | 2 | +1.29 | 0.12 |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | defender | 24 | 1705 | 0.98 | 2 | +1.02 | 0.05 |
| Myrto Uzuni | attacker | 22 | 1787 | 6.39 | 7 | +0.61 | 0.32 |
| Ervin Torres | midfielder | 17 | 1076 | 0.50 | 1 | +0.50 | 0.04 |
| Mikkel Desler | defender | 19 | 1168 | 0.64 | 1 | +0.36 | 0.05 |
| Facundo Torres | attacker | 30 | 2360 | 3.72 | 4 | +0.28 | 0.14 |
| Oleksandr Svatok | defender | 25 | 1925 | 0.77 | 1 | +0.23 | 0.04 |
| Ilie Sánchez | midfielder | 24 | 1266 | 1.04 | 1 | -0.04 | 0.07 |
| Jon Gallagher | defender | 29 | 2296 | 1.05 | 1 | -0.05 | 0.04 |
| J. Rosales | defender | 27 | 2148 | 1.33 | 1 | -0.33 | 0.06 |
| CJ Fodrey | attacker | 14 | 299 | 0.50 | 0 | -0.50 | 0.15 |
| Przemyslaw Placheta | attacker | 12 | 327 | 0.66 | 0 | -0.66 | 0.18 |
| Brandon Vazquez | attacker | 19 | 1101 | 3.84 | 3 | -0.84 | 0.31 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |