Yes, Nashville SC have taken 67 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 20.50 more than the 46.50 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Nashville SC create 1.66 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 49.94 in all, and have scored 64 goals from those chances, 14.06 more than that xG would expect.
Nashville SC allow 1.27 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 38.14 in all, and have conceded 23 goals from those chances, 15.14 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Sam Surridge has the most expected goals (xG) for Nashville SC over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 15.23 xG in 24 appearances, and has scored 17 goals; Hany Mukhtar is next with 11.89 xG.
Nashville SC have taken 20.5 points more than their chances warranted over 30 games: +14.1 goals against their xG, and +15.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 49.94 | 64 | +14.06 | 38.14 | 23 | +15.14 | 46.50 | 67 | +20.50 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 21.02 | 24 | +2.98 | 11.44 | 8 | +3.44 | 18.24 | 21 | +2.76 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 13.67 | 14 | +0.33 | 4.62 | 2 | +2.62 | 10.88 | 13 | +2.12 |
| Home | 15 | 30.34 | 45 | +14.66 | 18.81 | 12 | +6.81 | 26.50 | 43 | +16.50 |
| Away | 15 | 19.60 | 19 | -0.60 | 19.33 | 11 | +8.33 | 20.00 | 24 | +4.00 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Major League Soccer | San Jose (A) | 1-1 | 0.48 | 1.04 | 0.85 | 1 | L |
| 15 Oct | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (H) | 4-0 | 3.97 | 0.67 | 2.75 | 3 | W |
| 11 Oct | Major League Soccer | Austin (A) | 1-4 | 4.08 | 1.02 | 2.64 | 3 | W |
| 27 Sep | Major League Soccer | Toronto (H) | 2-0 | 2.82 | 1.04 | 2.36 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (H) | 3-0 | 2.32 | 0.85 | 2.28 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (A) | 2-2 | 2.47 | 1.84 | 1.75 | 1 | W |
| 9 Sep | Major League Soccer | Toronto (A) | 2-1 | 0.86 | 2.23 | 0.58 | 0 | L |
| 4 Sep | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (A) | 0-0 | 1.26 | 1.01 | 1.54 | 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (H) | 4-0 | 1.92 | 1.44 | 1.68 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Major League Soccer | Columbus (H) | 3-2 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 1.81 | 3 | W |
| 19 Aug | Major League Soccer | New York RB (A) | 0-1 | 0.98 | 1.60 | 0.95 | 3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (H) | 4-1 | 2.14 | 2.38 | 1.27 | 3 | L |
| 1 Aug | Major League Soccer | DC United (A) | 2-2 | 1.65 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1 | W |
| 26 Jul | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (A) | 1-0 | 0.84 | 0.94 | 1.25 | 0 | L |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (H) | 1-0 | 2.06 | 1.02 | 2.05 | 3 | W |
| 18 Jul | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (H) | 1-0 | 0.74 | 1.45 | 0.85 | 3 | L |
| 24 May | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (H) | 2-1 | 0.92 | 1.49 | 0.96 | 3 | L |
| 18 May | Major League Soccer | LAFC (H) | 3-2 | 0.67 | 2.24 | 0.46 | 3 | L |
| 13 May | Major League Soccer | New England (A) | 0-3 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 1.40 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Major League Soccer | DC United (H) | 2-2 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.55 | 1 | W |
| 2 May | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (A) | 0-0 | 0.74 | 1.47 | 0.83 | 1 | L |
| 26 Apr | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (H) | 4-2 | 1.13 | 1.57 | 1.07 | 3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (A) | 0-2 | 1.92 | 0.83 | 2.10 | 3 | W |
| 11 Apr | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (A) | 1-2 | 0.49 | 2.44 | 0.31 | 3 | L |
| 5 Apr | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (A) | 1-0 | 1.05 | 1.33 | 1.16 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (H) | 5-0 | 3.25 | 0.71 | 2.64 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Major League Soccer | Columbus (A) | 0-1 | 1.36 | 0.29 | 2.22 | 3 | W |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (H) | 3-1 | 2.59 | 1.13 | 2.23 | 3 | W |
| 1 Mar | Major League Soccer | Dallas (A) | 0-0 | 0.51 | 0.96 | 0.93 | 1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Major League Soccer | New England (H) | 4-1 | 2.99 | 0.81 | 2.54 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hany Mukhtar | midfielder | 30 | 2499 | 11.89 | 16 | +4.11 | 0.43 |
| Shakur Mohammed | attacker | 16 | 596 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Bryan Acosta | midfielder | 18 | 636 | 0.53 | 3 | +2.47 | 0.07 |
| Warren Madrigal | attacker | 17 | 863 | 3.62 | 6 | +2.39 | 0.38 |
| Andy Nájar | defender | 27 | 1866 | 1.14 | 3 | +1.86 | 0.05 |
| Sam Surridge | attacker | 24 | 1898 | 15.23 | 17 | +1.77 | 0.72 |
| Maxwell Woledzi | defender | 30 | 2621 | 0.59 | 2 | +1.41 | 0.02 |
| Reed Baker-Whiting | defender | 23 | 1328 | 1.17 | 2 | +0.83 | 0.08 |
| Edvard Tagseth | midfielder | 25 | 1621 | 0.22 | 1 | +0.78 | 0.01 |
| Patrick Yazbek | midfielder | 19 | 1186 | 1.24 | 2 | +0.76 | 0.09 |
| Cristian Espinoza | attacker | 26 | 1921 | 3.40 | 4 | +0.60 | 0.16 |
| Ahmed Qasem | attacker | 22 | 992 | 1.40 | 2 | +0.60 | 0.13 |
| Shak Mohammed | attacker | 4 | 108 | 0.49 | 1 | +0.51 | 0.41 |
| Jeison Palacios | defender | 24 | 2058 | 1.05 | 1 | -0.05 | 0.05 |
| Daniel Lovitz | defender | 29 | 1714 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.03 |
| Matthew Corcoran | midfielder | 27 | 1981 | 0.79 | 0 | -0.79 | 0.04 |
| Alex Muyl | attacker | 23 | 846 | 1.13 | 0 | -1.13 | 0.12 |
| Elias Saad | attacker | 13 | 811 | 3.21 | 1 | -2.21 | 0.36 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |